Does the surging BT share price make the stock a buy?

The surging BT share price makes the company one of the best performers in the FTSE 100. Dan Appleby looks to see if he should still buy the stock.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

It’s been a good start to the year for the BT (LSE: BT.A) share price. Already, the shares are up 16%. And over one year, the stock is up a huge 50%. It means the company is one of the best performers in the FTSE 100 so far this year.

So, what’s going right for BT? But most importantly, should I add the shares to my portfolio?

What’s going right?

One of the points that appeals to me as a potential investor in BT is its expanding next-generation networking. This includes things like full fibre internet directly to homes, and wireless 5G mobile networks. BT is directly involved in these crucial upgrades across the UK. And things have been progressing well of late. As part of the results for the nine months to 31 December, BT said it “had a good [third] quarter with encouraging market share performance“.

Expanding on this further, it was another record-breaking quarter for the full fibre rollout for BT’s Openreach subsidiary. BT also confirmed that its 5G network now covers 40% of the UK’s population. These continuing upgrades will be key for its prospects in the years ahead, in my view. Indeed, Openreach’s revenue and profit grew by 4% and 7%, respectively in the nine months compared to the equivalent period last year.

However, the update wasn’t all good. In fact, total revenue over the nine months actually declined by 3% compared to last year. BT put this down to reduced demand for its enterprise legacy products and challenging market conditions in its global businesses.

In terms of overall profit though, BT was able to control costs very well. This meant that adjusted earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation rose 2%, despite the revenue decline. To my mind, this shows that the management team has a good handle on the business.

Should I buy at this BT share price?

The results didn’t show spectacular growth, then. But the free cash flow generation remained excellent. Looking ahead into BT’s next fiscal year (the 12 months to 31 March 2023), the free cash flow yield is expected to be almost 8%. This will support a dividend yield of 4% according to current forecasts. Therefore, I can see the appeal of BT shares if I’m looking to generate income in my portfolio.

There might be value to unlock in the company too. Reports had suggested that BT was close to selling its lucrative BT Sport division to DAZN for an estimated $800m. However, just this month, we learnt that BT is now in negotiation with Discovery Communications over a joint venture to combine BT Sport with Eurosport UK. This may lead to DAZN increasing its bid for BT Sport, which could then propell the BT share price higher.

But having said this, I wouldn’t invest in a company based only on this type of situation. It’s a very risky strategy as negotiations could break down. If this happens, then the share price could fall below where I bought the shares.

Nonetheless, I like the prospects for BT going forward, regardless of the outcome for BT Sport. Its expanding networks could lead to impressive growth. Also, the dividend forecast makes the shares attractive for an income investor. So I’d consider buying the stock today.

Dan Appleby has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

A senior man and his wife holding hands walking up a hill on a footpath looking away from the camera at the view. The fishing village of Polperro is behind them.
Investing Articles

Is 50 too old to start buying shares?

Christopher Ruane explains why 'better late than never' is key to his thinking about whether 50's too old to start…

Read more »

Two male friends are out in Tynemouth, North East UK. They are walking on a sidewalk and pushing their baby sons in strollers. They are wearing warm clothing.
Investing Articles

Here’s what £150 a month in a Junior ISA could be worth by 2045…

You might be surprised to learn by how large a Junior ISA portfolio could become inside 20 years from modest…

Read more »

Investing Articles

This red hot equity fund in my SIPP returned 12.6% in the first 2 months of 2026

This global equity fund is delivering huge returns for Edward Sheldon’s SIPP in 2026, despite all the risks and uncertainty…

Read more »

Friends at the bay near the village of Diabaig on the side of Loch Torridon in Wester Ross, Scotland. They are taking a break from their bike ride to relax and chat. They are laughing together.
Investing Articles

Want to retire richer? Here’s Warren Buffett’s golden rule to build wealth

If you want to build wealth for a richer retirement, then following Warren Buffett’s golden rule might be the best…

Read more »

Black woman using smartphone at home, watching stock charts.
Investing Articles

Get ready for stock market volatility…

As conflict in the Middle East makes share prices fluctuate, what strategies can investors use to try and find opportunities…

Read more »

British Isles on nautical map
Investing Articles

Why the FTSE 100 fell almost 5% this week

Declines in mining shares dragged the FTSE 100 down after a strong start to the year. Is the pullback an…

Read more »

Middle aged businesswoman using laptop while working from home
Investing Articles

How much do you need to invest in US stocks to earn a £2,000 monthly passive income?

Is it possible to target several thousand pounds of passive income each month by buying US growth stocks? Absolutely –…

Read more »

A mature woman help a senior woman out of a car as she takes her to the shops.
Investing Articles

How big does your ISA need to be to earn £1,000 a month in passive income?

Andrew Mackie explains how a long-term ISA strategy can help investors build a chunky £12,000 passive income in less than…

Read more »