Why I’d avoid trying to catch this falling knife after today’s 15% slump

It looks as if this company’s problems cannot be fixed.

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Troubled Israeli tech company Telit Communications (LSE: TCM) just can’t catch a break. In August, it was thrown into crisis when its CEO, Oozi Cats was reported to be a fugitive who had fled the US back in the early 1990s after being indicted for fraud. Shares in the firm dived on the news and have since struggled to recover. Year-to-date the stock has lost 41%. 

And today shares in Telit are falling once again after the company issued a profit warning and announced several key management changes. 

All change 

After the Cats saga, Telit has decided to shake up its management team. Interim CEO Yosi Fait will now become the group’s permanent leader and the former chairman of gambling group 888 Holdings, Richard Kilsby has been confirmed as the new non-executive chairman. Meanwhile, COO Yariv Dafna has been appointed as finance director. 

Telit’s new management is committed to “applying the highest standards of corporate governance and transparency across the group,” according to Kilsby, which should come as a relief to investors as it now looks as if the company is trying to draw a line under its disastrous past. 

Unfortunately, these positive board changes were accompanied by a profit warning from Telit. The company has already lowered expectations this year, cutting guidance in September due to tougher than expected trading. Full-year revenue guidance was slashed to between $390m and $400m and earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation to $44m to $48m. These figures were significantly below the EBITDA figure of $54.4m reported for 2016. 

Today the firm announced that it expects to report results for 2017 “materially” below this guidance thanks to pressure on gross profit margins as it transitions from mature technologies. 

Fallen angel 

Over the past few years, Telit captured investors’ imaginations as the company’s exposure to the fast-growing internet of things market (IoT) gave it enormous growth potential. Indeed, only a few months ago, analysts were expecting the company to report bottom line growth of 68% thanks to higher demand for its products. 

However, while some investors have been mesmerised by its explosive growth, analysts have expressed concern about the company’s cash generation or lack of it. 

For example, even though net income has risen from £4m in 2012 to £17m for 2016, over this period the company reported a net cash outflow of £18m. Debt and shareholder cash has filled the gap. Earlier this year, the firm raised £39m by way of a placing and since 2012 total debt has risen by a third. 

This is why I’m staying away from Telit. Even though the company’s net income has multiplied over the past five years, the group has struggled to generate a positive free cash flow. 

In business cash is king, and without cash, it’s only a matter of time before the company will have to raise new funds from investors. Overall, Telit’s new management might be committed to restoring the firm’s reputation, but until the group starts to generate cold hard cash, I’m happy to avoid it. 

Rupert Hargreaves owns no share mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

UK financial background: share prices and stock graph overlaid on an image of the Union Jack
Investing Articles

What next for Aviva shares after a cracking set of 2025 results?

Aviva achieving its 2026 financial goals a year ahead of schedule has got to be good for the shares... oh,…

Read more »

This way, That way, The other way - pointing in different directions
Investing Articles

Should I buy stocks or look to conserve cash right now?

In a market dealing with AI uncertainty and conflict in the Middle East, should investors be looking for stocks to…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Here’s how many British American Tobacco shares it takes to earn a £1,000 monthly second income

Is an AI-resistant business with a 5.38% dividend yield a good choice for investors looking for a second income in…

Read more »

Black woman using smartphone at home, watching stock charts.
Investing Articles

1,001 Barclays shares bought 12 months ago are now worth…

Barclays shares have delivered excellent returns over the last year. But can the FTSE 100 bank keep outperforming? Royston Wild…

Read more »

Two business people sitting at cafe working on new project using laptop. Young businesswoman taking notes and businessman working on laptop computer.
Investing Articles

Get started on the stock market: 3 ‘safe’ shares for beginner UK investors to consider

Kicking off an investment portfolio on the stock market may seem like a scary prospect. Mark Hartley details a few…

Read more »

Black woman using smartphone at home, watching stock charts.
Investing Articles

2 spectacular growth stocks to consider buying in March

Investors ignore the risks with growth stocks when things are going well. But when this changes, fixating on the dangers…

Read more »

UK financial background: share prices and stock graph overlaid on an image of the Union Jack
Investing Articles

Why is the FTSE 100 suddenly beating the S&P 500?

The UK's blue-chip index has been on fire over the past couple of years, helping it catch up to the…

Read more »

Artillery rocket system aimed to the sky and soldiers at sunset.
Investing Articles

This non-oil FTSE stock’s risen 4.6% in 3 days. What’s going on?

Against the backdrop of trouble in the Middle East, James Beard investigates why this FTSE 100 stock’s doing so well.…

Read more »