Why I’d shun falling knife UK Oil & Gas Investments plc for this growth star

This company’s route to growth looks smoother than that of UK Oil & Gas Investments plc (LON: UKOG).

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Hollywood Bowl

Image: Hollywood Bowl: Fair use

The market likes today’s full-year results from Hollywood Bowl Group (LSE: BOWL) and the shares are up almost 8% as I write. The numbers are good. Revenue rose almost 9% compared to a year ago with like-for-like sales up an encouraging 3.5%, suggesting the firm’s offering is hitting the spot for customers.

The firm is making money and earnings are rising. Net cash from operations increased more than 16% and adjusted underlying earnings after tax rose 30%, but adjusted diluted earnings per share eased by 8% due to an increased share count. The directors underlined the progress by declaring the first-time appearance of a meaningful full-year dividend that produces a yield a little over 1.9%, and a special dividend taking the yield up to more than 3.5% at today’s share price around 205p.

Strong growth

One of the things I like about the company is its narrow focus operating as the UK’s largest ten-pin bowling provider with 58 bowling centres across the UK under the Hollywood Bowl, AMF and Bowlplex brands. I reckon firms that specialise stand a better chance of doing things well than those that try to diversify their operations.

As well as rolling out its refurbishment and rebranding programme, the company opened three new centres during the period, which it says are performing “strongly.” Since the end of the trading year a fourth centre opened, suggesting that 2018 will be another good year for growth. Chief executive Stephen Burns reckons the rebrands and refurbishments have delivered significant returns,” and he says new centres opened in the year “have performed ahead of expectations.” 

There’s a “healthy” pipeline of new sites to feed ongoing expansion and the firm has plans to grow with “selective new openings and acquisitions.” One of the great things about the business is its healthy cash inflow. Customers pay before using the service so the firm gets to reinvest this flow of cash straight away. To me, the growth proposition with Hollywood Bowl looks robust and I’m more likely to buy some of the firm’s shares than I am those of UK Oil & Gas Investments (LSE: UKOG), for example.

Big potential

The oil and gas exploration firm is onshore UK-focused and raised £16.5m during 2017 to fund its four-well drilling and testing programme for 2018. With key regulatory permits already in place, the aim is to further appraise “the wider Kimmeridge continuous oil deposit plus the Horse Hill Portland oil discovery.” The directors’ lofty ambition is to provide stable commercial production and cash flow by early 2019. They reckon a positive outcome would give the company a solid base for further drilling and development of the “significant untapped Kimmeridge resource-base,” which underlies the firm’s extensive licence interests.

But as with all oil exploration, nothing is certain and there’s no guarantee that significant cash inflows will result. That’s one reason why investors have endured such a wild ride. The share price went as high as 9p in September but is near 3.5p today, and falling. Speculation drives these wild swings, but I reckon we’ll see less of that with Hollywood Bowl due to its strong and consistent cash flow, so I’d rather take my chances there than with UKOG’s make-or-break outcomes.

Kevin Godbold has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Hollywood Bowl. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Young Asian woman with head in hands at her desk
Investing Articles

£5,000 invested in BP shares 2 days ago is now worth…

BP shares were in a very strong upward trend. However, in the last few days they have pulled back amid…

Read more »

A young black man makes the symbol of a peace sign with two fingers
Investing Articles

2 top FTSE 250 investment trusts to consider in April

The FTSE 250 is brimming with high-quality investment trusts. Our writer highlights two very different options, including a mid-cap newcomer.

Read more »

Edinburgh Cityscape with fireworks over The Castle and Balmoral Clock Tower
Investing Articles

After making a fortune on Tesla, this FTSE 250 trust has piled into a little-known S&P 500 stock

Baillie Gifford made huge profits from S&P 500 growth stocks like Nvidia. Lately, it's been snapping up a lesser-known tech…

Read more »

ISA coins
Investing Articles

How much do you need in a Stocks and Shares ISA to target a £1,200 a year passive income?

A FTSE 100 index fund comes with a 3% dividend yield. But can income investors find better opportunities for their…

Read more »

piggy bank, searching with binoculars
Value Shares

What’s going on with the Greggs share price now?

Dr James Fox takes a look at the Greggs share price which has suffered more than most over the past…

Read more »

Middle aged businesswoman using laptop while working from home
Dividend Shares

2 UK shares with over 20 years of consecutive dividend growth

Jon Smith points out a couple of UK shares with strong dividend credentials that lead him to dig deeper and…

Read more »

ISA Individual Savings Account
Investing Articles

1 penny stock I feel comfortable putting in a Stocks and Shares ISA

When picking assets for a Stocks and Shares ISA, penny stocks are usually low on the list. But I think…

Read more »

Young mixed-race woman jumping for joy in a park with confetti falling around her
Investing Articles

£20,000 invested in the FTSE 100 just 1 year ago would now be worth…

Historically speaking, we've just witnessed one of the single greatest 12-month stretches in the history of the FTSE 100 index.

Read more »