The Risks Of Investing In British American Tobacco Plc

Royston Wild outlines the perils of stashing your cash in British American Tobacco plc (LON: BATS).

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Today I am highlighting what you need to know before investing in British American Tobacco (LSE: BATS) (NYSE: BTI.US).

Plain packaging poised to increase

The expansion of plain packaging legislation across the globe remains one of the biggest headaches facing the tobacco industry. Australia introduced plain boxes back in 2011, and Ireland and New Zealand are both in the process of pushing similar measures through the british american tobacco / imperial tobaccolegislative process. And the UK announced just last month that it was bringing draft regulations to the table.

British American Tobacco noted that sales volumes in Australia and New Zealand declined last year, suggesting that the measures may be having an effect, with only cost initiatives and price hikes keeping the firm’s antipodean divisions in the black. Indeed, the company even noted that “illicit trade increased following the introduction of plain packaging” in Australia.

The exact impact of plain-coloured, logo-stripped packaging, combined with stark health warnings emblazoned over the front of cartons, remains a point of much debate. But given the fight put up by the world’s tobacco giants against these laws, the industry certainly seems to fear the effect of such legislation on profits — there is only so far producers can raise cigarette prices before sales become impacted, of course.

Regulatory rope tightens around e-cigs

On top of this, the world’s largest tobacco manufacturers also face the possibility of sales-suffocating legislation affecting their latest red-hot product: the e-cigarette. Fears have circulated over the potential health effects of the chemicals used in vapour-based products, while many have also lobbied that e-cigarettes represent a stepping stone towards traditional tobacco products for many users.

Such concerns prompted scores of scientists and anti-smoking campaigners to appeal to the World Health Organisation (WHO) just last month, calling for a range of measures from plain packaging through to banning their use in public places.

British American Tobacco threw its hat into the e-cig ring with the introduction of its Vype product last year, and has invested vast sums in R&D and advertising to get the product off the ground. Although touted by many as a multi-billion holy grail for the tobacco industry, the prospect of draconian legislation could significantly hamper the sales prospects of this new technology.

On the plus side, however, many believe that the formidable pricing power and popularity of British American Tobacco’s five ‘Global Drive Brands‘ should enable it to continue growing revenues. On top of this, its rising exposure across emerging markets — home to the vast majority of the world’s smokers — also bodes well for long-term earnings growth.

> Royston does not own shares in British American Tobacco.

More on Investing Articles

Man hanging in the balance over a log at seaside in Scotland
Investing Articles

Lloyds shares just dipped below the £1 mark!

Lloyds shares are trading for pennies again! But is this a golden opportunity to pick up shares in the FTSE…

Read more »

ISA coins
Investing Articles

£10,000 put in a Cash ISA a decade ago is now worth…

What would have made someone the most money over the past 10 years -- a Cash ISA or Stocks and…

Read more »

A man with Down's syndrome serves a customer a pint of beer in a pub.
Investing Articles

Are Diageo shares about to pull a Rolls-Royce?

On many metrics, Diageo shares are looking somewhat similar to Rolls-Royce shares a few years back. Could history repeat itself?

Read more »

Warren Buffett at a Berkshire Hathaway AGM
Investing Articles

1 big question to ask when thinking about what Nvidia stock could be worth

Christopher Ruane likes the look of the Nvidia business. But when it comes to its stock price, he's taking a…

Read more »

Night Takeoff Of The American Space Shuttle
Investing Articles

How has the Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust share price risen 57% in a year?

The Scottish Mortgage share price has soared over the last 12 months. After this kind of gain, investors might be…

Read more »

A young black man makes the symbol of a peace sign with two fingers
Investing Articles

I just bought this magnificent £2 UK growth stock for my Stocks and Shares ISA

Edward Sheldon just bought shares in this fast-growing British company for his Stocks and Shares ISA and he’s excited about…

Read more »

British pound data
Investing Articles

The stock market could plummet says the Bank of England

The Bank of England sees a number of risks on the horizon that could derail the stock market’s recent rally.…

Read more »

Young mixed-race couple sat on the beach looking out over the sea
Investing Articles

Here’s how a £20,000 Stocks and Shares ISA could one day generate £14,947 of passive income a year

Can a five-figure Stocks and Shares ISA end up producing a five-figure annual passive income? This writer shows how it…

Read more »