Why Legal & General Group Plc Will Be One Of 2013’s Winners

Legal & General Group Plc (LON:LGEN) enjoys a resurgence in the insurance business.

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It’s been a good year for the insurance sector in general, and Legal & General Group (LSE: LGEN) (NASDAQOTH: LGGNY.US) has done especially well, with an impressive 47% rise in its share price to 214p while the FTSE 100 has only managed 13%.

On top of that, the Legal & General dividend is a pretty nice one, with 2012’s full-year payment representing a yield of 5.3%.

Nice future

Forecasts suggest 4.3% for the coming year-end at 31 December, but that lower yield is purely due to the higher share price — the dividend itself is expected to be lifted by 20% to around 9.1p per share.

And that comes after a very impressive few years on the dividend front — it was cut by just 5.4% in the crunch year of 2009, but since then we’ve seen annual hikes of between 20% and 35%!

And if predictions turn out to be accurate, we should see a further 15% dividend rise for 2014 — a slightly smaller, but still impressive, rise as the company gets back to a sustainable high payout.

What of performance this year so far?

Great start

At half time, Legal & General reported a 13% rise in pre-tax profit compared to the first half of 2012, up to £529m, with earnings per share up 13% to 7.82p. The interim dividend was raised by 22% to 2.4p per share, which bodes well for full-year rewards.

The firm also saw net cash inflow up, annuity sales up, and UK insurance premiums up — and increased its return on equity to 16.8% from 15.8% a year previously. At the time, chief executive Nigel Wilson said he was “excited about the future for Legal & General“.

On 5 November we had a third-quarter update, which told us that investment gross inflows were up 71% to £145bn, with assets under management up 2.3% from the halfway stage to £443bn. This time Mr Wilson told us that “We are executing well and at pace; four acquisitions have been successfully completed and net cash is up 20%“.

He also pointed out that Legal & General Investment Management’s fees average just over 0.1%, and that’s a pretty Foolish level in an environment today that is much more competitive and conducive to DIY investment than in the bad old days.

What’s the valuation like?

Legal & General’s shares are on a forward P/E now of 13.5, slightly less than the FTSE average. The sector does traditionally command slightly lower valuations than the market as a whole, due to its higher-than-average risk and its somewhat cyclical nature.

But with economies strengthening, I can see a few years of good growth ahead of the firm, and I don’t think today’s valuation is over-stretched — and it’s far closer to fair valuation than the insanely low multiples of six to eight during the recessionary years.

A definite winner then, without a doubt.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

> Alan does not own any shares mentioned in this article.

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