What’s next for the Lloyds share price?

The Lloyds share price has been weak in the past month or so, but can its results tomorrow reverse this trend?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

A slew of FTSE 100 companies are releasing their latest results during this week. I have been looking forward to these numbers, because they show the pace of recovery from the pandemic. Among these is Lloyds Bank (LSE: LLOY), one of the most traded FTSE 100 stocks.

A look back

First-quarter results were encouraging. As the pandemic’s threat started receding, it reduced its impairment provisions. It was also optimistic in its outlook. This helped reinforce the momentum that the Lloyds share price had acquired in the November, 2020 stock market rally. In early June, it touched 50p for the first time since the market meltdown early last year. 

However, it has lost some of its mojo ever since. It had fallen by 13% in early July from its June highs, before recovering some of the lost value recently. A sluggish economic recovery and the rise in coronavirus cases in the UK probably contributed to investor bearishness on the stock. 

What to look for in the Lloyds Bank results

I think this makes the next results update even more critical than it would have otherwise been. If the bank continues to make progress, I reckon the Lloyds share price could shed some of the pessimism holding it back. One indication of this would be a pick-up in loans. And its net interest income, which is the difference between interest earned on borrowings from a bank and interest paid by it on deposits, is another indicator to note. If can be indicative of more pricing power for the bank because of robust loans demand. 

I am also looking forward to its earnings per share (EPS) number, which can give a perspective on what to expect from Lloyds Bank’s dividends over time. At present, the bank’s dividends are capped at the Bank of England’s (BoE) direction. However, this can change soon as the economy normalises. 

The EPS number can indicate the potential increase in Lloyds’ dividends when the BoE lifts restrictions. It had a healthy dividend yield before the pandemic. I reckon that as and when it is able to hike its dividends, the Lloyds share price should rise. 

It would also be good to get any further information on the bank’s recent foray into real estate, which can impact its fortunes over time. And last but not the least, its outlook is important. With economic growth still soft and an expected slowdown in the real estate boom, I think there is a possibility that the bank may be more cautious in tomorrow’s release. 

Will the Lloyds share price rise now?

So will the Lloyds share price rise now? I think the bank’s prospects still look much better than they did last year at this time. I am less sure about improvements from the quarter before. All in all, I think this year as a whole may look better. I am optimistic about its share price based on that. But I will wait for the numbers tomorrow just to be doubly sure.

Manika Premsingh has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Lloyds Banking Group. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Middle-aged white man wearing glasses, staring into space over the top of his laptop in a coffee shop
Investing Articles

5 years ago £10k bought 4,484 Tesco shares. How many would it buy today?

Harvey Jones is astonished by how well Tesco shares have done lately. Can the FTSE 100 stock continue its strong…

Read more »

View of the Birmingham skyline including the church of St Martin, the Bullring shopping centre and the outdoor market.
Investing Articles

3,703 Legal & General shares pay £822 yearly passive income

Legal & General shares are a popular option for those looking to create passive income. But why are so many…

Read more »

Rolls-Royce engineer working on an engine
Investing Articles

5 years ago, £10,000 bought 9,827 Rolls-Royce shares. But how many would it buy now?

Without doubt, Rolls-Royce shares have been one of the UK's top success stories in the past five years. But what…

Read more »

Rear view image depicting two men hiking together with the stunning backdrop of Seven Sisters cliffs in the south of England.
Investing Articles

No savings at 30? How investing £5 a day in an ISA could target a stunning second income of £40,208 a year

At 30, investors still have the world at their feet. Harvey Jones shows how they can aim for a brilliant…

Read more »

Two elderly people relaxing in the summer sunshine Box Hill near Dorking Surrey England
Investing Articles

Here’s how much an investor needs in Lloyds shares to earn a £125 monthly income

Harvey Jones crunches the numbers to show how Lloyds' shares can deliver a high-and-rising regular income, with potential capital growth…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Down 45% in 5 years, this UK stock now offers a stunning 11% dividend yield!

Among the highest UK dividend yields, one immediately begs for closer inspection. Can this double-digit marvel really pull it off?

Read more »

Middle-aged black male working at home desk
Investing Articles

Here’s how Aviva shares could soon rise a further 20%… or fall 15%!

Aviva shares have fallen back a bit, with Q1 results due in May. But analysts are mostly optimistic, and see…

Read more »

Dominos delivery man on skateboard holding pizza boxes
Investing Articles

£5,000 invested in high-yield FTSE 250 stock Domino’s Pizza on 7 April is now worth…

Anyone who put £5,000 into FTSE stock Domino’s Pizza after the Easter break would now be laughing as its share…

Read more »