Every quarter I take a look at the top FTSE 100 companies in each of the index’s 10 industries to see how they shape up as a potential starter portfolio.
The table below shows the 10 heavyweights and their valuations based on forecast 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios and dividend yields.
| Company | Industry | Recent share price (p) | P/E | Yield (%) |
| BAE Systems | Industrials | 643 | 14.4 | 3.5 |
| British American Tobacco | Consumer Goods | 5,300 | 18.1 | 3.6 |
| GlaxoSmithKline | Health Care | 1,660 | 14.9 | 4.8 |
| HSBC Holdings | Financials | 651 | 13.3 | 6.3 |
| National Grid | Utilities | 1,014 | 15.7 | 4.5 |
| Rio Tinto | Basic Materials | 3,210 | 9.1 | 6.3 |
| Royal Dutch Shell | Oil & Gas | 2,185 | 14.2 | 6.8 |
| Sage (LSE: SGE) | Technology | 631 | 18.6 | 2.7 |
| Tesco (LSE: TSCO) | Consumer Services | 186 | 18.7 | 1.7 |
| Vodafone | Telecommunications | 208 | 31.3 | 6.0 |
Before looking at which individual companies might be particularly good buys today, let’s get a feel for the overall value.
The table below shows average P/Es and yields for the group for the last four quarters and four years.
| P/E | Yield (%) | |
| April 2017 | 16.8 | 4.6 |
| January 2017 | 17.0 | 4.4 |
| October 2016 | 17.3 | 4.0 |
| July 2016 | 17.2 | 4.4 |
| April 2016 | 16.4 | 5.0 |
| April 2015 | 14.9 | 4.8 |
| April 2014 | 12.8 | 4.6 |
| April 2013 | 12.4 | 4.4 |
My rule of thumb for the group is that an average P/E below 10 is bargain territory, 10-14 is good value and above 14 starts to move towards expensive.
As you can see, the group P/E is currently towards the expensive end of my range — although it has edged lower over the past three quarters and the dividend yield has ticked higher. This seems to reflect rising earnings and dividend forecasts (probably in large part due to weak sterling helping these multinational businesses) and share prices rising not quite as fast as the forecasts.
Which stocks offer good value today?
HSBC, Rio Tinto and Royal Dutch Shell have the three lowest P/Es and highest yields. They continue to look good value today but I’ve highlighted them for you at much lower prices previously, so I’m going to turn my attention to two companies that aren’t obviously cheap but which I think are worth considering at this time.
I have to go back to my quarterly review of January 2016 for the last time Tesco (LSE: TSCO) was on a P/E of below 20. Today’s P/E of 18.7 is still relatively high, but with chief executive Dave Lewis’s turnaround plan gaining traction, the multiple falls to nearer 14 on a 24-month view.
When you consider that Tesco’s annual revenue is about one-and-a-third times that of Sainsbury’s and Morrisons combined, it should be no suprise that it has taken time to manoeuvre this metaphorical super tanker back on course. It’s now looking like full steam ahead and with its economies of scale, Tesco should be able to print above-sector-average profit margins in due course.
A deal to acquire leading wholesaler Booker may or may not go ahead, but either way, I believe now could be a good time to pick up shares in the UK’s dominant supermarket.
Also good value
Finally, I think shares of accountancy software and services giant Sage (LSE: SGE) could also be worth buying at their current level. The P/E of 18.6 is on a par with Tesco’s, but tech company multiples tend to be higher than average and Sage is trading at a decent discount to its sector peers.
This global operator has been investing and transforming its business model for a new phase of growth. I’m expecting to see both rising revenues and expanding profit margins coming through over the next few years. Sage may even be able to exceed consensus City forecasts, which are currently depressed by a couple of particularly bearish analysts.
