Is the Lloyds share price as good as it looks on paper?

The Lloyds share price looks cheap as chips. But is this really the case? This Fool reckons so. Here, he explains why he’s bullish.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

Portrait of elderly man wearing white denim shirt and glasses looking up with hand on chin. Thoughtful senior entrepreneur, studio shot against grey background.

Image source: Getty Images

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

On the surface, the Lloyds (LSE: LLOY) share price looks like one of the best investment opportunities the FTSE 100 has to offer.

As I write, investors can buy a share in the renowned bank for just 55.7p. That seems too good to be true. But is it?

A rising share price

So I want to find out if Lloyds is good value for money. One thing I know for sure is that it isn’t as cheap now as it has been.

That’s because its share price has soared. Year to date, it’s up 15.9%. In the last 12 months, it’s outshone the Footsie and risen 24.4%.

I’ve been a Lloyds shareholder for a while. Like many other investors, I’ve watched it sit still for far too long, patiently waiting for it to make a move. That was always what I found rather annoying with the stock.

Finally, it seems we could be witnessing it gain some momentum. That said, I must remember the stock’s still down 3.4% over the last five years.

Valuation

But even with Lloyds gaining pace, I still think its share price is the bargain it looks on paper.

Trading on just 7.4 times earnings, the stock looks dirt cheap. That’s some way off the Footsie average of 11. For a business of Lloyds’ stature, I reckon that could be a bargain. By 2026, that figure is forecast to fall to just above six.

Looking at its price-to-book ratio, Lloyds also seems undervalued. At 0.7, that’s below 1, which is the benchmark for fair value.

Domestic focus

One of the biggest issues I see with Lloyds is the fact it generates all its revenues from the UK. Unlike some of its international peers, this makes it more prone to a downturn in the domestic economy.

The UK’s struggled for growth in recent times. And with a general election looming, as well as uncertainty surrounding interest rate cuts, that could see Lloyds’ performance suffer.

Investor sentiment

Lower rates will squeeze the firm’s net interest margins. And while I largely suspect that any near future rate cut is priced in already, I’m hoping that in the medium-to-long-term falling rates and the boost they should provide to investor sentiment will reflect onto the stock.

There’s also its dividend yield to take into consideration. At 5%, covered over two times by earnings, that’s attractive. Its dividend is forecast to rise to 5.2% in 2024 and 5.8% in 2025.

Turning a corner?

I’m optimistic the momentum we’ve seen the stock gain over the past few months could be the start of what’s to come. I’m expecting some more bumps along the way, but even if Lloyds produces more volatility this year and next, I’m content with that.

Lloyds is a staple in my portfolio. If I have the cash this month, I’ll be adding to my position. For investors who are in it for the long run, I think Lloyds is a stock to consider buying. I reckon it’s one of the Footsie’s best bargains.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Charlie Keough has positions in Lloyds Banking Group Plc. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Lloyds Banking Group Plc. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

£10,000 invested in a FTSE 100 index fund in 2019 is now worth…

Charlie Carman analyses the FTSE 100's recent performance and reveals a higher-risk growth stock from the index for investors to…

Read more »

Investing Articles

The ITV share price is down 27% in 5 years. Can it recover?

ITV doubled its earnings per share last year. But the ITV share price is still well below where it stood…

Read more »

US Stock

This S&P 500 darling is down 25% in the past month! Here’s what’s going on

Jon Smith explains why a hot S&P 500 stock has dropped in the past few weeks -- and why his…

Read more »

Young woman working at modern office. Technical price graph and indicator, red and green candlestick chart and stock trading computer screen background.
Investing Articles

The Greggs share price is too tasty for me to ignore!

Christopher Ruane has been nibbling a treat at what he hopes is a bargain price. Is the Greggs share price as…

Read more »

Investing Articles

How high can the Rolls-Royce share price go in 2025? Here’s what the experts say

The Rolls-Royce share price has smashed through even the most ambitious predictions, so where does the City think it'll go…

Read more »

Investing Articles

The 2025 Stocks and Shares ISA countdown is on! It’s time to plan

It's that time of year again, to close out our 2024-25 Stocks and Shares ISA strategy and make plans for…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Here’s the 12-month price forecast for ITV shares!

ITV shares have leapt after news of a large profits bump in 2024. Can the FTSE 250 share build on…

Read more »

photo of Union Jack flags bunting in local street party
Growth Shares

Why the FTSE 250 isn’t matching the all-time highs of the FTSE 100

Jon Smith flags a key reason why the FTSE 250 hasn't performed that well over the past year, but notes…

Read more »