Is It Time To Dump The Homebuilders?

Is it time to sell Persimmon plc (LON:PSN), Barratt Developments Plc (LON:BDEV), Taylor Wimpey plc (LON:TW), Berkeley Group Holdings PLC (LON:BKG) and Bellway plc (LON:BWY)?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Within the past few days it has been revealed that this month, asking prices for homes across Britain fell for the first time this year. For the homebuilders, Persimmon (LSE: PSN), Barratt Developments (LSE: BDEV), Taylor Wimpey (LSE: TW), Berkeley Group (LSE: BKG) and Bellway (LSE: BWY), this is a worrying decline. 

The question is, however, does this decline signal the peak of the housing market? Are home prices set to fall for the rest of the year? Is it time to sell the homebuilders?

Slipping prices OLYMPUS DIGITAL CAMERA

A combination of stricter lending rules, as well as speculation about rising interest rates have been blamed for weaker house prices. Prices fell 0.8% overall this month, with the North and the East Midlands leading the decline. Specifically, north of London prices dropped an average of 1.9%, while prices in Greater London dropped only 0.4%.

These declines are worrying. The property market outside of London has been weaker than the market within the capital and as a result, the recovery in prices was expected to be more sustained. Indeed, a slowdown in London’s property market was to be expected, considering recent gains. However, falling prices in the north of the country, where the market has only just started to recover, is a concern.

Nevertheless, industry experts were quick to brush off the fall, blaming it on the summer weather and events like the World Cup.

Running out of supply

Some analysts have been quick to use this data to support their argument that the UK housing market is running out of steam. It would appear as if the opposite is true.

For example, according to figures supplied by online estate agent eMoov, it would appear as if the housing market is rapidly running out of supply, which should support long-term growth.

According to eMoov, data suggests that within many regions across the UK, more than 50% of the housing stock put on the market during the second quarter has been snapped up.

Further, some regions are reporting that more than 70% of the housing stock that came to market during the second quarter has been acquired. According to the founder of eMoov, when more than 65% of housing stock is snapped up within one period, demand is exceeding supply.

This data signals that there is strong demand for housing, and while prices may be taking a step back, demand continues to increase.

So, based on the above data it would appear that as of yet, it’s not time to turn your back on the homebuilders. Demand for affordable housing continues to increase and the homebuilders are set to profit from this. 

Rupert Hargreaves has no position in any shares mentioned.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

£10,000 buys 373 shares in this FTSE 100 heavyweight that’s tipped to surve in 2026

With analysts expecting the stock to climb 54% in the next 12 months, is now the perfect time for investors…

Read more »

This way, That way, The other way - pointing in different directions
Investing Articles

Are BP shares a slam-dunk buy as oil prices rocket – or is there a hidden danger?

As the oil price rises, investors might expect BP shares to follow. But Harvey Jones warns it may not play…

Read more »

Investing Articles

2 growth stocks to consider buying for an ISA in March

Here are two growth stocks I think are worth considering buying. Both have stumbled recently, even though the underlying businesses…

Read more »

Close-up of a woman holding modern polymer ten, twenty and fifty pound notes.
Investing Articles

How long might a Stocks and Shares ISA take to earn a £950 monthly second income?

Christopher Ruane explains how someone could seek to turn a Stocks and Shares ISA into a source of monthly passive…

Read more »

British pound data
Investing Articles

Get yourself ready for a violent stock market crash!

The FTSE 100 is sinking, raising fears of a fresh stock market crash. What are you doing about it? Here's…

Read more »

ISA Individual Savings Account
Investing Articles

Hands up, who’s dreaming of a million in a Stocks and Shares ISA?

How to make a million in a Stocks and Shares ISA, that's what headlines keep banging on about. Let's look…

Read more »

British Pennies on a Pound Note
Investing Articles

OK, who’s dreaming of making a million from red-hot penny shares?

Investors in penny shares can sound like the most upbeat optimists there are. It can work, but hopes need to…

Read more »

Three generation family are playing football together in a field. There are two boys, their father and their grandfather.
Investing Articles

Could this ultra-high-yielding FTSE 100 passive income gem quietly fund my retirement?

With rising payouts, strong cash generation and impressive earnings forecasts, this FTSE 100 dividend gem may be developing into a…

Read more »