Why these two FTSE 250 dividend growth stocks could beat the market in 2019

Two out-of-favour FTSE 250 (INDEXFTSE: MCX) firms Rupert Hargreaves is betting on for 2019.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Shares in food producer Greencore (LSE: GNC) are leading the market higher today after the company announced a significant cash return to investors. 

After selling its US food division in November for a total of $1.08bn, management informed the market at the beginning of December that the business would be returning some of these funds to investors. The group has decided to return a total of £509m by way of a tender offer at 195p per share, an 18% premium to the company’s closing price of 166p on Wednesday.

The maximum number of shares Greencore will buy as part of this tender offer is 261m, approximately 37% of its share capital.

Slimming down 

Greencore decided to sell its US business after a period of disappointing performances from the division. Management decided it was better to exit the US than try and turn the business around, which seems to have been a sensible decision. 

The group is now a stronger and leaner business, with management focused on growing operations here in the UK. “We will now focus all of our attention and resources on the significant growth opportunities that we see in the UK, both organic and inorganic,” Greencore’s CEO, Patrick Coveney told investors in the full-year results release.

Now the group has put its US mistake behind it, I think the stock is well placed to outperform in 2019. The shares are currently trading at an undemanding forward P/E multiple 11.7, and the tender offer should neutralise any drop off in earnings that comes as a result of selling the US business. 

On top of this, the stock supports a dividend yield of 3.4%. Management froze the per-share payout for the past three years as the company needed the extra cash to pay down debt. But now debt is under control, I can see payout growth resuming in the years ahead. 

Overall, after a year of consolidation, it looks to me as if 2019 will be the year Greencore makes a comeback.

Market-beating yield 

Another FTSE 250 dividend stock that’s on my radar for 2019 is Phoenix Group Holdings (LSE: PHNX). 

Phoenix is an exciting business. The firm acquires closed life assurance funds and then manages them through runoff. As the company specialises in this business, it can achieve economies of scale smaller peers cannot, which makes it the consolidator of choice in the industry.

The business model is also highly cash generative, which is great news for dividend investors. The company returns virtually all cash generated from operations to investors. For example, last year it distributed 45.1p per share, giving a dividend yield of 8%. This year, analysts have pencilled in a total distribution of 46p, providing a dividend yield of 8.2%.

Usually, a near-10% dividend yield would be a strong indication that the market believes the payout isn’t sustainable. However, in this case, I think the yield is so high because the market doesn’t understand Phoenix’s business model. It looks as if the distribution isn’t covered by earnings per share, but because of the way Phoenix accounts for profits, this metric is relatively misleading. Last year, the payout was covered several times by cash produced from the runoff of closed life assurance policies. I reckon this trend is set to continue.

Rupert Hargreaves owns no share mentioned. The Motley Fool UK owns shares of and has recommended Greencore. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Two business people sitting at cafe working on new project using laptop. Young businesswoman taking notes and businessman working on laptop computer.
Investing Articles

Are 76% off Vistry shares a once-in-a-decade opportunity?

Vistry shares are looking dirt-cheap on some metrics. Is this the kind of rare buying opportunity that only comes around…

Read more »

Road 2025 to 2032 new year direction concept
Investing Articles

Down 10% in a month with a near-7% yield — are Aviva shares the perfect ISA buy?

Harvey Jones says stock market volatility could give investors the opportunity to snap up Aviva shares at a reduced price…

Read more »

Man hanging in the balance over a log at seaside in Scotland
Investing Articles

£5,000 invested in Diageo shares 1 month ago is now worth…

Diageo shares have dipped below £14 recently, taking the one-year fall to 31%. So why has one leading broker turned…

Read more »

Close-up image depicting a woman in her 70s taking British bank notes from her colourful leather wallet.
Investing Articles

Elon Musk could give Scottish Mortgage shares a huge boost!

Dr James Fox explains why Scottish Mortgage shares could benefit massively as Elon Musk looks to take SpaceX public later…

Read more »

Investing Articles

As Rolls-Royce and Babcock rocket, has the BAE Systems share price finally run out of juice?

Harvey Jones is astonised at recent sluggish performance of the BAE Systems share price and wonders if there is better…

Read more »

Man hanging in the balance over a log at seaside in Scotland
Investing Articles

Down 31% and with a P/E of 8.8, is this FTSE 100 share too cheap to ignore?

Berkeley's share price has collapsed to its cheapest in roughly 10 years. Is the FTSE share now too cheap to…

Read more »

Investing Articles

10 dirt-cheap shares to consider after the correction

Investors keen to contribute to their ISA allowance before Sunday's deadline have a brilliant opportunity to buy cheap shares due…

Read more »

UK supporters with flag
Investing Articles

Why I think this super-cheap growth stock will lead the charge when the FTSE 100 recovers

Harvey Jones is seriously excited by this FTSE 100 growth stock but he also cautions that it can be very…

Read more »