Why I see the Barclays share price as a buy for my pension

Pension investors have been shunning Barclays plc (LON: BARC) shares. Here’s why I think that’s a big mistake.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

It’s been many years since the full State Pension, currently a little over £8,500 per year, has been seen as enough to get us comfortably through our more mature years. And with the age at which we qualify for it steadily rising, the sooner we plan for retirement the better. 

I’ve had a couple of company pensions through my career, and while having my employers contributing to my fund was a very good thing, the ability for pension fund managers to deliver an attractive retirement income is not apparent to me. The classic route of buying an annuity would leave me with two things I definitely don’t want — a poor annual return, and the capital gone should I die even the day after I retire.

Managing your pension

I’ve already transferred one of my pensions to my Self-Invested Personal Pension (SIPP), because I’m convinced that the best person to manage my long-term interests is me. And I’m in the process of transferring another, so I’m building a shortlist of candidates.

Knowing that shares in top UK companies have wiped the floor with other forms of investment for more than a century has convinced me to base my pension strategy on dividend-paying FTSE 100 shares. I think that’s especially valid today with the index set to deliver a yield of almost 4.5% — and picking the better yielders can surely get me a better overall dividend return than that.

I also see another advantage to doing it myself, in that my long-term horizon means I can ignore the market sentiments that would turn many big fund managers away from currently unpopular stocks. They really don’t like to be seen as holding short-term losers when it’s time to release those quarterly figures.

Barclays on the list

That’s one of the reasons I’m seriously looking at Barclays (LSE: BARC) shares right now. Taking a contrarian position on the stock, I like buying shares when I believe the market is wrong about them.

I know the whole banking sector is in the dumps because of Brexit, and the major uncertainty it leaves hanging over the business. But while the City institutions hate uncertainty, I’ve grown to love it over the years and have managed to use it to buy cheap shares many times.

On the dividend front, Barclays is forecast to deliver a yield of 4% this year, with 2019 predictions pushing that up to 4.8%. Yield alone is not a sufficient reason to buy a stock, mind, as there’s no guarantee it will be forthcoming. But Barclays’ dividends are set to be covered around 3.3 times by earnings this year, with cover still coming in at 2.8 times, even after the mooted 2019 hike in the payment.

I see undervaluation

The other attraction of Barclays is that its shares are trading at only around half the Footsie’s long-term P/E valuation, with the predicted multiple of 7.7 this year, dropping to 7.2 for 2019. 

I’m not going to pretend that Barclays doesn’t still face potential problems, but I found my colleague Roland Head’s take on last month’s Q3 figures enlightening. Roland’s thoughts suggest to me that Barclays is now past the turnaround point, and it’s firmly on my SIPP shortlist.

Alan Oscroft has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Barclays. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Middle-aged white man pulling an aggrieved face while looking at a screen
Investing Articles

How I invested my first £1,000 in FTSE shares… and the mistakes I made

It can be intimidating investing for the very first time. Here, I share my first £1,000 investment and what mistakes…

Read more »

Mature couple in a discussion while eating a meal in a restaurant.
Investing Articles

How to invest £290 a month in UK shares for an income that aims to beat the State Pension

UK shares can offer a lucrative path for investors seeking a retirement income stream that beats the State Pension. Zaven…

Read more »

Aviva logo on glass meeting room door
Investing Articles

Aviva’s share price has left rivals in the dust. Here’s why it’s still good value

Mark Hartley explains why he feels his Aviva shares continue to offer excellent value even after five years of rapid…

Read more »

Investing Articles

2 excellent investment trusts to consider for an ISA or SIPP

This pair of investment trusts would offer a SIPP or ISA exposure to what could be a very large global…

Read more »

Tree lined "tunnel" in the English countryside of West Sussex in autumn
Investing Articles

How much is needed in an ISA to target a £3,150 monthly passive income?

Ben McPoland explains why it's not pie in the sky to aim for chunky ISA passive income, and also highlights…

Read more »

UK money in a Jar on a background
Investing Articles

Got a spare £3 a day? Here’s the passive income you could earn from it!

A few pounds a day might not seem like much. But, as our writer explains, it could help generate hundreds…

Read more »

Smiling family of four enjoying breakfast at sunrise while camping
Investing Articles

Here’s how a small dividend stock ISA could produce £1,400 in passive income a year

Investing in dividend stocks can be a great way to generate a second income. And if they're held in an…

Read more »

Businesswoman calculating finances in an office
Investing Articles

Here’s how Barclays shares could climb another 40%

Stock markets are clouded by geopolitical threats at the moment, but Barclays' shares could be heading for a further upwards…

Read more »