2 UK shares I’d buy for a prolonged economic downturn!

Many UK shares could struggle as Britain’s economy flails. But I think these FTSE 100 and FTSE 250 stocks can thrive in the current climate.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Middle-aged white man wearing glasses, staring into space over the top of his laptop in a coffee shop

Image source: Getty Images

I’m searching the FTSE 100 and FTSE 250 for the best UK shares to buy for these tough economic times. Here are two I’ll be looking to add to my portfolio when I have extra cash to invest.

B&M European Value Retail

Inflation is tipped to remain sky-high in the UK throughout most of 2023. It’s a scenario that, while threatening most UK-focused retail shares, should benefit value retailers like B&M (LSE:BME) as shoppers try to stretch their budgets.

The OECD reckons British inflation will average 6.9% this year. It also predicted today that the domestic economy will grow just 0.3% and 1% in 2023 and 2024 respectively.

Such a recipe should continue to drive significant footfall into B&M and its Heron Foods grocery stores. Revenues growth has already been impressive here and like-for-like sales in its flagship stores rose an impressive 8.3% in the first nine weeks of the new financial year beginning April.

Value retail has become massively popular of late. But in truth it’s growing strongly over the past decade. This FTSE 100 business remains committed to strongly expanding its store estate to capitalise on this long-term trend too.

It plans to have “at least” 950 B&M shops running eventually, up from just over 700 at present. It also has scope to grow its Heron Foods footprint and its network of bargain stores in France. I’d buy its shares even though lack of an e-commerce channel could cost it sales.

Grainger

Purchasing property stocks could be another good idea in this era of high inflation. Businesses like these can effectively protect profits by raising rents to cover increased costs.

Residential landlord Grainger (LSE:GRI) is one such UK share on my radar today. In fact this FTSE 250 firm offers an extra layer of safety for investors. Accommodation-related expenses are one of the last things people cut back on when times get tough.

This all explains why Grainger still grew like-for-like rents by a robust 6.8% during the six months to March. This was almost double the 3.5% it recorded a year earlier.

Rents in the private housing sector are soaring due to a worsening supply situation. According to HomeLet, the average monthly rent for new tenancies hit £1,213 in May. This was up a staggering 10% year on year, the property services firm says.

Like B&M, this is a company I expect to deliver strong returns for years to come. Development pipelines for new properties remain weak, meaning supply should lag continue lagging strong tenant demand in the coming years.

Construction activity on new homes actually slumped to its lowest level since 2009 (excluding the pandemic) in May. Strict planning rules and cooler buyer interest could keep homebuilding on the back foot too.

Higher-than-usual build costs could continue eating into Grainger’s profits. But as rents rise I still expect the firm to record impressive growth.

Royston Wild has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended B&M European Value. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Close-up of British bank notes
Investing Articles

£9,000 in savings? Here’s how to try and turn that into a £193 monthly second income

With a long-term approach and applying basic principles of good investment, our writer reckons someone with under £10k could earn…

Read more »

Investing Articles

A 2026 stock market crash could be a rare passive income opportunity

If a stock market crash comes our way then it might throw up plentiful opportunities for investors to secure a…

Read more »

Tesla car at super charger station
Investing Articles

£10,000 invested in Tesla stock 1 year ago is now worth…

Dr James Fox takes a closer look at Tesla stock with the incredibly volatile mega-cap company surging and pulling back…

Read more »

British pound data
Investing Articles

My personal warning for anyone tempted by the plunging Aston Martin share price

Harvey Jones was so captivated by the plunging Aston Martin share price that he ignored an old piece of investment…

Read more »

Stacks of coins
Investing Articles

This penny share just crashed 13% to 19p! Time to buy?

After another fall today, this penny stock has now crashed 70% since April 2021. Is it one that should be…

Read more »

Trader on video call from his home office
Investing Articles

Down 19%! Here’s why Barclays shares look a serious bargain to me right now

Barclays shares have slumped recently, but a big gap between price and fair value has opened, offering nimble long-term investors…

Read more »

CEO Mark Zuckerberg at F8 2019 event
Investing Articles

Why Meta Platforms shares fell 12.5% in March

Historically, investors have done well by buying Meta Platforms shares when the price has fallen. But is the latest legal…

Read more »

Arrow symbol glowing amid black arrow symbols on black background.
Investing Articles

£20,000 invested in BAE Systems shares 4 years ago is now worth…

BAE Systems' shares have soared since 2022, yet rising NATO budgets are just starting to feed through, so the real…

Read more »