How this FTSE 100 stock might benefit from inflation and Brexit deregulation

This FTSE 100 stock has remained unloved by investors for a very long time but there are potential catalysts that might change everything. So, what’s changed?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

This FTSE 100 stock has not been popular since the Brexit vote and the share price is nearly the same as five years ago. However, Legal & General (LSE: LGEN) has been performing well and has consistently increased its dividend per share since 2011, growing at a compound annual growth rate of 11%.

In its latest trading update, we can see that Legal & General has been a beneficiary of higher interest rates, which is boosting its Solvency II coverage ratio and therefore increasing its capacity to return capital to shareholders.

This article will discuss the company’s latest trading update and a potential benefit from Brexit deregulation.

Latest trading update

Legal & General estimated its Solvency II coverage ratio at 215% (30 June 2022), up 28% since FY2021. The increase has been primarily driven by higher interest rates and a strong operational surplus generation. The company shared the key sensitivities for its Solvency II coverage ratio in the FY2021 presentation slides. We can see that the company’s coverage ratio is positively linked to higher rates, i.e. an expected increase of 19% in the coverage ratio for a 1% change in interest rates.

Source: Legal & General FY2021 presentation slides

As the Bank of England is expected to increase the bank rate significantly to tame inflation, Legal & General is expected to be a beneficiary of higher rates. As the company’s Solvency II coverage ratio increases, the company will have more capacity to return capital to shareholders via higher dividends.

Legal & General is one of the highest dividend payers in the FTSE 100 index, and is currently yielding 7.5%+. With higher rates boosting its coverage ratio, there is a strong possibility that it will increase dividends further.

Potential catalyst

Since Brexit, there has been an increased focus by the government to reform the legacy EU Solvency II regime, which is intended to loosen capital rules for insurance companies to release cash for investment in infrastructure projects.

Brexit deregulation might be a potential catalyst for Legal & General, as lower capital requirements will allow the company to invest more and earn higher returns. Additionally, the company might be able to return some capital to shareholders via special dividends or share buybacks.

Risks

Reforms to the EU Solvency II regime have been contentious between the government and the Bank of England. The government has been lobbying to reform Solvency II to show the benefits of Brexit and to bring an investment ‘Big Bang’ to support growth and jobs in the UK economy. However, the Bank of England has been trying to balance the risks to insurance policyholders of looser capital requirements with the benefits of higher investment in the economy.

Due to the ongoing Tory leadership election in the UK, it is not clear whether reforms to the Solvency II regime will remain a priority for the new Prime Minister.

Conclusion

Overall, Legal & General is performing well and is expected to be a beneficiary of higher interest rates and potential Brexit deregulation. As a Foolish investor, I’m therefore happy to continue holding my shares in this quality company for years to come.

Yuven Chetty owns shares in Legal & General. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

This way, That way, The other way - pointing in different directions
Investing Articles

As the FTSE indexes sink, these unique dividend shares are making investors money

These two dividend shares are in positive territory for the month and outperforming the major FTSE indexes by a significant…

Read more »

Rolls-Royce's Pearl 10X engine series
Investing Articles

Down 15% in days, are Rolls-Royce shares suddenly a bargain again?

Rolls-Royce shares have been heading south over the past couple of weeks. This writer thinks that makes sense -- but…

Read more »

Woman riding her old fashioned bicycle along the Beach Esplanade at Aberdeen, Scotland.
Investing Articles

What would a 40-year-old need to put into an empty SIPP to target monthly passive income of £1,000?

From a standing start at 40, how might someone target a four-figure monthly income stream from their SIPP? Christopher Ruane…

Read more »

British flag, Big Ben, Houses of Parliament and British flag composition
Investing Articles

As the ISA deadline approaches, UK investors have the opportunity to buy cheap shares

In recent weeks, equity markets have fallen significantly due to the conflict in the Middle East. As a result, many…

Read more »

Array of piggy banks in saturated colours on high colour contrast background
Investing Articles

£5k left in a Stocks and Shares ISA? 2 top ETFs to consider buying in April

Ben McPoland highlights a pair of very different ETFs that he thinks could help generate long-term wealth inside an ISA…

Read more »

Two business people sitting at cafe working on new project using laptop. Young businesswoman taking notes and businessman working on laptop computer.
Investing Articles

Could a £20,000 ISA end up generating £20,000 of passive income each year?

Could a Stocks and Shares ISA ultimately cover its own cost each year with the passive income it produces? Christopher…

Read more »

A young black man makes the symbol of a peace sign with two fingers
Investing Articles

2 top stocks to consider buying after this week’s FTSE carnage

Investors looking for beaten-up stocks to buy for the long term have a lot of great options after the recent…

Read more »

Smart young brown businesswoman working from home on a laptop
Investing Articles

A stock market crash could be a gift for long-term investors

A stock market crash could present some outstanding buying opportunities. But the key to taking advantage is knowing what to…

Read more »