We have some exciting news to share! The Motley Fool UK has now become an independent, UK-owned company, led by our long-serving UK management team — Mark Rogers, Chris Nials and Heather Adlington. In practical terms, it’s the same team you know, now fully focused on serving our UK readers and members.

Just as importantly, our approach remains unchanged: long-term, jargon-free, and on your side. We’ll be introducing a new name and brand over the coming weeks — we're very excited to share it with you and embark on this new chapter together!

The Risks Of Investing In Vodafone Group Plc

Royston Wild outlines the perils of stashing your cash in Vodafone Group plc (LON: VOD).

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Today I am highlighting what you need to know before investing in Vodafone (LSE: VOD) (NASDAQ: VOD.US).

European travails roll on

The effect of continued sales weakness in the continent continues to pummel Vodafone’s bottom line. The telecoms giant saw group service revenues slump 4.3% in the 12 months concluding March 2014, to £39.5bn, as turnover on the continent nosedived an eye-watering 9.1%. Europe is responsible for more than two-thirds of total revenues, and although the firm is boosting its exposure to emerging geographies to offset problems here, enduring weakness in Europe clearly remains a huge concern.

Indeed, the prospect of worsening continental problems is expected to result in a colossal 61% earnings decline for the current year, worsening from the 16% drop posted in 2014. With competition increasing on the continent, and wider macro pressure on consumers’ wallets enduring, Vodafone could struggle to gain sufficient traction to turn around its ailing fortunes.

Regulatory reforms loom large

On top of this, Vodafone is also fighting a battle against proposed European Union legislative changes that threaten to put a further boot vodinto its earnings profile.

This month, new laws came into effect that capped what network providers can charge for customers making calls, sending text messages and surfing the internet when travelling in Europe. And EU legislators voted last month to put all roaming charges to the sword, although these plans still need to be signed off by the bloc’s governments.

A fragile dividend selection

On top of its murky near-term earnings outlook, Vodafone’s dividend prospects for this year and next can also be described as extremely fragile at best. Indeed, City expectations for growth to tank in 2015, to 6.8p per share, means that a predicted dividend of 11.4p are not even covered by earnings. And the situation is not much better the year after — a payout of 11.8p per share far outstrips a slight earnings recovery to 7.2p.

These projections create massive yields of 5.8% and 6% for 2014 and 2015 respectively. But in my opinion a backdrop of consistent earnings pressure, not to mention the effect of its vast Project Spring investment programme and rolling acquisitions drive on cash reserves, could put dividend growth under the cosh.

> Royston does not own shares in Vodafone.

More on Investing Articles

UK supporters with flag
Investing Articles

Will next week hand investors a once-in-a-decade chance to buy UK stocks?

Harvey Jones says UK stocks haven't crashed yet but there are still plenty of buying opportunities out there in today's…

Read more »

Passive income text with pin graph chart on business table
Investing Articles

How to invest £15k in dividend shares to aim for £1,000 of passive income this year

Money gathering dust? Mark Hartley looks at a way to convert stagnant savings into lucrative passive income by investing in…

Read more »

Woman riding her old fashioned bicycle along the Beach Esplanade at Aberdeen, Scotland.
Investing Articles

The biggest reason to use a SIPP is…

A SIPP can offer an investor both pros and cons. But there's one big advantage this writer rates highly. Did…

Read more »

Young female hand showing five fingers.
Investing Articles

5 steps that could turn £5 a day into a £500 a month passive income

Can a fiver a day really lay the foundation for hundreds of pounds in passive income each month? Yes, it…

Read more »

Warren Buffett at a Berkshire Hathaway AGM
Investing Articles

What can we learn from Warren Buffett about investing for retirement?

Billionaire investor Warren Buffett clearly isn't one for retiring early. But his stock market insights could help others to do…

Read more »

Middle-aged white man wearing glasses, staring into space over the top of his laptop in a coffee shop
Investing Articles

1 major investing mistake that can drain your Stocks and Shares ISA

A lot of investors fail to size their investments properly in their Stocks and Shares ISAs. And as a result,…

Read more »

Stacks of coins
Investing Articles

£20,000 invested in these penny shares 5 years ago is now worth £42,260!

A lump sum invested across these penny shares would have more than doubled an ISA investor's money. Here's why they…

Read more »

A rear view of a female in a bright yellow coat walking along the historic street known as The Shambles in York, UK which is a popular tourist destination in this Yorkshire city.
Investing Articles

I’m getting ready for an AI-driven stock market crash

Edward Sheldon sees two ways in which artificial intelligence (AI) could lead to a major stock market meltdown in the…

Read more »