Share your opinion and earn yourself a free Motley Fool premium report!

We are looking for Fools to join a 75 minute online independent market research forum on 15th / 16th December.

To find out more and express your interest please click here

Are Hargreaves Lansdown shares set to surge?

Over the last four years, Hargreaves Lansdown shares have been awful, losing two-thirds of their value. But I predict better times ahead for this stock.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

A pastel colored growing graph with rising rocket.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Since mid-2019, things have been tough for shareholders of Hargreaves Lansdown (LSE: HL). This stock has been one of the FTSE 100 index’s worst performers in recent years. Could this terrible trend reverse? Also, are Hargreaves Lansdown shares ready to rebound?

This FTSE 100 share slumps

Go back four years and this Footsie stock was doing great. On 17 May 2019, the Hargreaves Lansdown share price closed at 2,419p. Alas, it’s been pretty much downhill ever since.

To show how hard shareholders have been hit, here’s Hargreaves Lansdown shares’ performance over eight timescales (excluding cash dividends):

One week-1.0%
One month-5.7%
Three months-9.6%
Six months-11.3%
One year-23.3%
Two years-52.0%
Three years-40.4%
Five years-52.8%

Over all periods ranging from one week to five years, this Footsie stock has declined. Over two and five years, it has more than halved. Ouch.

On Thursday, this stock closed at 785.2p. This values the investment platform at £3.7bn, making it the fourth-smallest company in the FTSE 100. At this much-reduced valuation, the risk of relegation to the mid-cap FTSE 250 index at the next quarterly reshuffle is rising.

Five facts about Hargreaves Lansdown

1. The group was co-founded by Peter Hargreaves and Stephen Lansdown in July 1981.

2. Based in Bristol, the company is one of the city’s largest employers, with over 2,000 employees.

3. The firm floated in London in May 2007 and has been in the FTSE 100 since 2011.

4. Today, this business administers around £140bn of assets for 1.8m customers.

5. The company’s reputation took suffered after the collapse of Neil Woodford’s equity income fund.

This group grows with financial markets

As the UK’s largest direct-to-consumer investment platform, Hargreaves is there to be shot at. Rivals are winning new customers by undercutting its fees. And zero-commission share-dealing will surely undermine the firm. Hence, future revenue growth might be weaker.

Then again, as we save and invest more for retirement and the future, Hargreaves stands to benefit from this trend. Also, as asset prices rise, so too do the group’s management fees and other revenues.

Furthermore, Hargreaves customers are loyal, with few switching platforms from one year to the next. For example, everyone in my immediate family has HL accounts. In addition, the firm generates a market-beating return on capital, which it can reinvest into future growth.

I like the dividend

In its last financial year, Hargreaves Lansdown paid dividends totalling 39.7p. Based on the current share price of 785.2p, this equates to a tasty dividend yield of 5.1% a year.

What’s more, it has a track record of raising dividends over time. Thus, I expect these payouts to keep climbing. And its strong balance sheet has no debt to weigh it down.

Also, the shares’ forward price-to-earnings ratio of 12.5 equate to an earnings yield of 8%. This covers the dividend almost 1.6 times.

I expect this stock to soar

Despite the negatives, I’ve added Hargreaves Lansdown shares to my buy list. I expect it overcome any hurdles to thrive once more. Indeed, when I next have spare cash, I aim to buy these shares for my family portfolio. And then I hope to see this stock soar in the years ahead!

Cliff D'Arcy has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Hargreaves Lansdown Plc. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services, such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool, we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Black woman using smartphone at home, watching stock charts.
US Stock

I asked ChatGPT for the juiciest growth share for 2026, and it said…

Jon Smith is rather unimpressed with the growth share that ChatGPT presents to him, and explains his reasons why in…

Read more »

Two business people sitting at cafe working on new project using laptop. Young businesswoman taking notes and businessman working on laptop computer.
Dividend Shares

Here’s a stock lurking in the FTSE 100 with a 9% dividend yield forecast

Jon Smith highlights a FTSE 100 company that he thinks has been in the headlights for share price growth recently…

Read more »

Bus waiting in front of the London Stock Exchange on a sunny day.
Investing Articles

Could a 2026 stock market crash be on its way?

Will the stock market crash next year? Nobody knows for sure, including our writer. Here's what he's doing now to…

Read more »

Thoughtful man using his phone while riding on a train and looking through the window
Investing Articles

How much do you need in an ISA to target a £5,555 monthly passive income?

Muhammad Cheema explains how an investor could target £5,555 in monthly passive income over time by making use of a…

Read more »

Little girl helping her Grandad plant tomatoes in a greenhouse in his garden.
Investing Articles

With single-digit P/E ratios, here are 3 of the FTSE 100’s cheapest-looking shares!

Only a few FTSE 100 shares are trading at single digit-multiples of earnings! And our Foolish author has highlighted what…

Read more »

Friends at the bay near the village of Diabaig on the side of Loch Torridon in Wester Ross, Scotland. They are taking a break from their bike ride to relax and chat. They are laughing together.
Investing Articles

How much do you need in an ISA to earn a £33,333 passive income?

Discover how to target a five-figure passive income in a Stocks and Shares ISA -- and a top 7.6%-yielding dividend…

Read more »

Tariffs and Global Economic Supply Chains
Investing Articles

Did Donald Trump just deliver fantastic news for Nvidia stock?

With artificial intelligence chip sales set to resume in China, is Nvidia stock worth looking at while it's trading under…

Read more »

A rear view of a female in a bright yellow coat walking along the historic street known as The Shambles in York, UK which is a popular tourist destination in this Yorkshire city.
Market Movers

£20,000 of British American Tobacco shares could generate dividends of…

British American Tobacco shares are tipped to deliver more huge dividends over the next three years. Does this make them…

Read more »