This is how football transfers impact the stock market

A new report from XTB.com reveals which football transfers have had the greatest impact on their clubs’ stock prices over the last few years.

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

Sixed group of millennial aged friends discuss investing

Image source: Getty Images

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

If you are as much of a football fan as I am, you’ll agree that last summer’s transfer window had it all. A last-minute call by Sir Alex Furguson proved enough to bring Cristiano Ronaldo back to the red side of Manchester. Meanwhile, the Sky Blues had to contend with Jack Grealish’s record-breaking move from Villa Park.

We also witnessed the end of an era, with Leo Messi’s shock exit from Barcelona. And even though all bets were on a reunion with Pep Guardiola at Man City, the Argentina star decided to go to PSG. And if that was not enough for Les Parisiens, the club also welcomed newly crowned European champion Gigi Donaruma and Liverpool ace Georginio Wijnaldum.

[top_pitch]

Let’s face it: drama sells

Otherwise, why would Amazon bother filming the ‘All or Nothing’ docu-series?

In the sporting world, athletes are also assets for their respective teams. And while the majority of clubs are privately owned, there are some that are publicly listed. So, have you ever wondered about what happens to a club’s share price after a big transfer? And can you, as an investor, use that to make a profit? Thanks to a report from XTB.com, we can certainly find out how big signings have contributed to stock price rallies for their clubs. 

XTB analysts compiled data on the 10 biggest publicly traded clubs to measure the impact of their transfer activity. The top five most expensive arrivals and departures were analysed to provide us with an insight into the greatest positive and negative impact on stock value.

But what impact do these high-profile moves have on the share prices of the clubs involved? Let’s take a look.

[top_pitch]

The winners…

Undoubtedly, Cristiano Ronaldo is one of, if not, the greatest to have ever graced the pitch. However, the Portuguese megastar is also a brand in his own right. So it’s no surprise that his last two transfers were in the top 3. His most recent move to Manchester increased the Red Devil’s share price by 5.7%, while his move to the Old Lady resulted in a whopping 30% increase for the Torino-based club. 

Other big-money signings like Jadon Sancho (5.3%) and Paul Pogba (3.6%) have also significantly impacted their new club’s share price.

 

Player

From

To

% Change

1

Cristiano Ronaldo

Real Madrid

Juventus

31.8%

2

Bas Dost

VfL Wolfsburg

Sporting CP

16.7%

3

Cristiano Ronaldo

Juventus

Manchester United

5.7%

4

Jadon Sancho

Borussia Dortmund

Manchester United

5.3%

5

Javier Pastore

PSG

AS Roma

4.7%

6

Leonardo Spinazzola

Juventus

AS Roma

4.1%

7

Paul Pogba

Juventus

Manchester United

3.6%

8

Marcos Acuña

Racing Club

Sporting CP

3.3%

9

Quincy Promes

Sevilla

Ajax

2.9%

10

Tammy Abraham

Chelsea

AS Roma

2.3%

[middle_pitch]

…and the losers 

While signing a superstar could have a positive impact, losing one could be detrimental. Not the most expensive transfer on the list, but Gelson Martins’ move to Atletico Madrid resulted in a 14% drop in Sporting Lisbon’s share price. In contrast, AS Roma cashed in on Alison, which also resulted in a 7% drop in their share price. 

 

Player

From

To

% Change

1

Gelson Martins

Sporting CP

Atlético de Madrid

-14.12%

2

Alisson

AS Roma

Liverpool

-7.27%

3

Fábio Silva

FC Porto

Wolves

-6.67%

4

Pedro Neto

Lazio

Wolves

-5.47%

5

João Félix

Benfica

Atlético Madrid

-4.89%

6

João Cancelo

Juventus

Manchester City

-4.35%

7

Jadon Sancho

Borussia Dortmud

Manchester United

-3.86%

8

Bruno Fernandes

Sporting CP

Manchester United

-3.75%

9

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang

Borussia Dortmud

Arsenal

-3.24%

10

Hakim Ziyech

Ajax

Chelsea

-2.94%

Can you buy shares in your favourite club? 

The short answer is yes. Like any other publicly listed company, you can trade shares on some share dealing accounts. But before jumping on the bandwagon regarding the next transfer rumour, be sure to hear me out. 

As great as it might sound, buying shares in your favourite club is no novelty at all. You are becoming a shareholder in a real business, and this carries risks.

As seen above, transfers could be the catalyst for some share price volatility. However, Nick Train, a fund manager at Lindsell Train Limited, thinks that “short-term performance on the field is not a major concern”  for investors. Rather, what they focus on is the loyal fanbase that captures the attention of advertisers. 

So whatever your decision is in the end, the bottom line is it must fit with your goals and risk tolerance. If you need any tips or you’re not sure where to start, why not visit the Motley Fool’s investing guide for beginners

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

More on Personal Finance

Note paper with question mark on orange background
Personal Finance

Should you invest your ISA in a model portfolio?

Which model ISA portfolios offer both high performance and low fees? Hargreaves Lansdown, Interactive Investor and AJ Bell go under…

Read more »

Economic Uncertainty Ahead Sign With Stormy Background
Personal Finance

Is it time to exit emerging markets investments?

Investors may well be sitting on losses from emerging markets funds. Is it worth keeping the faith for a sustained…

Read more »

Personal Finance

Share trading? Three shares with turnaround potential

Share trading has been difficult in 2022, but which companies have turnaround potential? Jo Groves takes a closer look at…

Read more »

Man using credit card and smartphone for purchasing goods online.
Personal Finance

Revealed! Why Gen Z may be the savviest generation when it comes to credit cards

New research reveals that Gen Z may be the most astute when it comes to credit cards. But why? And…

Read more »

Environmental technology concept.
Personal Finance

The 10 best-performing sectors for ISA investors

The best-performing sectors over the past year invested in real assets such as infrastructure, but is this trend set to…

Read more »

Road sign warning of a risk ahead
Personal Finance

Recession risk ‘on the rise’: is it time for investors to worry?

A major global bank has suggested the risk of a recession in the UK is 'on the rise'. So, should…

Read more »

pensive bearded business man sitting on chair looking out of the window
Personal Finance

1 in 4 cutting back on investments amid cost of living crisis

New research shows one in four investors have cut back on their investing contributions to cope with the rising cost…

Read more »

Image of person checking their shares portfolio on mobile phone and computer
Personal Finance

The 10 most popular stocks among UK investors so far this year

As the new tax year kicks off, here's a look at some of the most popular stocks among UK investors…

Read more »