Are Imperial Brands plc, FirstGroup plc & Norcros plc a buy in today’s uncertain market?

Roland Head takes a look at the latest figures from Imperial Brands plc (LON:IMB), FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP) and Norcros plc (LON:NXR).

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Imperial Brands (LSE: IMB) may have changed its name, but the firm’s focus on tobacco sales and market-beating dividend growth hasn’t changed.

Imperial’s tobacco sales rose by 16.8% during the first half of the year, thanks partly to a £468m contribution from its recently acquired US cigarette brands. Total adjusted operating profit was 19.5% higher than during the same period last year, while adjusted earnings per share were 20.4% higher.

The interim dividend was increased by 10%, maintaining the firm’s long track record of double-digit growth. This is likely to continue. In a recent strategy update, Imperial confirmed that it intends to maintain its current policy of increasing the dividend by at least 10% per year “over the medium term”.

In my view this policy is entirely realistic, as long as Imperial’s board is also able to find some surplus cash to reduce its record £13.7bn net debt. With a forecast yield of 4.3%, Imperial is likely to remain a solid income buy, regardless of the outcome of next week’s EU referendum.

Cash generation set to improve

Shares in FirstGroup (LSE: FGP) rose by as much as 10% this morning, after the bus and train operator said that “significantly increased cash generation” was expected during the 2016/17 financial year.

The news suggests that FirstGroup’s business is now getting back on track, after being forced into a £615m rights issue in 2013. Today’s results show that adjusted pre-tax profit rose by 2.7% last year, despite the loss of certain rail franchises.

Commenting on the year ahead, Tim O’Toole, First’s chief executive, said that lower fuel costs and more operating days in the firm’s US school bus business would help boost profits this year.

FirstGroup shareholders will be hoping that Mr O’Toole can make good on his promises. The group’s net debt remains high, at 2.3 times earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA). This ratio didn’t improve last year and FirstGroup hasn’t yet restarted dividend payments.

This may help to explain why FirstGroup shares are still only trading on 8.8 times 2016/17 forecast earnings. In my view, FirstGroup could be worth a closer look — although investors may still need to be patient.

This small cap looks cheap to me

Today’s full-year results from bathroom fittings and tiles group Norcros (LSE: NXR) looked pretty solid to me. Sales rose by 11% last year, while underlying pre-tax profit rose by 29% to £20.4m.

Norcros’ full-year dividend rose by 17.9% to 6.6p, giving an attractive 3.8% yield. Although some of these gains were the result of acquisitions, net debt remains reasonably low at £32.5m. In my view the firm’s shares now look notably cheap, on a trailing P/E of 6.3 times underlying earnings.

Norcros reported a group operating margin of 9.0% for last year, up from 7.6% in 2014/15. Excluding acquisitions, free cash flow was enough to comfortably cover last year’s dividends. Norcros now trades on a forecast P/E of 7 for 2016/17, compared to a multiple of 9 times 2014/15 profits.

I’m not sure why Norcros shares are so cheap. Despite its heavy exposure to the UK housing market, Norcros looks good value to me.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Roland Head has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Young black woman using a mobile phone in a transport facility
Market Movers

Meta stock slumps 13% after poor results. Here’s what I’ll do

Jon Smith flags up the reasons behind the fall in the Meta stock price overnight, along with his take on…

Read more »

Young Caucasian girl showing and pointing up with fingers number three against yellow background
Investing Articles

3 FTSE stocks I wouldn’t ‘Sell in May’

If the strategy had any merit in the past, I see no compelling evidence it's a smart idea today. Here…

Read more »

Investor looking at stock graph on a tablet with their finger hovering over the Buy button
Investing Articles

Down 21% and yielding 10%, is this income stock a top contrarian buy now?

Despite its falling share price, this Fool reckons he's found an income stock that could be worth taking a closer…

Read more »

Investing Articles

The Meta share price falls 10% on weak Q2 guidance — should investors consider buying?

The Meta Platforms' share price is down 10% after the company reported Q1 earnings per share growth of 117%. Does…

Read more »

Investing Articles

This FTSE 250 defence stock looks like a hidden growth gem to me

With countries hiking defence spending as the world grows more insecure, this FTSE 250 firm has seen surging orders and…

Read more »

Bronze bull and bear figurines
Investing Articles

1 hidden dividend superstar I’d buy over Lloyds shares right now

My stock screener flagged that I should sell my Lloyds shares and buy more Phoenix Group Holdings for three key…

Read more »

Hand of person putting wood cube block with word VALUE on wooden table
Investing Articles

A solid track record and 5.4% yield, this is my top dividend stock pick for May

A great dividend stock is about more than its yield. When hunting for dividend heroes, I look at several metrics…

Read more »

A senior group of friends enjoying rowing on the River Derwent
Investing Articles

£8k in savings? Here’s how I’d aim to retire with an annual passive income of £30,000

Getting old needn't be a struggle. Even with a small pot of savings, it's possible to build up a decent…

Read more »