Vodafone Group plc vs easyJet plc: which falling knife should you catch?

Royston Wild considers whether Vodafone Group plc (LON: VOD) and easyJet plc (LON: EZJ) are wise contrarian investments.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Mobile mammoth Vodafone Group (LSE: VOD) has been subject to share price weakness in recent weeks as fears of moderating revenue growth have intensified. Indeed, the stock has fallen 8% in the past month.

Vodafone’s third-quarter statement released in early February certainly lent weight to these concerns. The London business advised that organic service revenues in its core European marketplace advanced 0.7% during October-December, slowing from 1% in the prior quarter.

Meanwhile, Vodafone saw organic services revenues its growth in the Africa, Middle East and Asia Pacific (AMAP) region stuttering to 3.9% during the third quarter, slowing markedly from sales growth of 7.7% and 7.1% during quarters one and two respectively.

Of particular concern will be the recent underperformance in India, the fastest-growing mobile market in Asia. Indeed, sales here dipped 1.9% in October-December as local competitor Reliance Jio’s cut-price deals chipped away at its customer base.

This has forced Vodafone into drastic action to claw back customers, including floating the idea of merging its operations with Idea Cellular to create the country’s largest mobile phone operator. And the British business announced today that its 4G rollout in India will take in Goa and Chennai in the coming months.

And Vodafone may be forced to dole out even more in organic investment and M&A activities to put a jolt back into the top line.

A high forward P/E ratio of 35.8 times may put off some investors, while fears of huge capex bills have also raised speculation that the era of super dividend growth may also be drawing to a close.

Having said that, the subsequent rewards of increased investment at Vodafone could be explosive, particularly in emerging regions as rising wealth levels are likely to keep driving mobile services demand through the roof. I reckon the telecoms titan remains an engaging growth selection.

Brace for turbulence

Budget flyer easyJet (LSE: EZJ) has also sunk during the past four weeks, a 6% decline illustrating rising fears over the health of the travel sector.

The latest downleg has been prompted by easyJet’s warning last month that sustained sterling weakness and increasing fuel costs were £35m worse than predicted, and that currency pressures alone will take £105m off the bottom line in the current fiscal year.

This is not the only disappointing update the Luton flyer has released in recent months, of course, and the potential for more bad news in the coming months is strong. And this could spell more share price trouble, naturally.

However, I maintain my bullish long-term stance on easyJet. While competition in the budget segment is rising, the size of the overall pie continues to grow as travellers increasingly demand more bang for their buck. Besides, easyJet is aggressively expanding to bolster its position in the marketplace, steps that helped passenger growth detonate 8.2% during October-December.

I reckon a prospective P/E ratio of 12.3 times is a decent level at which to latch onto easyJet’s favourable growth story.

Royston Wild has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

A tram in Manchester's city centre
Investing Articles

Here are 5 things Greggs shareholders just learned

Ben McPoland takes a look at some key bits from Greggs' 2025 report. But with consumer spending still under the…

Read more »

Businessman with tablet, waiting at the train station platform
Investing Articles

Lloyds’ share price has plunged 14% from its highs! Time to buy?

Lloyds' share price is back below 100p amid sinking market confidence. Should investors consider buying the FTSE 100 bank as…

Read more »

Landlady greets regular at real ale pub
Investing Articles

Prediction: in 12 months, Diageo shares and dividends could turn £20,000 into…

Diageo shares have dropped more than a quarter over the last year. Does this make the FTSE 100 company a…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Is today’s volatility a once-in-a-decade chance to buy UK stocks?

UK stocks are taking a beating as war in the Middle East spooks investors. Harvey Jones says investors need to…

Read more »

British coins and bank notes scattered on a surface
Investing Articles

How much do I need in an ISA to earn a second income of £950 a month?

A second income can be a life-saver when problems arise. Mark Hartley calculates how much is needed in an ISA…

Read more »

Rolls-Royce's Pearl 10X engine series
Investing Articles

Prediction: in 12 months, surging Rolls-Royce shares and dividends could turn £20,000 into…

Rolls-Royce shares have soared around two-thirds in value as earnings have continued to take off. Can it keep rising? Royston…

Read more »

Businessman with tablet, waiting at the train station platform
Investing Articles

After the FTSE 100’s latest slide, I spy bargain shares!

Since the US launched an attack on Iran, the FTSE 100 has dropped by over 5%. But falling share prices…

Read more »

Investing Articles

£10,000 buys 373 shares in this FTSE 100 heavyweight that’s tipped to surve in 2026

With analysts expecting the stock to climb 54% in the next 12 months, is now the perfect time for investors…

Read more »