Why I’m avoiding these growth shares right now

Bilaal Mohamed explains why he thinks investors should think twice before buying these growth shares.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Auto Trader (LSE: AUTO) is the UK and Ireland’s largest digital automotive marketplace, and currently sits at the heart of the nation’s vehicle buying process. Earlier this month the FTSE 250-listed group announced a strong set of interim results for the first half of its financial year through to 25 September. The firm revealed an 11% rise in revenues to £153.9m, compared to £138.2m reported for the same period a year earlier, with underlying operating profit rising by an impressive 23% to £102.3m.

Market domination

Over the years, Auto Trader has become the go-to place for buying or selling a used car in the UK. In fact, I remember back in the old days, before the internet, buying a copy of the weekly magazine and flicking through its pages looking for affordable bargains. Sadly, after 36 years, the final edition of the printed magazine was published in June 2013, with the company deciding to focus on its online business.

But for both the old days of print to today’s online focus, in my view, the company’s biggest asset has always been its strong recognisable brand. Auto Trader today attracts around 60m cross platform visits each month. Yes, that sounds impressive, but for me what’s most encouraging is that 70% of these visits are now coming through mobile devices. That’s the way consumers are going and the company is giving them what they want. And the marketplace has the largest pool of vehicle sellers, listing over 430,000 cars each day, with 80% of automotive retailers in the UK advertising on the website.

Is there a downside? Well, it’s no secret that Auto Trader dominates the car buying and selling market in the UK and Ireland, and although the City is forecasting good earnings growth over the medium term, I just can’t see it growing at breakneck speeds forever. For that reason I see Auto Trader’s forward P/E rating of 26 a little demanding. I would suggest keen investors wait for further weakness in the share price before buying to gain a more favourable valuation.

Aveva swings to profit

Another mid-cap growth firm that I’m currently having mixed feelings about is engineering software provider Aveva Group (LSE: AVV). In its latest market update, the Cambridge-based business announced a swing to profit for the first half of its financial year, with revenues also rising despite continued tough trading conditions.

For the six months to the end of September the group reported pre-tax profits of £5.5m, compared to an £800k loss for the same period in 2015. Total sales climbed 3% higher to £84.3m, from £82m a year earlier, but this was assisted by favourable currency translation. On a constant currency basis, revenues actually came in 6% lower, and for me that’s a more telling measure of performance.

After two years of decline, analysts reckon Aveva will return to growth this year via an anticipated 14% rise in earnings, with a further 10% improvement forecast for FY2018. But I think that with the firm’s P/E rating of 24, this projected growth is already baked into the price, and at current levels I just don’t see any compelling reason to buy.

Bilaal Mohamed has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Auto Trader. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Dominos delivery man on skateboard holding pizza boxes
Investing Articles

£5,000 invested in high-yield FTSE 250 stock Domino’s Pizza on 7 April is now worth…

Anyone who put £5,000 into FTSE stock Domino’s Pizza after the Easter break would now be laughing as its share…

Read more »

Tesla building with tesla logo and two teslas in front
Investing Articles

Tesla stock’s up 50% in a year. Could it go even higher?

This week saw Tesla announce mixed first-quarter results. Yet Tesla stock's worth half as much again as a year ago.…

Read more »

Businessman hand stacking up arrow on wooden block cubes
Investing Articles

Up 9% today, is this FTSE 250 share’s recovery gaining pace?

This FTSE 250 share has had a welcome boost in the market today after it unveiled an upbeat trading statement.…

Read more »

Lady wearing a head scarf looks over pages on company financials
Investing Articles

5 years ago Barclays shares cost just 181p! Are they still a buy at today’s 434p?

Harvey Jones says investors have to pay a lot more to buy Barclays shares than just a few years ago,…

Read more »

Tanker coming in to dock in calm waters and a clear sunset
Investing Articles

Up 36%, could Shell shares still offer value for the long term?

Christopher Ruane has owned Shell shares before -- and got burnt by a dividend cut. Could recent oil price rises…

Read more »

A young Asian woman holding up her index finger
Investing Articles

£5,000 invested in FTSE 100 stock London Stock Exchange Group 1 month ago is now worth…

FTSE 100 powerhouse London Stock Exchange Group has been dragged into the software sell-off. However, recently, it has started to…

Read more »

Two business people sitting at cafe working on new project using laptop. Young businesswoman taking notes and businessman working on laptop computer.
Investing Articles

The Barratt Redrow share price trades at a 13-year low! Is it a screaming buy at 266p?

The Barratt Redrow share price has taken a battering in recent years but Harvey Jones says the FTSE 100 stock…

Read more »

Finger clicking a button marked 'Buy' on a keyboard
Growth Shares

Why is everyone buying Rio Tinto shares?

Rio Tinto shares are the flavour of the week among investors. Paul Summers is asking whether this momentum will continue.

Read more »