Why I’m trying to catch this falling knife after today’s 20% slump

The market is dumping this company… but I believe that this is a mistake.

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Shares in Low & Bonar (LSE: LBW) are crumbling this morning after the performance materials company announced its CEO Brett Simpson has jumped ship to peer Fenner

Simpson has been at Low & Bonar since 2014, and during his time performance has been mixed. Indeed, at the time of writing, shares in the group are changing hands at 53p, 44% below the five-year high of 96p recorded at the beginning of 2014. 

Simpson will remain an employee until the end of April but will resign from the board immediately. Non-executive director Trudy Schoolenberg has stepped in to take over the CEO role.

All change 

According to today’s news release on the matter, Schoolenberg has been non-executive at Low & Bonar for four years and has “extensive executive experience in the chemical, technology and petrochemical sectors with significant engineering and product development expertise from over 20 years’ spent at Royal Dutch Shell.” So it looks like Schoolenberg is an excellent pick for CEO. 

Alongside the news of the management reshuffle, Low & Bonar also issued a trading update today in which it noted a “weaker than expected” final quarter due to an adverse product mix and timing of sales. Due to these pressures, the group is expecting pre-tax profit for the year to range £30m and £31m, marginally below City expectations of £32.2m. Net debt is expected to increase to £138m at the end of the period, from £111m.

Although the market dislikes today’s update, I believe the declines are overdone and, as a result, I’m looking to buy into the group’s recovery. 

Starting to look interesting 

Even though the company now expects to miss City expectations for growth for the year, it’s still on-track to grow pre-tax profit substantially year-on-year. For the fiscal year ending 30 November 2016, the firm reported a pre-tax profit of £26m. So, even if profit comes in at the low end of expectations for 2017 (£30m), it is still set to grow by 15% year-on-year. 

And according to my figures, after today’s declines, even with a lower level of profitability, shares in Low & Bonar are trading at a deeply-discounted multiple of around 8.5 times forward earnings. The shares also support a dividend yield of 4.9%, covered twice by earnings per share. 

But it’s not just the low valuation that attracting me to the shares. The company has recently gained the attention of an activist hedge fund Sterling Strategic Value Fund SA.

Sterling claims to “work together with management and other shareholders to initiate change in a concentrated number of companies.” At the beginning of December, Sterling hiked its interest in Low & Bonar to 10.9%, from 6.9% previously, which indicates to me that the firm is looking to shake up the materials business to unlock value for shareholders.

This means that as well as an attractive valuation, steady growth, and market-beating dividend yield, there’s a catalyst that could ultimately unlock value for shareholders. That’s why I’m looking to catch this falling knife today. 

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Rupert Hargreaves owns shares in Low & Bonar. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Royal Dutch Shell B. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Middle-aged Caucasian woman deep in thought while looking out of the window
Investing Articles

£10,000 in savings? That could turn into a second income worth £38,793

This Fool looks at how a lump sum of savings could potentially turn into a handsome second income by investing…

Read more »

Fans of Warren Buffett taking his photo
Investing Articles

I reckon this is one of Warren Buffett’s best buys ever

Legendary investor Warren Buffett has made some exceptional investments over the years. This Fool thinks this one could be up…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Why has the Rolls-Royce share price stalled around £4?

Christopher Ruane looks at the recent track record of the Rolls-Royce share price, where it is now, and explains whether…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Revealed! The best-performing FTSE 250 shares of 2024

A strong performance from the FTSE 100 masks the fact that six FTSE 250 stocks are up more than 39%…

Read more »

Chalkboard representation of risk versus reward on a pair of scales
Investing Articles

This FTSE 100 stock is up 30% since January… and it still looks like a bargain

When a stock's up 30%, the time to buy has often passed. But here’s a FTSE 100 stock for which…

Read more »

Young black man looking at phone while on the London Overground
Investing Articles

This major FTSE 100 stock just flashed a big red flag

Jon Smith flags up the surprise departure of the CEO of a major FTSE 100 banking stock as a reason…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Why Rolls-Royce shares dropped in April but GE Aerospace stock surged!

Rolls-Royce shares actually fell by 3% in April amid a flurry of conflicting news stories. Dr James Fox takes a…

Read more »

Investor looking at stock graph on a tablet with their finger hovering over the Buy button
Investing Articles

This stock rose 98% last year! Could it be a good buy for an ISA?

This Fool wants to increase the number of holdings in his ISA. After its 2023 performance, he likes the look…

Read more »