How high can the BT share price go?

The BT share price has performed well in 2022. Our writer asks if the telecom giant is positioned well to continue this growth.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

Young female analyst working at her desk in the office

Image source: Getty Images

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

With the FTSE 100 index down 5% in 2022, it is a challenge to find shares that are in the green this year. However, the BT (LSE:BT.A) share price is a rare exception with it up over 10% this year. I question if this growth looks set to continue and whether its shares merit a place in my portfolio.

A defensive nature

BT is positioned well to fight against the threat of inflation. It has a strong existing infrastructure position, meaning it doesn’t have to rent from third parties. Alongside this, as the working world has been shifted increasingly online, broadband access is becoming a necessity for the UK population. This will allow the company to retain customers even as inflation climbs. This defensive nature has allowed the BT share price to be relatively unaffected by the threat of inflation.

In addition, I find the new joint venture with Warner Brothers Discovery particularly exciting. This will bring the two TV rights portfolios of both companies together to create one cohesive sporting hub. It is expected that this will encourage more customers to take out a subscription in BT Sport.

Strong fundamentals?

Despite seeing total revenues decreasing in the last year, BT has been able to increase profits through various cost-cutting measures. Profit subsequently rose 8.8% in the last year.

Despite this, I have some serious concerns about BT’s debt load. The company currently holds a hefty £22.8bn in debt. And with only £777m in cash and cash equivalents, it is not a debt sum that can be brought down easily.

With high and growing interest rates, this debt will likely become increasingly more expensive to finance. Therefore, I am expecting future cash to be funnelled towards financing activities instead of going into the hands of shareholders.

Primed for growth?

For a company that is already serving over 30 million customers worldwide, it would be easy to assume that there are limited future growth opportunities. However, the 5G rollout has provided these opportunities. This year, BT revealed that its networks cover 50% of the UK with 5G access. This is set to rise to 90% of the UK in 2028. As a result, the company has grown the number of customers connected to the 5G network by 231% in the last year.

While I am expecting this growth to slow, it is clear that there remain areas of the market that BT can still capture despite its huge existing customer size.

Overall, I believe the BT share price has room to grow over the next few years. While the high debt is a concern, I believe the company’s current customer base and successful 5G programme overshadows this concern.

This being said, I wouldn’t be buying this share expecting it to double in value to 400p. The defensive nature of this stock adds stability to my portfolio, not unprecedented growth. This stability is why I am seriously considering giving BT shares a place in my portfolio.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Finlay Blair has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

1 penny stock with the potential to change the way the world works forever!

Sumayya Mansoor breaks down this potentially exciting penny stock and explains how it could impact food consumption.

Read more »

Investing Articles

2 FTSE 250 stocks to consider buying for powerful passive income

Our writer explains why investors should be looking at these two FTSE 250 picks for juicy dividends and growth.

Read more »

Investor looking at stock graph on a tablet with their finger hovering over the Buy button
Growth Shares

This forgotten FTSE 100 stock is up 25% in a year

Jon Smith outlines one FTSE 100 stock that doubled in value back in 2020 but that has since fallen out…

Read more »

Middle-aged white man pulling an aggrieved face while looking at a screen
Investing Articles

2 dividend shares I wouldn’t touch with a bargepole in today’s stock market

The stock market is full of fantastic dividend shares that can deliver rising passive income over time. But I don't…

Read more »

Frustrated young white male looking disconsolate while sat on his sofa holding a beer
Investing Articles

Use £20K to earn a £2K annual second income within 2 years? Here’s how!

Christopher Ruane outlines how he'd target a second income of several thousand pounds annually by investing in a Stocks and…

Read more »

The flag of the United States of America flying in front of the Capitol building
Investing Articles

Here’s what a FTSE 100 exit could mean for the Shell share price

As the oil major suggests quitting London for New York, Charlie Carman considers what impact such a move could have…

Read more »

Two white male workmen working on site at an oil rig
Investing Articles

Shell hints at UK exit: will the BP share price take a hit?

I’m checking the pulse of the BP share price after UK markets reeled recently at the mere thought of FTSE…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Why I’m confident Tesco shares can provide a reliable income for investors

This FTSE 100 stalwart generated £2bn of surplus cash last year. Roland Head thinks Tesco shares look like a solid…

Read more »