Could this banking move boost Tesco shares?

Has the investment case for Tesco shares changed by news it plans to sell some of its banking business? Christopher Ruane shares his view.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

Tesco employee helping female customer

Image source: Tesco plc

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Supermarket giant Tesco (LSE: TSCO) has a market-leading position when it comes to grocery sales in the UK. But owning Tesco shares means more than just owning a stake in a British supermarket chain. It has been slimming down its international footprint, but still has some operations overseas. On top of that, Tesco also offers banking services.

The Tesco Bank business announced today (9 February) it plans to sell its existing credit cards, loans and savings to Barclays. This is expected to mean Tesco receiving around £1bn totally in cash (of which, a quarter was already received as a special dividend last summer).

Banking on it?

The logic for supermarkets running their own banks once seemed obvious. They had large customer bases visiting their stores or websites regularly. From customers’ shopping history, a grocer could likely make some educated guesses about them. Meanwhile, supermarkets have familiar brands that regular customers often trust.

In practice, things have been more mixed. Banking revenues of £700m in the company’s first half are a drop in Tesco’s ocean of sales that totalled £34bn. But banking can be much more profitable than flogging baked beans. In the first half, the bank’s percentage profit margin was 9.3%, more than twice the 4.4% achieved in its retail division.

Sainsbury’s sold its mortgage book last year and has said it is open to selling its remaining banking operations. Tesco has also started to reduce its banking footprint with the Barclays deal.

For now though, it plans to retain “capital-light, profitable businesses with a strong connection to our core retail offer”, such as insurance, cash machines, travel money and gift cards.

Still, it seems the initial strategic idea of supermarkets running banks is losing ground in the UK. So what might this mean for Tesco shares?

Possible impact on the price

The company said that the majority of the cash raised by the sale would be “returned to shareholders in the form of an incremental share buyback”.

I quibble with that use of language. A special dividend (such as the company paid when it spun off its Asian operations several years ago) is returning cash to shareholders. A buyback does not directly do that, it simply returns cash to some investors who sell their Tesco shares to the company in the buyback.

The theory is that it pushes up the price, but in practice, that does not always happen.

Tesco shares have risen 17% in the past year, so buying them back now would be less of a good deal for the supermarket than when they were cheaper. Every little helps, after all.

Tesco said it expects the deal and buyback to lead to “mildly” higher earnings per share. That could help boost the share valuation slightly, although it may not.

I think exiting parts of the banking business could help focus management’s attention on core retail operations. That could be good for the business over time. I continue to like its strong brand, economies of scale and large customer base.

For now however, I do not find Tesco shares to be especially attractively priced given the relentless competitive pressures supermarkets face. I have no plans to buy.

C Ruane has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Barclays Plc, J Sainsbury Plc, and Tesco Plc. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Warren Buffett at a Berkshire Hathaway AGM
Investing Articles

Can someone invest like Warren Buffett with a spare £500?

Christopher Ruane explains why an investor without the resources of billionaire Warren Buffett could still learn from his stock market…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Can these 2 incredible FTSE 250 dividend stocks fly even higher in 2026?

Mark Hartley examines the potential in two FTSE 250 shares that have had an excellent year and considers what 2026…

Read more »

Thoughtful man using his phone while riding on a train and looking through the window
Investing Articles

Is 45 too late to start investing?

Investing at different life stages can come with its own challenges -- and rewards. Our writer considers why a 45-year-old…

Read more »

Hand of person putting wood cube block with word VALUE on wooden table
Investing Articles

UK shares look cheap — but the market might be about to take notice

UK shares have traded at a persistent discount to their US counterparts. This can create huge opportunities, but investors need…

Read more »

Investing Articles

This FTSE 100 growth machine is showing positive signs for a 2026 recovery

FTSE 100 distributor Bunzl is already the second-largest holding in Stephen Wright’s Stocks and Shares ISA. What should his next…

Read more »

Investing Articles

I asked ChatGPT for the best FTSE 100 stocks to buy for passive income in 2026 and it said…

Paul Summers wanted to learn which dividend stocks an AI bot thinks might be worth buying for 2026. Its response…

Read more »

ISA Individual Savings Account
Investing Articles

Stop missing out! A Stocks and Shares ISA could help you retire early

Investors who don't use a Stocks and Shares ISA get all the risks that come with investing but with less…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Will Greggs shares crash again in 2026?

After a horrible 2025, Paul Summers takes a look at whether Greggs shares could sink even further in price next…

Read more »