"Outstanding" Primark Boosts Associated British Foods Plc

Published in Company Comment on 25 February 2013

Associated British Foods plc (LON:ABF) releases pre-close interim trading update.

Associated British Foods (LSE: ABF) reported that interim results would be "above expectations" for the first half, in a pre-close trading statement released this morning. Adjusted operating profit and earnings per share will be higher than last year, while net financing costs in H1 will benefit from "a strong cash flow and lower net debt during the period".

Retail

Primark was the primary driver, with management describing sales as "exceptionally strong." They are expected to be 23% ahead of the same period last year and 25% ahead at constant currency, driven by very strong like-for-like sales growth, a substantial increase in retail selling space and superior sales densities in the larger new stores. 

In addition, the benefit of lower cotton prices and better trading was reflected by much higher operating profit margins compared to H1 2011/12, although no further margin benefit from lower cotton prices is expected in the second half. Elsewhere, a 7% increase in like-for-like growth benefited from good trading over the Christmas period, as well as a return to more normal seasonal temperatures compared to the with weak sales seen during the unseasonably warm autumn of 2011.

15 new Primark stores were opened in the period, including six in recession-hit Spain and four in the UK, including the second store on London's Oxford Street, with 82,000 sq ft of selling space. Two new stories were opened in Germany, another in the Netherlands, while Austria saw its first two stores. Associated British Foods stated that "this pace of store openings will not continue for the remainder of this financial year but we expect it to pick up again in the next financial year".

Sugar

Profits from Sugar will be lower than last year, as expected following the company's declaration over the lower sugar production following poor growing conditions, resulting in higher sugar prices and not helped by a weaker euro. UK operations now estimate sugar production for the current year of 1.15 million tonnes, compared with last year's figure of 1.32 million tonnes. 

ABF's South African operations Illovo saw an improvement, though this was "more than offset by a decline in China and a non-cash charge for the mothballing of our two smallest beet sugar factories in north China". The company went on to comment: "It is anticipated that sugar prices will continue at this level for some time and we have sought to reduce our cost base."

Grocery, Agriculture and Ingredients

In Associated British Foods' other markets, Grocery is expected to produce revenue in line with the previous year while profits should improve substantially as it benefits from "the non-recurrence of restructuring costs in George Weston Foods in Australia and Allied Bakeries". Agriculture will see revenue ahead of last year, "driven by UK feed sales and AB Vista", while Ingredients expects revenues level with last year, although 6% higher at constant currency.

Foolish final thoughts

Shares in the company dipped on the announcement, falling as low as 1,782p after previous closing at 1,830p but rebounding up to 1,814p, representing a 1% fall. No doubt a lot of ABF's growth was already priced into the shares, while the dip could also easily be attributed to profit-taking.

ABF was one of the FTSE 100's best performers last year, and has begun 2013 very strongly. A forecast yield of 1.7% as well the company's aforementioned three-fold increase in share price over the last five years place Associated British Foods as a growth share favourite.

If you're searching for a growth share to add to your portfolio, you could do worse than to check out our latest free report, "The Motley Fool's Top Growth Share For 2013". The company our analysts have pinpointed has lifted its earnings per share by 46% since 2009, and owns subsidiaries that might carry "considerable value" not reflected within the shares. Just click here to get your copy delivered to your inbox immediately.

> Sam does not own shares in Associated British Foods.

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Comments

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TMFMarkRogers88 25 Feb 2013 , 12:29pm

I've often thought, I'd pay a lot more to own Primark outright (if spun off) than under the difficult umbrella of the other commodity type businesses. I think I said somewhere else on the site, an investor could justify purchasing Primark alone for £5B, but my personal asking price for the entire ABF enterprise would only be £8B, if an offer was made at all.

That being said, another way of looking at it is an opportunity to own those turbulent agricultural businesses, which most would agree have a promising future over the coming decades...

While being backed by the extraordinarily attractive, growing retail operation, which becomes more and more essential to ABF's operating results.

Overall it's hard not to love the diversity of ABF's operations. And while the sugar and agriculture businesses are not so attractive, they're far from buggy whip sectors, and many long-term investors (like Jim Rogers) see the industry enjoying a robust future - even if it remains difficult in the near-term.

With Primark attached, is ABF the world's most attractive, diverse way of gaining "free" exposure to the economically-difficult Agriculture business?

Or should investors focus entirely on the Primark segment, without which ABF would be a drastically less attractive proposition?

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