Why I’d still buy FTSE 100 giant GlaxoSmithKline but avoid this growth stock

G A Chester sees reasons to shun a small-cap growth stock with an uncertain outlook in favour of GlaxoSmithKline plc (LON:GSK).

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

E-invoicing firm Tungsten (LSE: TUNG) processes invoices for 67% of the FTSE 100 and 76% of the Fortune 500. Its platform “maximises efficiency and improves cash flow management” for such giants as General Motors, GlaxoSmithKline (LSE: GSK) and IBM, as well as other organisations, including the US Federal Government.

All about cash flow

In a trading update today, for its financial year ended 30 April, Tungsten said it processed transactions worth over £160bn and generated record revenue. However, compared with the value of the transactions, revenue was tiny at £33.7m. A 9% increase (at constant exchange rates) on the prior year is not particularly impressive and it was below expectations of £35.5m.

Historically, the company has been lossmaking and a serial disappointer, even on its favoured and most generous measure of profitability, EBITDA, which it defines as “operating loss from continuing operations before other income, depreciation, amortisation, share-based payments charge, and exceptional items.” It said it expects its EBITDA loss to narrow to £4.6m from £11.8m, adding that EBITDA turned positive for the final four months of its financial year. It didn’t enlighten us as to cash flow in those final four months but said net cash outflow for the whole year was £11.1m.

Tungsten has taken to capitalising development costs in the last couple of years. This practice has a positive effect on paper earnings but not on net cash flow. The company capitalised £3.6m in fiscal 2017 and £2m in H1 fiscal 2018. We’ll have to wait for the full results in July to get a real picture of how the cash flowed and an idea of whether remaining cash of £6.4m at 30 April provides the business with adequate resources. For the time being, I’m minded to avoid this AIM-listed stock, whose shares are currently trading 3.3% down at 53p, following today’s update.

Improving outlook

GlaxoSmithKline’s shares were trading at 1,350p near the start of the year when I saw great value in the stock. At that time, the forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio was 12.3 and the prospective dividend yield was 6%. The shares have climbed to a current 1,530p with the P/E up to 14.1 and the yield down to 5.2%. Nevertheless, as the P/E is around the level of the historical average for the FTSE 100 as a whole and the yield is above average, I still see value here and continue to rate the stock a ‘buy’.

In its annual results released in February, Glaxo reported improvements in sales, margins and cash flow in 2017. All three of its businesses — Pharmaceuticals, Vaccines and Consumer Healthcare — delivered sales growth. There was similar across-the-board growth (at constant exchange rates) reported for Q1 this year in April.

I was also encouraged that the company declined to bid for the consumer health business of Pfizer at a mooted $20bn and instead struck a $13bn deal with Novartis to buy the 36.5% stake in their consumer health joint venture that it didn’t already own. This transaction has just completed and will boost Glaxo’s future cash generation and support the group’s main priority of strengthening its Pharmaceuticals business and R&D pipeline. I believe investors can look forward to a new phase of good earnings and dividend growth over the medium-to-long term.

G A Chester has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK owns shares of and has recommended GlaxoSmithKline. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Young Caucasian man making doubtful face at camera
Dividend Shares

Will the Diageo share price crash again in 2026?

The Diageo share price has crashed 35.6% over one year, making it one of the FTSE 100's worst performers in…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Is Alphabet still one of the best shares to buy heading into 2026?

The best time to buy shares is when other investors are seeing risks. Is that the case with Google’s parent…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Could the Barclays share price be the FTSE 100’s big winner in 2026?

With OpenAI and SpaceX considering listing on the stock market, could investment banking revenues push the Barclays share price higher…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Will the Nvidia share price crash in 2026? Here are the risks investors can’t ignore

Is Nvidia’s share price in danger in 2026? Stephen Wright outlines the risks – and why some might not be…

Read more »

Middle-aged white man pulling an aggrieved face while looking at a screen
Growth Shares

I asked ChatGPT how much £10,000 invested in Lloyds shares 5 years ago is worth today? But it wasn’t very helpful…

Although often impressive, artificial intelligence has its flaws. James Beard found this out when he used it to try and…

Read more »

Portrait of pensive bearded senior looking on screen of laptop sitting at table with coffee cup.
Investing Articles

Did ChatGPT give me the best FTSE stocks to buy 1 year ago?

ChatGPT can do lots of great stuff, but is it actually any good at identifying winning stocks from the FTSE…

Read more »

Surprised Black girl holding teddy bear toy on Christmas
Investing Articles

Who will be next year’s FTSE 100 Christmas cracker?

As we approach Christmas 2025, our writer identifies the FTSE 100’s star performer this year. But who will be number…

Read more »

Businessman with tablet, waiting at the train station platform
Investing Articles

I asked ChatGPT for an 8%-yielding passive income portfolio of dividend shares and it said…

Mark Hartley tested artificial intelligence to see if it understood how to build an income portfolio from dividend shares. He…

Read more »