Why I Would Sell BT Group plc And SKY PLC But Buy Talktalk Telecom Group PLC

Why Talktalk Telecom Group PLC (LON: TALK) is a better pick than SKY PLC (LON: SKY) and BT Group plc (LON: BT.A).

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Talktalk Telecom (LSE: TALK) released an upbeat set of full-year results yesterday. For the fiscal year ending March, unadjusted pre-tax profit rose by around 3% year on year to £32m while revenue ticked higher by 5% to £1.8bn.

However, these results included exceptional costs of £63m related to Talktalk’s restructuring programme, as well as the intergeneration of customer bases acquired from Virgin Media and Tesco

Excluding these costs, statutory profit after tax jumped 157.1% year on year to £72m. 

Upgrading forecasts

In addition to these upbeat full-year results, Talktalk announced that it was upgrading it compound annual revenue growth target through the financial year 2017. Management now expects the group to grow revenue by 5% per year beyond 2017. The previous forecast predicted annual growth of 4% after 2017. 

Further, Talktalk has raised its cost savings target from £50m by 2017, as originally targeted, to £70m. 

Also, as promised previously, Talktalk announced a 15% increase in its dividend payout.  

And these results, along with the company’s long-term forecast, highlight why Talktalk is a better pick than larger peers SKY (LSE: SKY) and BT (LSE: BT-A).

Competitive pressures

Both BT and Sky are facing multiple pressures.

Sky, for example, is under threat from the rise of streaming, on-demand content providers like Netflix. Not only to these providers offer an on-demand service but, for the most part, they are the cheaper alternative.

What’s more, Sky’s recent decision to pay a record-breaking £4.2bn for the rights to broadcast 126 Premier League games, has only reduced the company’s ability to compete effectively with lower cost providers.

After paying for these rights, the company is having to increase the prices of its TV packages by around 9% to maintain its current level of profitability.

With prices rising, sooner or later customers will start switching off their Sky boxes and turn to cheaper alternatives. 

A drag on earnings

BT does have a wider product offering than Sky, so the company can compete more effectively with smaller rivals. Still, the threat of regulation, the company’s towering pension deficit, and debt pile are preventing it from lowering prices to dominate the market. 

All of these pressures are proving to be a drag on earnings for these two multimedia giants.

Talktalk is facing no such pressures. Indeed, the company is growing rapidly, both organically and through bolt-on acquisitions, while its prices are some of the lowest around. Additionally, the company is still small enough to fly under the radar of regulators. 

Slow growth 

The pressures currently facing BT and Sky really shows through in analysts’ forecasts for the two companies.

For example, City analysts expect BT’s earnings per share to grow by 2.2% over the next two years, roughly 1.1% per year. Similarly, analysts believe that Sky’s earnings will grow by around 6.6% over the next two years.

These growth rates are hardly anything to get excited about, especially when you take into account BT and Sky’s lofty valuations. Specifically, BT and Sky currently trade at forward P/Es of 15.1 and 20.2 respectively. 

Cheap growth

On the other hand, Talktalk, with its smaller customer base and room to grow is set to grow rapidly over the next two years. Analysts predict that the company’s earnings per share will expand by 73% during 2016 and 42% during 2017.

Overall, analysts are predicting that Talktalk’s earnings will expand 178% over the next two years. 

But despite this projected growth, Talktalk currently trades at a relatively subdued forward P/E of 24.3 and PEG ratio of 0.3.

Rupert Hargreaves has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Sky. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

This way, That way, The other way - pointing in different directions
Investing Articles

As the FTSE indexes sink, these unique dividend shares are making investors money

These two dividend shares are in positive territory for the month and outperforming the major FTSE indexes by a significant…

Read more »

Rolls-Royce's Pearl 10X engine series
Investing Articles

Down 15% in days, are Rolls-Royce shares suddenly a bargain again?

Rolls-Royce shares have been heading south over the past couple of weeks. This writer thinks that makes sense -- but…

Read more »

Woman riding her old fashioned bicycle along the Beach Esplanade at Aberdeen, Scotland.
Investing Articles

What would a 40-year-old need to put into an empty SIPP to target monthly passive income of £1,000?

From a standing start at 40, how might someone target a four-figure monthly income stream from their SIPP? Christopher Ruane…

Read more »

British flag, Big Ben, Houses of Parliament and British flag composition
Investing Articles

As the ISA deadline approaches, UK investors have the opportunity to buy cheap shares

In recent weeks, equity markets have fallen significantly due to the conflict in the Middle East. As a result, many…

Read more »

Array of piggy banks in saturated colours on high colour contrast background
Investing Articles

£5k left in a Stocks and Shares ISA? 2 top ETFs to consider buying in April

Ben McPoland highlights a pair of very different ETFs that he thinks could help generate long-term wealth inside an ISA…

Read more »

Two business people sitting at cafe working on new project using laptop. Young businesswoman taking notes and businessman working on laptop computer.
Investing Articles

Could a £20,000 ISA end up generating £20,000 of passive income each year?

Could a Stocks and Shares ISA ultimately cover its own cost each year with the passive income it produces? Christopher…

Read more »

A young black man makes the symbol of a peace sign with two fingers
Investing Articles

2 top stocks to consider buying after this week’s FTSE carnage

Investors looking for beaten-up stocks to buy for the long term have a lot of great options after the recent…

Read more »

Smart young brown businesswoman working from home on a laptop
Investing Articles

A stock market crash could be a gift for long-term investors

A stock market crash could present some outstanding buying opportunities. But the key to taking advantage is knowing what to…

Read more »