Nvidia: here are analysts’ new share price forecasts after Q3 earnings, and they’re high

Nvidia’s share price is up around 1,300% over the last five years. Analysts believe there’s a lot more to come from the stock, however.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

Santa Clara offices of NVIDIA

Image source: NVIDIA

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Nvidia’s (NASDAQ: NVDA) share price jumped 5% yesterday (20 November). The driver was the company’s third-quarter (Q3) earnings, which were absolutely magnificent.

Looking ahead, Wall Street analysts see the chip stock going much higher as the AI revolution gains momemtum. Here’s a look at some of the latest share price forecasts.

Blockbuster earnings

Nvidia’s Q3 earnings, for the three months to 26 October, showed that demand for its AI computing hardware is sky-high right now.

For the period, revenue was up 62% year on year to $57bn (versus $54.8bn expected). Meanwhile data centre revenue was up 66% to $51.2bn (versus $48.6bn expected).

In terms of profitability, non-GAAP net income for the quarter amounted to $31.8bn. Earnings per share came in at $1.30 versus $0.81 a year earlier (+60%).

It’s worth pointing out here that these growth figures would be impressive for a small company. The fact that Nvidia is the largest business in the world today – with a market cap of near $5trn – and generating this kind of growth is mind-blowing.

Turning to guidance, it was very strong. Currently, Nvidia expects revenue for this quarter (Q4) to come in at $65bn (versus $61.3bn expected).

Note that on the earnings call, CFO Colette Kress said that the company has secured revenue of half a trillion dollars for its current chip, Blackwell, and its next chip, Rubin. This will come from the start of this year through to the end of calendar year 2026.

There’s been a lot of talk about an AI bubble. From our vantage point, we see something very different.
Jensen Huang, Founder and CEO of Nvidia

New price targets

Since the earnings report, professional research analysts have been scrambling to increase their price targets for the stock. Here’s a look at some new versus old targets.

FirmNew price targetOld price target
Benchmark$250$220
Truist $255$228
Barclays$275$240
Susquehanna$250$230
Evercore ISI$352$261
Citi$270$220
Baird$275$225
Bernstein SocGen$275$225
Mizuho$245$235
KeyBanc$275$250
Jefferies$250$240

As you can see, a lot of brokers have increased their price targets significantly. The one that jumps out to me is Evercore’s – it has gone from $261 to a whopping $352 (the highest on Wall Street), which is about 80% above the current share price.

My 2026 forecast

Personally, my own 2026 target for Nvidia stock is $250.

I calculated this by taking the earnings forecast for next financial year (FY2027) of $6.73 per share and assuming that earnings grow by 25% the following year. That would take earnings per share for FY2028 to $8.41. Apply an earnings multiple (a price-to-earnings ratio) of 30 to that EPS figure and we get $252.

Of course, there are no guarantees that it will get to that price. I’m assuming that demand for AI hardware remains strong (it may not) and that sentiment towards tech/AI shares remains bullish (resulting in high earnings multiples).

I’ll point out that I don’t expect Nvidia to get to $250 in a straight line. This is a very volatile stock and there’s a reasonable chance it could see $150 before $250.

I’m optimistic that the AI revolution will continue, however, and that Nvidia will be the primary beneficiary of the buildout. In my view, this is a stock to consider buying on any drop in the share price.

Edward Sheldon has positions in Nvidia. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Nvidia and Barclays. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

£15,000 yearly passive income: how big an ISA do you need?

£15,000 a year in passive income sounds impressive, but how big does an ISA need to be to support it…

Read more »

Tesla building with tesla logo and two teslas in front
Investing Articles

As the company changes course, is Tesla stock a long-term bargain — or a value trap?

Were Tesla's recent full-year results a case of glass half full, or glass half empty? Christopher Ruane shares his take…

Read more »

A pastel colored growing graph with rising rocket.
Investing Articles

With a 5.1% yield and P/E ratio of 13, is this FTSE 250 share a bargain hiding in plain sight?

This FTSE 250 share trades for 13 times earnings, but it has proven growth potential -- and a tasty dividend…

Read more »

Stack of British pound coins falling on list of share prices
Investing Articles

10.6%+ yields! What’s going on with these unusually high yield UK shares?

A handful of UK shares offer double-digit dividend yields -- and they're all in the same field. What's going on?…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Here’s a FTSE 100 share that I think could beat Rolls-Royce in 2026

Our writer explores whether this could be the best stock to supercharge a FTSE 100 portfolio and capture gains from…

Read more »

Rolls-Royce Hydrogen Test Rig at Loughborough University
Investing Articles

The paradoxical nature of Rolls-Royce shares in 2026

Mark Hartley unpacks the economic anamoly that is Rolls-Royce shares and attempts to analyse the pros and cons of this…

Read more »

Bus waiting in front of the London Stock Exchange on a sunny day.
Growth Shares

This FTSE 100 growth stock sits at a 52-week low. Time to consider buying?

Is the huge tumble in the share price of this FTSE 100 growth stock a wonderful opportunity for new investors?…

Read more »

Young woman holding up three fingers
Investing Articles

£5,000 put into the FTSE 100’s top 3 dividend shares today could earn this much in 5 years…

If someone spread £5k evenly over the FTSE 100's three highest-yielding shares today and did nothing for five years, what…

Read more »