Investing in shares that are down over 80% can seem daunting. After all, some companies’ share prices fall for good reason. Yet, I think this FTSE 250 business might be an opportunity.
Most people know Dr. Martens (LSE:DOCS) well. It’s become iconic in London, and the brand has spread around the world for its fashionable footwear.
The company has had rich cultural significance since the 1960s. It also initiated a successful turnaround culminating in 2010. But are the shares really worth me owning today?
Doc Martens in 2024
This year, the management is focusing on driving sustainable profitability and growth, focusing on shareholder value.
It currently has a strategy called DOCS, focused on direct-to-customer sales, operational excellence, customer connections, and supporting business-to-business partnerships.
The company now operates in three primary regions: Europe, Middle East, and Africa (EMEA); the Americas; and Asia Pacific (APAC).
It sells products from various segments, including Originals, Fusion, Kids, and Casual ranges.
A closer look at the financials
The firm has reported growing revenues and earnings since its initial public offering (IPO) in 2021. However, there’s been significant volatility in the results, particularly for its earnings per share:
Source: TradingView
While the above graph paints a turbulent financial picture for Dr. Martens in the last few years, generally the company’s growth is good.
After all, the firm’s three-year average annual revenue growth rate is over 14%.
Also, the company’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at around eight, particularly cheap compared to past prices. It’s also strong for its sector, considering an industry median of around 19.
Source: TradingView
While the above points look relatively promising to me, the organisation’s balance sheet does present some cause for concern.
As of its last annual report in March, it had £446m in debt and only £158m in cash on its books.
While that’s not terrible, it has gotten worse, and taking into account the trailing 12-month period, it has £530m in debt and £46m in cash. If the company faces economic hardships, it might need to raise more finances to pay its debts.
Other risks I’m considering
As of 26 January 2024, the Dr. Marten’s share price had dropped 39% in a year. While the company faced a significant drop in revenue during the period, it did maintain its trading expectations.
To me, that means such a steep decline in the share price was slightly unwarranted. However, it outlines a risk of volatility for Dr. Marten’s shareholders.
Also, while inflation and interest rates are expected to ease soon, there’s no guarantee of this, and any wider economic setbacks could contribute to reduced consumer spending over some time. Therefore, I think the shares might have slower or even negative growth in the near future.
It’s on my watchlist
I’m taking my time before adding these value shares to my portfolio.
As I’ve learned from Warren Buffett: I don’t need to pick many great investments in my lifetime to end up rich. It’s the quality of the ones I choose that really matters. Deciding on that often takes time.
If I do invest, I’ll be giving it at least five years to start seeing the investment returns I’d like. That’s not something I mind, as I like to buy investments with the intention of holding them for at least a decade.
