Dow Futures Edge Lower As Eurozone Escapes From Recession

Stock index futures indicate that the Dow Jones and S&P 500 may open lower this morning, as investors sit out the holiday season and wait for greater clarity from the Federal Reserve.

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LONDON — Stock index futures at 7am ET indicate that the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES: ^DJI) may open down by 0.08% this morning, while the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) may open down 0.12%. CNN’s Fear & Greed Index return to neutral yesterday, reflecting investors’ current mixed attitudes to the market.

European markets made modest gains this morning, after new figures showed that the eurozone’s 18-month double-dip recession has ended with GDP growth of 0.3% during the second quarter, beating expectations for 0.2% growth. The region’s two largest economies, Germany and France, grew by 0.7% and 0.5% respectively, meaning that France has also escaped from its recession, although the French unemployment rate remained at a record high of 11%, raising some doubts over the solidity of its recovery. At 7am ET, the FTSE 100 was up 0.05%, the DAX was up 0.12% and the CAC 40 was up 0.29%.

In the US today, July’s producer price index is due at 8.30am, and is expected to show that producer prices rose by 0.3% during July, after gaining 0.8% during June. The likely outcome of the Federal Reserve’s September meeting may also be in focus, after Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart said that bond-buying might reduce from September, but that this should be a “cautious first step”, as economic data remained too mixed to commit to a fixed plan.

Companies due to report earnings before the open today include Applied Industrial Technologies, which reported full-year earnings of $2.78 per share on sales of $2.5bn. Retailer Macy’s is expected to report second-quarter earnings of $0.78 per share on revenue of $6.3bn, while Deere is expected to report fiscal third-quarter earnings of $2.17 per share, on revenue of $9.2bn. Cisco Systems is scheduled to report after markets close tonight, and consensus forecasts are suggesting that the networking equipment manufacturer will report earnings of $0.51 per share on revenue of $12.4bn.

Other stocks that may be actively traded include Apple, which rose by 4.8% yesterday, after activist investor Carl Icahn disclosed a sizeable stake in the company. Apple shares were up by a further 1.2% in pre-market trading this morning. Cree, which reported earnings yesterday, fell by 15% in pre-market trading this morning as investors digested the LED manufacturer’s downgraded earnings forecasts.

Finally, let’s not forget the Dow’s daily movements can add up to some serious long-term gains. Indeed, Warren Buffett recently wrote: “The Dow advanced from 66 to 11,497 in the 20th Century, a staggering 17,320% increase that materialized despite four costly wars, a Great Depression and many recessions.

If you, like Buffett, are convinced about the long-term power of the Dow, you should read “5 Stocks To Retire On“. Your long-term wealth could be transformed, even in this uncertain economy. Simply click here now to download this free, no-obligation report.

> Roland does not own shares in any of the companies mentioned in this article.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

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