Prediction: this FTSE 250 dividend stock could return almost 40% over the next 12-18 months

Edward Sheldon just bought a FTSE 250 stock for his portfolio. In his view, this one has the potential to return around 40% in the medium term.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Black woman using smartphone at home, watching stock charts.

Image source: Getty Images

The UK’s FTSE 250 index is full of stocks with significant return potential. In this mid-cap index, there are a lot of undiscovered gems.

Just recently, I added a stock in the FTSE 250 to my portfolio. This company looks undervalued to me, and I see the potential for returns of 40% or more over the next year to 18 months.

An under-the-radar gem

The stock I bought was Pollen Street Group (LSE: POLN). It’s a £540m market cap alternative investment manager that offers private equity and private debt strategies.

I paid around £8.90 for each of my shares in this company. Also note that I started with a small position as I like to average into stocks over time to minimise bad timing risk.

Demand for alternatives is high

I’ll get into the numbers in a minute but first I want to highlight two key factors that drew me to this stock. One was the high demand for alternative investment strategies today.

Right now, sophisticated investors such as wealth management firms, family offices, and high-net-worth individuals can’t get enough exposure to the private markets. In an effort to diversify their portfolios (and generate higher returns), they’re all scrambling to get into private equity and private debt, so Pollen Street seems to be in the right place at the right time.

Another thing that stood out to me here was the focus of Pollen’s private equity investments. Today, it’s invested in a range of innovative companies in industries such as electronic payments, wealth, insurance, tech-enabled services, and lending.

An example of a company it’s invested in is bunq. It’s the second largest neobank in the EU (with around 17m users) and the only player serving both consumers and businesses.

Undervalued today

Turning to the numbers, Pollen shares look undervalued to me. Last year, earnings per share came in at 78.8p. So, at today’s share price of £8.92, we’re looking at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 11.3. That seems low when you consider that last year, total fee-paying assets under management rose 17% (to £4bn) and earnings per share rose 27%.

I reckon this stock could potentially command a P/E ratio of 15. If the earnings multiple ratio was to rise to that level, we could be looking at share price gains of 33%.

Dividends too

It gets better though. Because this stock also pays a substantial dividend. For 2024, the dividend was 53.6p per share. Assuming we get another dividend of that size for 2025 (and we may not), the yield would be about 6%.

Add that to the 33% and we’re looking at total returns of 39%. And that’s before any earnings growth or dividend growth.

Worth a look

Now, there’s no guarantee that this stock will generate these kinds of attractive returns, of course. The financial services industry can be volatile at times and companies like this can have their ups and downs.

Taking a long-term view, however, I see a lot of potential. In my view, this FTSE 250 stock is worth a look today.

Edward Sheldon has positions in Pollen Street Group. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

British flag, Big Ben, Houses of Parliament and British flag composition
Investing Articles

Back above 10,000! Is the FTSE 100 index on track again?

The FTSE 100 index has been yo-yoing up and down with the latest news headlines around the oil crisis. Where…

Read more »

Finger clicking a button marked 'Buy' on a keyboard
Investing Articles

Stock market correction: Is there still time to buy UK shares cheap?

Long-term investors can do well to stay calm through stock market corrections, and even crashes, and pick up shares when…

Read more »

Warm summer evening outside waterfront pubs and restaurants at the popular seaside resort town of Weymouth, Dorset.
Investing Articles

2 FTSE 100 blue-chips to consider for a new £20k Stocks and Shares ISA

Ben McPoland highlights a pair of high-quality FTSE 100 stocks that have strong momentum on their side yet are trading…

Read more »

Young Caucasian woman with pink her studying from her laptop screen
Investing Articles

Are depressed Lloyds shares just too tempting to miss now?

Lloyds shares are coming under renewed pressure as conflict in the Middle East threatens the fragile global economic recovery.

Read more »

Female student sitting at the steps and using laptop
Investing Articles

7 FTSE 100 shares that look cheap after the 2026 stock market correction

Falling stock markets often present bargain opportunities. Let's take a look at some of the cheapest FTSE 100 shares at…

Read more »

piggy bank, searching with binoculars
US Stock

Up 59% this year, this S&P 500 stock is smashing the index!

Jon Smith points out a stock from the S&P 500 that's flying right now as part of a transformation plan,…

Read more »

Businessman hand stacking money coins with virtual percentage icons
Investing Articles

Stock market correction: a rare second income opportunity?

Falling share prices are pushing dividend yields higher. That makes it a good time for investors looking for chances to…

Read more »

Finger clicking a button marked 'Buy' on a keyboard
Dividend Shares

I just discovered this REIT with a juicy 9% dividend yield

Jon Smith points out a REIT that just came on his radar due to the high yield, but comes with…

Read more »