Why I would avoid this FTSE 100 stalwart

Jabran Khan looks into recent news about a well-known supermarket brand.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

J Sainsbury (LSE:SBRY) is currently the third-largest supermarket in the UK and therefore occupies the lower middle position in the Premier League of UK supermarkets. 

Inception to current affairs

Founded in 1869 by John James Sainsbury, the company was the largest retailer of groceries by 1922. Currently, the company is split into three main divisions: Sainsburys Supermarkets Ltd, Sainsburys Bank, and Sainsburys Argos.

The acquisition of Home Retail Group, the parent company of Argos and Habitat, in 2016 for £1.4bn was seen as a major coup. But in April 2019, the Competitions and Markets Authority (CMA) blocked a merger between Sainsburys and Asda, citing the risk of price increases for consumers. 

The recent announcement that chief executive Mike Coupe will be stepping down after six years was met with mixed reactions. 

Maureen Hinton, retail research director at Global Data, doesn’t consider Coupe’s decision to stand down to be a shock. “After the Asda deal didn’t go through it needed a period of stability to get the company back on track. So it probably needs someone else to take over. You need a fresh eye. It’s very tough in retail generally, but there’s a big argument for saturation in the grocery sector.”

Performance and competition

If you look at the most recent, post-Christmas, trading update the supermarket’s like-for-like sales fell 0.7% in the 15 weeks to 4 January. While grocery sales actually increased by 0.4%, poor sales in the division that includes Argos weighed on the company’s overall performance. Clothing sales, however, grew by 5%, which Coupe said was helped by colder weather in the weeks before Christmas.

These results show a mixed picture for the retailer,” said Richard Lim, who runs analyst firm Retail Economics. “On the one hand, the food business held up relatively well in an extremely tough market,” he said. “On the other, Argos appears to have had a much tougher time, delivering an uncomfortable decline in sales over the festive period.”

What should I do now?

Looking at the bigger picture with respect to share price and general performance, the firm’s profit levels have been decreasing year on year for the past three years. As has the dividend per share. 

The supermarket wars will continue with each of the big four trying to get to the top. New cheaper competitors are opening up, like Aldi and Lidl, offering consumers an alternative. The recent news that the big four have all lost small amounts of market share will add to worries about these new additions to the UK market. As a silver lining, in a recent survey conducted by Which?, Sainsburys was voted the cheapest supermarket. 

However, I would steer clear of Sainsburys at the moment. A new chapter in its rich history is afoot, given there will be a new chief executive to stamp their mark as well as the long-term evolution towards online shopping.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Jabran Khan has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

How I’d invest my first £9,000 today to target £36,400 a year in passive income

This writer reckons one cheap FTSE 100 dividend stock with good growth prospects could be a solid choice for a…

Read more »

Concept of two young professional men looking at a screen in a technological data centre
Investing Articles

Betting on the future: 2 exciting growth stocks I’ve been buying for my portfolio

Edward Sheldon believes that these two growth stocks have the potential to generate huge returns for his portfolio over the…

Read more »

Group of young friends toasting each other with beers in a pub
Investing Articles

5 amazing investments for a megabucks second income!

We'd all love a second income, but some of us just don't know where to look. Dr James Fox details…

Read more »

Young mixed-race couple sat on the beach looking out over the sea
Investing Articles

Here’s how I’d aim for £190 in weekly income from a Stocks and Shares ISA

Christopher Ruane explains the approach he’d take trying to earn almost a couple of hundred pounds a week from his…

Read more »

Investing Articles

What’s going on the IAG share price? It’s so volatile!

The IAG share price has demonstrated plenty of volatility in recent months. Dr James Fox takes a closer look at…

Read more »

Investing Articles

I’d start investing with under £500 like this!

Christopher Ruane explains the moves he'd make if he was starting investing for the first time, on a budget of…

Read more »

Modern suburban family houses with car on driveway
Investing Articles

This top-performing FTSE 100 company could be 30% undervalued

Oliver thinks this FTSE 100 online real estate platform is an exceptional growth and value investment. But there could be…

Read more »

Young Caucasian man making doubtful face at camera
Investing Articles

Analysts are expecting high growth from this FTSE 250 company

Oliver thinks this FTSE 250 business offers an interesting exposure to the Middle East and Africa. However, he doesn't like…

Read more »