Forget Lloyds: I just bought shares in another bank

Lloyds shares are rising at the moment. But Edward Sheldon believes that this bank stock will provide better returns in the medium to long term.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Thoughtful man using his phone while riding on a train and looking through the window

Image source: Getty Images

Lloyds shares have been a great investment recently. Over the last year, they’ve risen about 90%.

I’ve just bought shares in another bank, however. Because looking ahead, I reckon this one has far more growth potential.

The best bank in the world?

The stock I’ve invested in is JP Morgan (NYSE: JPM). Listed in the US, it’s widely regarded as the best banking institution in the world.

What I like about this business is that it has many ways to win. Unlike Lloyds, which is mainly focused on UK lending, JP Morgan can generate revenues from a range of different areas of banking.

One area I’m excited about in 2026 is investment banking. This year is shaping up to be a blockbuster year for IPOs (SpaceX, OpenAI, Anthropic, Databricks, etc). These could generate substantial income for the banks that facilitate the listings. Add in other M&A activity and AI infrastructure investment and revenues in this area of the financial sector could be prolific.

I also like the company’s prospects in wealth management. Today, JP Morgan manages around $5trn in clients’ capital. With markets near all-time highs, fees here are likely to be immense.

Trading is another area that could do well in 2026. I expect to see plenty of volatility in the equity markets this year – this should create opportunities for the bank as investors reposition their portfolios.

Attractive landscape

Looking beyond all these different revenue drivers, the set-up for US banks looks very attractive as we start 2026.

For starters, the ‘yield curve’ is steepening (short-term interest rates are coming down while long-term rates are staying elevated). This backdrop tends to be very profitable for the banks as they typically operate a ‘borrow short term, lend long term’ model with the costs of borrowing lower.

Secondly, the US economy looks healthy. This year, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) forecasts US GDP growth of 2.6% (versus 1.3% for the UK). This should lead to solid levels of lending (which could pick up as rates fall). It should also lead to low levels of loan defaults.

Third, experts expect to see a wave of deregulation for the banks such as lower capital requirements. This could help them compete more effectively with private credit firms and unlock a whole new source of growth.

It’s worth noting that right now, analysts only expect to see 4% earnings growth from JP Morgan in 2026. But I think that growth estimate is very beatable.

Worth a look in 2026

On the downside, this stock is more expensive than some other banking stocks. Currently, the forward-looking price-to-earnings (P/E) is about 16 (versus 10 for Lloyds).

The dividend yield is also a bit lower than many other banks. For 2026, the yield is only about 2%.

In terms of risks, there are few to consider. But these include CEO Jamie Dimon leaving the company, an unexpected downturn in the US or global economy, adverse interest rate movements, and unexpected announcements from US President Donald Trump (like his recent credit card rate announcement).

Overall though, I see a lot to like here. I think this stock is worth a closer look as we start 2026.

Edward Sheldon has positions in JP Morgan. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Lloyds Banking Group Plc. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Lady wearing a head scarf looks over pages on company financials
Investing Articles

Is April a good time to start buying shares?

Wondering whether now's a good time to start buying shares to build wealth? History suggests it is, says Edward Sheldon.

Read more »

A senior group of friends enjoying rowing on the River Derwent
Investing Articles

How much passive income could a Stocks and Shares ISA pump out every year?

Regular investing inside a Stocks and Shares ISA could lead to the equivalent of £141 a week in tax-free passive…

Read more »

Fans of Warren Buffett taking his photo
Investing Articles

With the FTSE 100 down 5%+ investors should remember this legendary quote from Warren Buffett

Warren Buffett is widely regarded as the greatest investor of all time. And he says that the best time to…

Read more »

Inflation in newspapers
Investing Articles

1 FTSE 100 stock that could benefit from higher inflation

For most companies, inflation is a risk. But for one FTSE 100 firm, higher input costs could be an opportunity…

Read more »

Man hanging in the balance over a log at seaside in Scotland
Investing Articles

The 2026 stock market sell-off could be a rare opportunity to build wealth in an ISA

The recent stock market sell-off has led to some shares falling 20% or more. This could be a great opportunity…

Read more »

Thoughtful man using his phone while riding on a train and looking through the window
Investing Articles

It’s down another 13%! Analysts were dead wrong about the Greggs share price

The Greggs share price continues to fall and analysts have been revising their share price targets down further. Dr James…

Read more »

Burst your bubble thumbtack and balloon background
Investing Articles

Is the stock market about to reach breaking point?

Private credit has a problem with the emergence of artificial intelligence. And it could be set to create issues across…

Read more »

BUY AND HOLD spelled in letters on top of a pile of books. Alongside is a piggy bank in glasses. Buy and hold is a popular long term stock and shares strategy.
Investing Articles

A once-in-a-decade chance to buy this S&P 500 stock?

As investors focus on oil prices and the conflict in Iran, Stephen Wright's looking at potential opportunities in the S&P…

Read more »