Should I sell underperforming Fundsmith Equity or can Terry Smith beat the world again?

Terry Smith’s investment vehicle Fundsmith Equity is heading for a second year of underperformance. Is it time to bail out?

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

Portrait of elderly man wearing white denim shirt and glasses looking up with hand on chin. Thoughtful senior entrepreneur, studio shot against grey background.

Image source: Getty Images

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Terry Smith remains the UK’s undisputed star fund manager and his flagship vehicle Fundsmith Equity is still much-loved by investors. Its long-term track record is terrific, and when I was loading up my self-invested personal pension (SIPP) plan this summer, I started by putting a big chunk into his fund.

I did that for several reasons. First, because Mr Smith’s well-known investment strategy has plenty of crossover with what we try to do at The Motley Fool: buy good companies, don’t overpay, then do nothing.

Smith has other rules too. They include no upfront fees, no performance fees, no shorting, no market timing, no index hugging and no trading. I’m down with all of that.

Smith’s law

Fundsmith was good value at first, with an annual charge of 1%. It now looks relatively pricey as charges fall across the board, driven by the exchange traded fund (ETF) revolution.

Few were willing to quibble. Since launch in 2011, Fundsmith has delivered an annualised return of 15.1% to 30 November. That compares to 11.2% on its benchmark index, MSCI World. Over the period, that’s the difference between 527.6% and 300%.

Mr Smith doesn’t always beat the market. Who does? In 2022, Fundsmith fell 13.8%, while the world fell just 7.8%. Despite that, he still made money, as the financial press sniffily pointed out. He pocketed £31m in the year to March 31, despite profits falling 14%.

Fundsmith is trailing this year too. It’s up 8.5% in the year to 30 November, while the MSCI World is up 12.1%. Somebody who bought a global tracker would have paid lower charges too. The iShares MSCI Index charges just 0.24%.

Naturally, past performance is no guide to the future. As Smith himself said, in January’s semi-annual newsletter: “Whilst a period of underperformance against the index is never welcome it is nonetheless inevitable”.

I’ll give him time

Fundsmith was hit by last year’s tech sell-off, with Meta Platforms, PayPal, Microsoft and Amazon all hurting performance. The tech recovery has helped lift the portfolio, with Microsoft the biggest holding, and Meta the fourth-biggest. However, it’s still underperforming because the MSCI World’s top eight holdings are all tech stocks, including 2023’s runaway winner Nvidia.

If Fundsmith was a pure tech fund then I’d be worried, but it isn’t. I already have enough exposure to that sector, via Vanguard S&P 500 ETF and the L&G Global Technology Index Trust. I chose Smith’s fund for its broader remit, as top 10 holdings include Danish obesity pill maker Novo Nordisk, beauty firm L’Oréal and luxury goods maker LMVH.

Novo Nordisk is up 47.48% this year while L’Oréal is up 29.38%, LMVH has gone nowhere but another Fundsmith holding, Estée Lauder, has crashed 47.98%. There’s always one.

To misquote Oscar Wilde, to underperform for one year, Mr Smith, may be regarded as a misfortune. Two years looks like carelessness. Yet I wouldn’t accuse him of that. My big worry is that success goes to his head. Or that his time has simply passed. Nobody stays at the top forever. Yet I’ll stick with Fundsmith for now. A generally solid year has been overshadowed by tech sector success. In time, I think events will swing back in Fundsmith’s favour. We’ll see.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Harvey Jones has invested in Fundsmith Equity and has no position in any other shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Amazon, Microsoft, Novo Nordisk, Nvidia, PayPal, and Tesla. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

This FTSE 100 fund has 17% of its portfolio in these 3 artificial intelligence (AI) growth stocks

AI continues to be top of mind for a lot of investors in 2024. Here are three top growth stocks…

Read more »

Growth Shares

Here’s what could be in store for the IAG share price in May

Jon Smith explains why May could be a big month for the IAG share price and shares reasons why he…

Read more »

Young Asian woman holding a cup of takeaway coffee and folders containing paperwork, on her way into the office
Investing Articles

FTSE 100 stocks are back in fashion! Here are 2 to consider buying today

The FTSE 100 has been on fine form this year. Here this Fool explores two stocks he reckons could be…

Read more »

Investing Articles

NatWest shares are up over 65% and still look cheap as chips!

NatWest shares have been on a tear in recent months but still look like they've more to give. At least,…

Read more »

Two white male workmen working on site at an oil rig
Investing Articles

The Shell share price gains after bumper Q1! Have I missed my chance?

The Shell share price made moderate gains on 2 May after the energy giant smashed profit estimates by 18.5%. Dr…

Read more »

Investor looking at stock graph on a tablet with their finger hovering over the Buy button
Investing Articles

1 market-beating investment trust for a Stocks and Shares ISA

Stocks and Shares ISAs are great investment vehicles to help boost gains. Here's one stock this Fool wants to add…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Below £5, are Aviva shares the best bargain on the FTSE 100?

This Fool thinks that at their current price Aviva shares are a steal. Here he details why he'd add the…

Read more »

Investing Articles

The Vodafone share price is getting cheaper. I’d still avoid it like the plague!

The Vodafone share price is below 70p. Even so, this Fool wouldn't invest in the stock today. Here he breaks…

Read more »