The mobile business used to be a simple one. You own a network. You make deals with the Apples and Samsungs of this world. You sell to customers and make your profits. End of story.
Then people started to realise that you could cross-sell. That customers who had a mobile phone contract might also be interested in a landline phone, broadband or pay-tv contract. Actually, the technology and the implementation is little different whichever of these businesses you are talking about.
And by bundling phone, broadband and pay-tv contracts together, you multiply the potential profits. Plus customers prefer these deals as they save money, and billing is a whole lot easier if you are buying your products from one company rather than from several.
A clash of companies
As moats are breached and barriers to entry in the telecoms and entertainment industries fall all around, suddenly we have a series of battles, mergers, takeovers and alliances as dramatic as any tale of Westeros.
It was logical that BT (LSE: BT-A) would pipe broadband across its telephone networks, and so it grew into one of the country’s leading broadband suppliers. But then mobile phone companies such as Everything Everywhere also started to sell broadband; and they began to bundle this broadband with phone and mobile contracts.
Then Sky (LSE: SKY) entered the fray, selling broadband and telephone services alongside its pay-tv offer. It rapidly encroached upon BT’s hegemony in broadband. How could the telecoms giant fight back? Well, by launching its own pay-tv service, of course. It now offers its sports channels with its broadband.
A storm of mergers
But what if you could bundle phone, mobile, broadband and pay-tv packages together? The cross-selling opportunities would be unparalleled. This is now what BT is trying to achieve. It is bidding to buy O2 from Spain’s Telefonica. And if it can’t buy O2, I suspect it will buy EE from its parent companies France Télécom and Deutsche Telekom. The latter would be the more ambitious but more difficult deal. But if BT pulled it off, in one fell swoop the company would be the UK’s leading phone, broadband and mobile supplier. That would be a tantalizing prospect, and one which would frighten the life out of its competitors.
And then, waiting in the wings, I haven’t mentioned Vodafone (LSE: VOD). It must be feeling sore that it is no longer the biggest mobile company in the UK. In both Spain and Germany it has strengthened its mobile businesses by buying into pay-tv. Could it repeat the trick in Britain? There is talk of it acquiring Liberty Global, the owner of Virgin Media, and a firm which is both the world’s largest cable business, and the world’s leading broadband company. That would be an enticing possibility.
This particular game of phones has many twists and turns ahead of it, and no one can say how it will end. But I would say the main protagonists, BT, Sky and Vodafone, are all worthy long-term investments, likely to grow both their share prices and their dividend yields.
