A quick way to reject weak shares

How to identify potential investment howlers, fast.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Companies often have a great ‘story’ that attracts me to them for their upside potential. However, if things don’t turn out as expected my capital is at risk if the company has a weak balance sheet.

Balance sheet weakness means a firm isn’t built on solid financial foundations, so it makes sense to check the strength of the balance sheet before anything else and reject shares that don’t measure up. How should I do that?

Three-step check

One answer came to me in a neat, time-efficient package delivered by well-respected financial blogger and investor Paul Scott when I read one of his Small Cap Value Reports over on Stockopedia. Paul occasionally posts on The Motley Fool bulletin boards under the pseudonym Paulypilot and used to be a company financial director. Paul’s approach is to look at a firm’s balance sheet and follow this three-step check:

1) Look for a positive net tangible asset value (NTAV)

Using AIM tiddler Robinson (LSE: RBN) as an example, we can click on the preliminary results report and scroll down to the balance sheet, which it labels as Statement of Financial Position. To find the net asset value we first locate the line labelled Net Assets, hown with a value of £24.557m.

To strip that down to tangible net assets we take off the intangibles. Scroll back up to the top of the balance sheet and locate Goodwill at £1.264m and Other Intangible Assets at £6.655m. Now take both those figures from the net asset figure to arrive at an NTAV of £16.638m.

That’s a positive figure as required by the test as the firm has more in property, plant, equipment and other ‘real’ assets than it carries in borrowings and other liabilities.

Robinson makes packaging for fast-moving consumer goods and this is a good test for such a trading company. However, other firms in other sectors can run asset-light businesses and some intangible assets can be valuable. So it pays to judge each case individually and sometimes it’s worth loosening this test and looking for a positive Net Asset Value that includes intangibles instead.

2) Work out the current ratio and ensure it’s ideally at least 1.2  

A firm’s current ratio (AKA the working capital ratio) gives an indication of its ability to meet short-term debt obligations. A reading of one or above is good but the higher the better. Paul aims for at least 1.2.

To work out the current ratio, divide Current Assets by Current Liabilities. From Robinson’s balance sheet, Current Assets come to £15.645m and Current Liabilities to £14.159m. The Current Ratio works out at 1.1. Not 1.2, but close.

3) Make sure net debt and pension deficit is acceptable   

Under Current Liabilities, Robinson’s balance sheet shows Borrowings of £4.461m. Under Non-Current Liabilities, the borrowings figure is £1.132m. Adding these together, the gross borrowings figure is £5.593m.

To get the net debt figure, take off the cash the firm shows it holds on the balance sheet. Cash is listed under Current Assets at £4.688m, so the net debt is £0.905m. Is that acceptable? I like to compare debt figures to a company’s earnings to help me judge. Scrolling up to Robinsons’ Group Income Statement, I see the firm posted an Operating Profit Before Exceptional Items of £2.407m — over twice the firm’s net debt figure.

However, I like to be even more conservative and use gross debt rather than net debt figures rather as cash has a habit of disappearing without much notice but debts hang around for much longer! Gross debt stands at about 2.32 times the firm’s operating profit, which is acceptable.

Happily, Robinson declares Pension Assets of £3.747m and no pension liabilities, so I’ll ignore the pension arrangements for the time being.

I decided not to invest in Robinson recently, but the firm got through the three-step check and I rejected it for other reasons.

Kevin Godbold has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

British pound data
Investing Articles

£5,000 invested in this red hot FTSE 250 growth stock last month is now worth…

Mark Hartley likes the look of a British tech stock that’s driving massive growth on the FTSE 250. But are…

Read more »

Calendar showing the date of 5th April on desk in a house
Investing Articles

Missed the ISA deadline? Ignoring the next one could mean throwing away a £5,150 annual second income opportunity!

Before April disappears altogether, today is a useful one to reflect on the second income potential a new year's ISA…

Read more »

Investing Articles

As Standard Chartered shares jump on impressive Q1, is this a FTSE 100 banking bargain?

It's a record quarter for Standard Chartered, with FTSE 100 bank shares under Q1 scrutiny at a time of unusual…

Read more »

Amazon Go's first store
Investing Articles

Amazon stock climbs after Q1 earnings! Here’s what I’m doing next

Amazon’s AWS business is growing at its fastest rate in four years and the stock's responding. But what's Stephen Wright's…

Read more »

Google office headquarters
Investing Articles

Alphabet stock surges 7.05% after Q1 earnings! But is it too late to consider buying?

As Google Cloud’s 63% revenue growth outpaces AWS’s 28%, Stephen Wright looks at whether it might not be too late…

Read more »

Young mixed-race couple sat on the beach looking out over the sea
Investing Articles

How big a Stocks and Shares ISA is needed to target a £2,932 monthly passive income?

Christopher Ruane explains more than one approach someone could use as they try and turn a Stocks and Shares ISA…

Read more »

Finger clicking a button marked 'Buy' on a keyboard
Investing Articles

If the stock market crashes, I’m keen to buy these world-class FTSE 100 shares

The UK stock market's home to a number of top-notch companies that operate globally, including this pair of high-quality compounders.

Read more »

Finger clicking a button marked 'Buy' on a keyboard
Investing Articles

Are Unilever shares the perfect ISA buy for troubled times after Q1 impresses?

Unilever shares have been wobbling as restructuring plans make profitability hard to get a handle on. But the cash is…

Read more »