Why these two FTSE 250 dividend growth stocks could beat the market in 2019

Two out-of-favour FTSE 250 (INDEXFTSE: MCX) firms Rupert Hargreaves is betting on for 2019.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Shares in food producer Greencore (LSE: GNC) are leading the market higher today after the company announced a significant cash return to investors. 

After selling its US food division in November for a total of $1.08bn, management informed the market at the beginning of December that the business would be returning some of these funds to investors. The group has decided to return a total of £509m by way of a tender offer at 195p per share, an 18% premium to the company’s closing price of 166p on Wednesday.

The maximum number of shares Greencore will buy as part of this tender offer is 261m, approximately 37% of its share capital.

Slimming down 

Greencore decided to sell its US business after a period of disappointing performances from the division. Management decided it was better to exit the US than try and turn the business around, which seems to have been a sensible decision. 

The group is now a stronger and leaner business, with management focused on growing operations here in the UK. “We will now focus all of our attention and resources on the significant growth opportunities that we see in the UK, both organic and inorganic,” Greencore’s CEO, Patrick Coveney told investors in the full-year results release.

Now the group has put its US mistake behind it, I think the stock is well placed to outperform in 2019. The shares are currently trading at an undemanding forward P/E multiple 11.7, and the tender offer should neutralise any drop off in earnings that comes as a result of selling the US business. 

On top of this, the stock supports a dividend yield of 3.4%. Management froze the per-share payout for the past three years as the company needed the extra cash to pay down debt. But now debt is under control, I can see payout growth resuming in the years ahead. 

Overall, after a year of consolidation, it looks to me as if 2019 will be the year Greencore makes a comeback.

Market-beating yield 

Another FTSE 250 dividend stock that’s on my radar for 2019 is Phoenix Group Holdings (LSE: PHNX). 

Phoenix is an exciting business. The firm acquires closed life assurance funds and then manages them through runoff. As the company specialises in this business, it can achieve economies of scale smaller peers cannot, which makes it the consolidator of choice in the industry.

The business model is also highly cash generative, which is great news for dividend investors. The company returns virtually all cash generated from operations to investors. For example, last year it distributed 45.1p per share, giving a dividend yield of 8%. This year, analysts have pencilled in a total distribution of 46p, providing a dividend yield of 8.2%.

Usually, a near-10% dividend yield would be a strong indication that the market believes the payout isn’t sustainable. However, in this case, I think the yield is so high because the market doesn’t understand Phoenix’s business model. It looks as if the distribution isn’t covered by earnings per share, but because of the way Phoenix accounts for profits, this metric is relatively misleading. Last year, the payout was covered several times by cash produced from the runoff of closed life assurance policies. I reckon this trend is set to continue.

Rupert Hargreaves owns no share mentioned. The Motley Fool UK owns shares of and has recommended Greencore. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Mature black woman at home texting on her cell phone while sitting on the couch
Investing Articles

Want a £1m Stocks and Shares ISA? Step 1 starts before 5 April

Dr James Fox explains why the Stocks and Shares ISA is an incredible vehicle, and why investors may want to…

Read more »

Happy woman commuting on a train and checking her mobile phone while using headphones
Investing Articles

2 dirt-cheap stocks to consider buying for an ISA portfolio in April

This pair of UK shares are down by double digits in recent months. Ben McPoland sees both as stocks to…

Read more »

Front view photo of a woman using digital tablet in London
Growth Shares

I think this undervalued penny stock has serious potential to outperform

Jon Smith points out a penny stock that's started to rise as the company pushes ahead with a transformation that…

Read more »

Close-up of children holding a planet at the beach
Investing Articles

2 dividend-paying investment trusts to consider for a Stocks and Shares ISA

These two London-listed funds source their dividends globally, offering income investors diversification inside an ISA portfolio.

Read more »

Businesswoman calculating finances in an office
Investing Articles

Waiting for a stock market crash? This FTSE 100 superstar just fell 19% in a day

A stock market crash can be a great time to buy shares. But one of the FTSE 100’s leading lights…

Read more »

Road trip. Father and son travelling together by car
Investing Articles

Rolls-Royce shares down 19%. Why is this major broker still as bullish as ever?

Our writer looks into the long-term investment case for Rolls-Royce shares after a 19% dip, and finds at least one…

Read more »

DIVIDEND YIELD text written on a notebook with chart
Investing Articles

9% yield! But a cut’s coming for 1 of the UK’s most reliable dividend stocks

While other housebuilding stocks have had big dividend cuts in recent years, Taylor Wimpey's been incredibly resilient. But that's set…

Read more »

Bearded man writing on notepad in front of computer
Investing Articles

Stock market crash? 1 Nasdaq share I’m keeping an eye on

With the stock market taking the elevator down recently, out writer has his eye on a company hoping to compete…

Read more »