Share your opinion and earn yourself a free Motley Fool premium report!

We are looking for Fools to join a 75 minute online independent market research forum on 15th / 16th December.

To find out more and express your interest please click here

The Tesco share price is flying! I’d buy the stock

The Tesco share price has climbed by over 35% in the last 12 months. This Fool thinks it has further to go.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

Female Tesco employee holding produce crate

Image source: Tesco plc

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

The Tesco (LSE: TSCO) share price has surged in 2024. Year to date, the stock is up 24.1%. In the last six months, it’s also been gaining serious momentum, rising 23.9%.

That means the retail behemoth has now delivered shareholders a 35.4% return over the last 12 months. For comparison, the FTSE 100 is up 8.8% during the same period.

I don’t currently own any Tesco shares. However, it’s a stock I very much like the look of. If I had the investable cash, I’d like to buy some shares today. I’ll explain why.

Income on offer

There are a few reasons. But as an investor who loves to target stocks that can provide stable passive income, it makes sense to start with its dividend yield.

It currently sits at 3.2%. In all fairness, that’s below the FTSE 100 average of 3.6%. However, I reckon we could see its payout rise in the years ahead.

First, its dividend is covered over two times by earnings, which is always a good sign. That’s probably why we saw the firm up its payout last year by 11% to 12.1p per share.

In tandem with that hike, the firm also completed £750m worth of share buybacks in 2023. Looking ahead, the retailer has committed to buying back up to £1bn worth of shares by April 2025.

A big slice

Then there’s its position as the market leader. With a 27.7% share, Tesco has the biggest slice of the market by some margin. Its nearest rival is Sainsbury’s with 15.3%. Taking the third spot is Asda with 12.6%.

That dominant position gives it an edge over its competitors. Not only does Tesco have incredibly powerful brand recognition, but there are other benefits, such as economies of scale.

The rise of budget competitors

That said, I can’t ignore the rise of budget competitors such as Aldi and Lidl. That’s the largest threat I see to Tesco right now.

In recent years, they’ve become more popular than ever, which has been largely fuelled by the cost-of-living crisis. With consumers on the hunt for the best deals, it’s natural they’ve been shopping around for the cheapest prices.

Even after its rise, Aldi has no plans of slowing down just yet. Last year, the firm committed to a long-term target of opening 500 new stores across the UK.

More to give

Yet despite that threat, I’m still bullish on Tesco. It has taken some measures to counteract the rise of the German outfits. For example, it has its Aldi price match scheme, which now includes around 700 items.

Additionally, I’m a big fan of its Clubcard programme. It’s an effective way to retain customers and the programme now has nearly 22m users. Tesco’s profits soared by 159% last year. The firm cited its Clubcard strategy as one of the core reasons for the rise.

With that, despite the challenges it may face through competition, I’m backing Tesco to keep performing. I think it would make a shrewd addition to my holdings. While its share price has been flying, I think the stock has more to give.

Charlie Keough has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended J Sainsbury Plc and Tesco Plc. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Thoughtful man using his phone while riding on a train and looking through the window
Investing Articles

Here’s how much passive income someone could earn maxing out their ISA allowance for 5 years

Christopher Ruane considers how someone might spend a few years building up their Stocks and Shares ISA to try and…

Read more »

Man putting his card into an ATM machine while his son sits in a stroller beside him.
Investing Articles

Was I wrong about Barclays shares, up 196%?

Our writer has watched Barclays shares nearly triple in five years, but stayed on the sidelines. Is he now ready…

Read more »

Wall Street sign in New York City
Investing Articles

Up 17% in 2025, can the S&P 500 power on into 2026?

Why has the S&P 500 done so well this year against a backdrop of multiple challenges? Our writer explains --…

Read more »

National Grid engineers at a substation
Investing Articles

National Grid shares are up 19% in 2025. Why?

National Grid shares have risen by almost a fifth this year. So much for it being a sleepy utility! Should…

Read more »

Road 2025 to 2032 new year direction concept
Investing Articles

Here are the potential dividend earnings from buying 1,000 Aviva shares for the next decade

Aviva has a juicy dividend -- but what might come next? Our writer digs into what the coming decade could…

Read more »

Person holding magnifying glass over important document, reading the small print
Investing Articles

Just released: our top 3 small-cap stocks to consider buying in December [PREMIUM PICKS]

Small-cap shares tend to be more volatile than larger companies, so we suggest investors should look to build up a…

Read more »

This way, That way, The other way - pointing in different directions
Investing Articles

Is the unloved Aston Martin share price about to do a Rolls-Royce?

The Aston Martin share price has inflicted a world of pain on Harvey Jones, but he isn't giving up hope…

Read more »

Surprised Black girl holding teddy bear toy on Christmas
Investing Articles

How much do you need in a Stocks and Shares ISA to raise 1.7 children?

After discovering the cost of raising a child, James Beard explains why he thinks a Stocks and Shares ISA is…

Read more »