Is this cheap share the full package?

Gabriel McKeown identifies a cheap share in the UK market that appears to be a prime opportunity for his 2023 investment portfolio.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

estate agent welcoming a couple to house viewing

Image source: Getty Images

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

When investing, as with many other areas, buying something cheap isn’t always a good idea. I’m always wary of an investment that looks too good to be true and am more than happy to pay a premium for a share if it is of high quality. I am more comfortable taking such a longer-term approach with price stability being more likely via these higher-valued investments.

This is especially the case when looking for strong dividend-payers to add to the income portion of my portfolio. I like to find high-quality companies that have paid consistent dividends for many years. These have robust underlying fundamentals and, consequently, often have a higher price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. This is due to their long-term returns warranting paying a premium.

Best of both worlds?

However, in pursuit my next investment opportunity, I may have found a company that is the best of both worlds. This is a high-dividend-payer, with strong underlying fundamentals and a very low P/E ratio. The share I am referring to is Vistry Group (LSE: VTY), a UK-based housebuilder.

The company has had a mixed few years, its price falling 30.8% in 2020 before rising 26% in 2021. However, this recovery was short-lived, with the share price down almost 47.5% in 2022. It is also down just shy of 54% from its post-pandemic peak in 2021. So the current valuation is very attractive, with a P/E ratio of 4.8 and forecast to reach just 4.1 in 2023. This is very low, and considerably below the FTSE 350 median of 10.

Impressive dividend and fundamentals

Vistry’s underlying fundamentals are attractive, with low debt levels and strong cash generation. The company has achieved a reasonable earnings generation on invested capital, a core indicator of a stock’s quality. Furthermore, the company currently has a dividend of 9.9%, and this is forecast to hit 12.1% next year. It has paid its dividend consistently for 12 years and can fund this considerable yield comfortably, with a dividend cover ratio of 2.1

Vistry has also grown turnover consistently over the last five years, and despite a tough 2020, underlying earnings have now exceeded pre-pandemic levels. This is undoubtedly encouraging, as a high dividend needs to be accompanied by solid company performance. Another strong signal here is forecast earnings per share (EPS) growth of almost 17%.

Challenging future

However, shares can be cheap for a reason, and the considerable price fall in 2022 should not be ignored. This is likely caused by the current headwinds faced by the housing sector, such as interest rate rises and cost-of-living struggles. And turnover is forecast to grow by only 13.1%, which is considerably below the three-year average of 30.5%, indicating that the next few years could be challenging for the company.

Nonetheless, I think this cheap share presents a great opportunity. The ability to invest in a company with a high yield and underlying solid fundamentals at this price level is very appealing. I will add this share to my portfolio once I have the cash.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Gabriel McKeown has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Businesswoman analyses profitability of working company with digital virtual screen
Investing Articles

The Darktrace share price jumped 20% today. Here’s why!

After the Darktrace share price leapt by a fifth in early trading, our writer explains why -- and what it…

Read more »

Dividend Shares

850 shares in this dividend giant could make me £1.1k in passive income

Jon Smith flags up one dividend stock for passive income that has outperformed its sector over the course of the…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Unilever shares are flying! Time to buy at a 21% ‘discount’?

Unilever shares have been racing higher this week after a one-two punch of news from the company. Here’s whether I…

Read more »

artificial intelligence investing algorithms
Market Movers

The Microsoft share price surges after results. Is this the best AI stock to buy?

Jon Smith flags up the jump in the Microsoft share price after the latest results showed strong demand for AI…

Read more »

Google office headquarters
Investing Articles

A dividend announcement sends the Alphabet share price soaring. Here’s what investors need to know

As the Alphabet share price surges on the announcement of a dividend, Stephen Wright outlines what investors should really be…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Turning a £20k ISA into an annual second income of £30k? It’s possible!

This Fool UK writer is exploring how to harness the power of dividend shares and compound returns to build a…

Read more »

Midnight is celebrated along the River Thames in London with a spectacular and colourful firework display.
Investing Articles

Can I turn £10k into a £1k passive income stream with UK shares?

Everyone talks about the magical 10% mark when it comes to passive income investing, but how realistic is it to…

Read more »

Investing Articles

3 market-beating international investment funds for a Stocks and Shares ISA

It always pays to look for new ways to add extra diversity to a Stocks and Shares ISA. I think…

Read more »