Why I feel now could be the time to buy into the BT share price

Roland Head reckons BT Group – Class A Common Stock (LON: BT.A) could deliver a convincing turnaround.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

sdf

It’s been a dismal few years for the UK’s biggest listed telecoms companies. BT Group (LSE: BT-A) and TalkTalk Telecom Group (LSE: TALK) — have both fallen by at least 50% over the last five years.

However, both businesses remain profitable and now have determined management teams who I rate highly. Today I’m going to look at the latest news from both firms and give my verdict on each stock.

A change of culture?

When Tesco boss Dave Lewis took charge in 2014, the company was shaken by an accounting scandal and falling profits. One of Mr Lewis’s first big decisions was to close the firm’s headquarters in Cheshunt and move staff to another nearby corporate office.

As well as saving money, I believe this was an important psychological step towards the change of culture that he wanted to implement as part of his turnaround plan.

For this reason, I was pleased to see this morning that BT has sold its London HQ for £210m and will be moving to a new London location within 30 months.

The money is a drop in the ocean when set against BT’s £11bn net debt. But my reading of this news is that chairman Jan du Plessis and new chief executive Philip Jansen are serious about making the changes needed to transform this business.

The right time to buy?

One area where I think BT is only just scratching the surface lies in integrating customers’ fixed broadband and mobile experiences. In my view, the group has a strong advantage over rivals here, as it owns the EE mobile network and the UK’s largest fixed broadband network.

I think this is one area where BT should be able to provide superior services in the future, hopefully supporting higher profit margins.

At the moment, I think the group’s financial position remains stretched. But BT has access to cheap funding and Mr Jansen has room to cut the dividend.

With BT shares now trading on 7.7 times forecast earnings with a yield of 7.9%, I think the shares look tempting as a long-term buy. I own some already and may add more over the coming months.

A potential double bagger?

Back in May, I suggested that broadband firm TalkTalk Telecom was starting to look interesting. A trading update today has confirmed my view that the company is making good progress since the return of founder Sir Charles Dunstone.

Interestingly, TalkTalk is also in the process of moving its HQ. In the meantime, the firm says that headline revenue rose by 1.3% to £387m during the first quarter, while average revenue per user edged up to £24.72.

More importantly, the net number of new customers signing up for fibre broadband rose to 118,000 during the first quarter, compared to just 67,000 during the same period last year. Chief executive Tristia Harrison says that fibre customers tend to pay more and be more loyal than non-fibre customers.

Analysts expect TalkTalk’s underlying earnings to fall 10% this year before rising strongly from next year. I remain concerned about the group’s £781m net debt, but I expect to see cash generation improve.

TALK stock doesn’t look cheap, on 19 times forecast earnings. But if the business continues to make progress, I think the 110p price tag could look good value in a few years’ time.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Roland Head owns shares of BT GROUP PLC ORD 5P and Tesco. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Tesco. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

A pastel colored growing graph with rising rocket.
Investing Articles

Here’s how long it’s taken £1k of Nvidia stock to turn into £10k today!

Our writer explains how money invested in Nvidia stock less than three years ago has grown in value over tenfold…

Read more »

Thoughtful man using his phone while riding on a train and looking through the window
US Stock

3 red flags I’m seeing right now for the S&P 500

Jon Smith points out some concerns he has with the S&P 500 at current levels and picks one stock he's…

Read more »

UK financial background: share prices and stock graph overlaid on an image of the Union Jack
Investing Articles

UK dividend shares are outperforming US tech stocks!

UK dividend shares aren’t just for passive income investors. Over the last 12 months, they’ve been outperforming their US tech…

Read more »

DIVIDEND YIELD text written on a notebook with chart
US Stock

Here’s how much passive income an investor could make with £2k in Meta stock

Jon Smith looks at Meta stock from a different angle to normal, considering it as an option for an investor's…

Read more »

Young black colleagues high-fiving each other at work
Investing Articles

1 of my top UK shares is up 15% in a day! Is it still a buy for me?

Celebrus shares are soaring after strong full-year results. At a P/E ratio below 13, is it one of the best…

Read more »

Close-up of children holding a planet at the beach
Investing Articles

£10,000 invested in Jet2 shares 2 years ago is now worth…

Jet2 shares have surged in recent months and finally appear to be pushing towards fair value. Dr James Fox shares…

Read more »

piggy bank, searching with binoculars
Investing Articles

This FTSE 100 blue-chip could rise 26% in 12 months, according to brokers

While this FTSE 100 dividend stock has put investors through the wringer in recent years, some analysts see brighter skies…

Read more »

Businessman hand stacking money coins with virtual percentage icons
Investing Articles

A 3-step passive income strategy to target major wealth

Want to invest in the stock market to build up a passive income stream? There's no fiendlishly complex multi-step mystique…

Read more »