Why I feel now could be the time to buy into the BT share price

Roland Head reckons BT Group – Class A Common Stock (LON: BT.A) could deliver a convincing turnaround.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

It’s been a dismal few years for the UK’s biggest listed telecoms companies. BT Group (LSE: BT-A) and TalkTalk Telecom Group (LSE: TALK) — have both fallen by at least 50% over the last five years.

However, both businesses remain profitable and now have determined management teams who I rate highly. Today I’m going to look at the latest news from both firms and give my verdict on each stock.

A change of culture?

When Tesco boss Dave Lewis took charge in 2014, the company was shaken by an accounting scandal and falling profits. One of Mr Lewis’s first big decisions was to close the firm’s headquarters in Cheshunt and move staff to another nearby corporate office.

As well as saving money, I believe this was an important psychological step towards the change of culture that he wanted to implement as part of his turnaround plan.

For this reason, I was pleased to see this morning that BT has sold its London HQ for £210m and will be moving to a new London location within 30 months.

The money is a drop in the ocean when set against BT’s £11bn net debt. But my reading of this news is that chairman Jan du Plessis and new chief executive Philip Jansen are serious about making the changes needed to transform this business.

The right time to buy?

One area where I think BT is only just scratching the surface lies in integrating customers’ fixed broadband and mobile experiences. In my view, the group has a strong advantage over rivals here, as it owns the EE mobile network and the UK’s largest fixed broadband network.

I think this is one area where BT should be able to provide superior services in the future, hopefully supporting higher profit margins.

At the moment, I think the group’s financial position remains stretched. But BT has access to cheap funding and Mr Jansen has room to cut the dividend.

With BT shares now trading on 7.7 times forecast earnings with a yield of 7.9%, I think the shares look tempting as a long-term buy. I own some already and may add more over the coming months.

A potential double bagger?

Back in May, I suggested that broadband firm TalkTalk Telecom was starting to look interesting. A trading update today has confirmed my view that the company is making good progress since the return of founder Sir Charles Dunstone.

Interestingly, TalkTalk is also in the process of moving its HQ. In the meantime, the firm says that headline revenue rose by 1.3% to £387m during the first quarter, while average revenue per user edged up to £24.72.

More importantly, the net number of new customers signing up for fibre broadband rose to 118,000 during the first quarter, compared to just 67,000 during the same period last year. Chief executive Tristia Harrison says that fibre customers tend to pay more and be more loyal than non-fibre customers.

Analysts expect TalkTalk’s underlying earnings to fall 10% this year before rising strongly from next year. I remain concerned about the group’s £781m net debt, but I expect to see cash generation improve.

TALK stock doesn’t look cheap, on 19 times forecast earnings. But if the business continues to make progress, I think the 110p price tag could look good value in a few years’ time.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Roland Head owns shares of BT GROUP PLC ORD 5P and Tesco. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Tesco. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Warren Buffett at a Berkshire Hathaway AGM
Investing Articles

I’d follow Warren Buffett and start building a £1,900 monthly passive income

With a specific long-term goal for generating passive income, this writer explains how he thinks he can learn from billionaire…

Read more »

Investing Articles

A £1k investment in this FTSE 250 stock 10 years ago would be worth £17,242 today

Games Workshop shares have been a spectacularly good investment over the last 10 years. And Stephen Wright thinks there might…

Read more »

Asian man looking concerned while studying paperwork at his desk in an office
Investing Articles

10%+ yield! I’m eyeing this share for my SIPP in May

Christopher Ruane explains why an investment trust with a double-digit annual dividend yield is on his SIPP shopping list for…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Will the Rolls-Royce share price hit £2 or £6 first?

The Rolls-Royce share price has soared in recent years. Can it continue to gain altitude or could it hit unexpected…

Read more »

A senior man and his wife holding hands walking up a hill on a footpath looking away from the camera at the view. The fishing village of Polperro is behind them.
Investing Articles

How much should I put in stocks to give up work and live off passive income?

Here’s how much I’d invest and which stocks I’d target for a portfolio focused on passive income for an earlier…

Read more »

Google office headquarters
Investing Articles

Does a dividend really make Alphabet stock more attractive?

Google parent Alphabet announced this week it plans to pay its first ever dividend. Our writer gives his take on…

Read more »

Young mixed-race couple sat on the beach looking out over the sea
Investing Articles

Could starting a Stocks & Shares ISA be my single best financial move ever?

Christopher Ruane explains why he thinks setting up a seemingly mundane Stocks and Shares ISA could turn out to be…

Read more »

Investing Articles

How I’d invest £200 a month in UK shares to target £9,800 in passive income annually

Putting a couple of hundred of pounds each month into the stock market could generate an annual passive income close…

Read more »