Why I think Bunzl and the Diageo share price can thrash the FTSE 100 again next year

Harvey Jones says these two FTSE 100 (INDEXFTSE: UKX) favourites should continue to deliver the goods in 2019.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Distribution and outsourcing group Bunzl (LSE: BNZL) has been one of the strongest performers on the FTSE 100 for years, a stock I have regularly hailed as an unsung hero.

Bunzl in the oven

Investors will be singing its praises today as it has shown defensive teeth in a volatile 12 months. The £8.18bn FTSE 100 stock is actually up 16% over the past year, against a drop of nearly 10% across the index as a whole, and 77% over five years, against just 6%. That’s what I call outperformance.

Acquisition-hungry Bunzl has been buying up smaller operators across the Americas, Europe and Australasia, although it was knocked earlier this year by the war on non-recyclable, single-use products, the threat posed by Amazon Business, and a slide in core margins.

Danish tasty

Bunzl published a trading statement this morning confirming more positive expectations set out in October, saying it expects group revenue for the year to increase 8-9% at constant exchange rates, with organic growth of more than 4%, and a similar impact from acquisitions, net of disposals. Currency movements are expected to reduce constant exchange revenue growth by 3-4%.

It also announced another acquisition, Danish-based foodservice distributor CM Supply, which supplies own-brand and customised foodservice disposables and packaging to the hotel, restaurant and catering sector. Its proposed acquisition of Volk do Brasil now has regulatory clearance and should complete in January.

Go to it

My colleague Royston Wild recently said he would buy and hold Bunzl for a decade, calling it a go-to stock for investors seeking solid earnings growth year after year. It has certainly delivered that, and things look promising with forecast earnings per share (EPS) growth of 5% this calendar year, and 4% next.

Bunzl isn’t cheap, trading at 18.2 times earnings, but you pay a premium price for quality. And while the forecast yield is at the low end, 2.1%, management has been progressive, and cover is 2.5. A buy, for showing its qualities during bad times, as well as good.

Drink up!

FTSE 100-listed spirits giant Diageo (LSE: DGE) is another classy performer, up 7.5% over the past turbulent year, and by 52% over five years. As Roland Head points out, long-term investors admire the brand for its high profit margins, valuable brands, and continued growth.

The group, whose roster of familiar brands include Smirnoff, Gordon’s and Johnnie Walker, recently sold 19 brands, including Seagrams VO, to US firm Sazerac for £340m and plans to reward loyal shareholders by using the cash to repurchase its own stock.

Premium brand

Diageo typically trades at a premium price, and that remains the case today. It’s valued at 23.6 times earnings, which would put me off a lesser company, but this stock nearly always trades in the low 20s. If you spot it below 20 at any point, my advice would be to buy. It has defensive qualities, as we have seen in recent troubled weeks.

The yield is relatively low at 2.3%, with cover of 1.8. But once again, that’s standard for Diageo. Forecast EPS growth of 5% over the next year confirms the buy case for me.

harveyj has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Diageo. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Group of young friends toasting each other with beers in a pub
Investing Articles

FTSE 100 shares: has a once-a-decade chance to build wealth ended?

The FTSE 100 index has had a strong 2025. But that doesn't mean there might not still be some bargain…

Read more »

Passive income text with pin graph chart on business table
Investing Articles

I asked ChatGPT for its top passive income ideas for 2026 and it said…

Stephen Wright is looking for passive income ideas for 2026. But can asking artificial intelligence for insights offer anything valuable?

Read more »

Woman riding her old fashioned bicycle along the Beach Esplanade at Aberdeen, Scotland.
Investing Articles

Here’s how a 10-share SIPP could combine both growth and income opportunities!

Juggling the prospects of growth and dividend income within one SIPP can take some effort. Our writer shares his thoughts…

Read more »

Tabletop model of a bear sat on desk in front of monitors showing stock charts
Investing Articles

The stock market might crash in 2026. Here’s why I’m not worried

When Michael Burry forecasts a crash, the stock market takes notice. But do long-term investors actually need to worry about…

Read more »

Person holding magnifying glass over important document, reading the small print
Investing Articles

Is this FTSE 250 retailer set for a dramatic recovery in 2026?

FTSE 250 retailer WH Smith is moving on from the accounting issues that have weighed on it in 2025. But…

Read more »

Young Black woman using a debit card at an ATM to withdraw money
Investing Articles

I’m racing to buy dirt cheap income stocks before it’s too late

Income stocks are set to have a terrific year in 2026 with multiple tailwinds supporting dividend growth. Here's what Zaven…

Read more »

ISA Individual Savings Account
Investing Articles

Aiming for a £1k passive income? Here’s how much you’d need in an ISA

Mark Hartley does the maths to calculate how much an investor would need in an ISA when aiming for a…

Read more »

Two business people sitting at cafe working on new project using laptop. Young businesswoman taking notes and businessman working on laptop computer.
Investing Articles

Is investing £5,000 enough to earn a £1,000 second income?

Want to start earning a second income in the stock market? Zaven Boyrazian breaks down how investors can aim to…

Read more »