Are Diageo plc, Unilever plc & PZ Cussons plc about to crash?

Could it be time to sell Diageo plc (LON: DGE), Unilever plc (LON: ULVR) and PZ Cussons plc (LON: PZC)?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Unilever (LSE: ULVR) is one of the FTSE 100’s most expensive stocks. Indeed, the company’s shares currently trade at a forward P/E of 21.7, which is a relatively high valuation for a slow and steady company like Unilever.

Next year, City analysts are projecting earnings per share growth of 8% for the consumer goods champion indicating a PEG ratio of 2.6 -– a PEG ratio of less than one implies that the shares in question offer growth at a reasonable price. That said, when it comes to yield Unilever’s forward dividend yield of 3.1% is only 0.7% below the FTSE 100 average of 3.8%. The payout is covered one-and-a-half-times by earnings per share.

High price, no growth 

Unilever isn’t the only FTSE 100 company that is trading at a premium valuation despite lacklustre expectations for growth. Diageo (LSE: DGE) is another culprit. Diageo’s earnings per share have fallen by around 15% since the end of the company’s 2013 financial year. City analysts expect the company to report a further 1% decline in earnings this year. 

Still, despite Diageo’s shrinking income the company’s shares currently trade at a forward P/E of 21.1. Analysts have pencilled in earnings per share growth of 8% for the year ending 30 June 2017, so on this basis, the group is trading at 2017 P/E of 19.6, which still seems relatively expensive. The shares currently support a dividend yield of 3.1%, and the payout is covered one-and-a-half-times by earnings per share.

PZ Cussons (LSE: PZC) is another consumer goods company that is trading at a high multiple despite sluggish earnings growth. City analysts expect the group’s earnings per share to fall by 6% for the year ending 31 May 2016 but despite this downbeat forecast the company’s shares are currently trading at a forward P/E of 19.6. Analysts have pencilled in estimated earnings per share growth of 3% for the year ending 31 May 2017, implying that the group is trading at a 2017 P/E of 19.2. The shares currently support a dividend yield of 2.4%, and the payout is covered 2.2 times by earnings per share.

Time to sell?

Diageo, Unilever and PZ Cussons are all currently trading at premium valuations. But are these valuations warranted?

Well, consumer goods companies are generally considered to be the most defensive investments around. In a time of great economic uncertainty, investors are often willing to pay a premium to get their hands on the shares of defensive companies. It looks as if this is the trend that is currently playing out at Diageo, Unilever and PZ Cussons. Investors have been clamouring to get their hands on the shares of these companies at any price and it’s likely that this trend will continue. 

Overall, it looks as if the time being these companies aren’t about to see their share prices collapse. But if there is any change in market or economic sentiment, re-rating could be on the horizon.

Rupert Hargreaves has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK owns shares of and has recommended Unilever. The Motley Fool UK owns shares of PZ Cussons. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Diageo. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

The Milky Way at night, over Porthgwarra beach in Cornwall
Investing Articles

£15,000 invested in red-hot Scottish Mortgage shares 1 month ago is now worth…

Scottish Mortgage shares are having a moment, and Harvey Jones says it's mostly down to its exposure to Elon Musk's…

Read more »

UK financial background: share prices and stock graph overlaid on an image of the Union Jack
Investing Articles

Are IAG shares the ultimate FTSE 100 volatility play? 

IAG shares ended last week on a high, and has held up pretty well during the Middle East crisis. But…

Read more »

Abstract 3d arrows with rocket
Investing Articles

Will the stock market go off like a rocket on Monday?

Middle East turmoil is yet to trigger a full-blown stock market crash. Harvey Jones says the recent recovery could have…

Read more »

Young mixed-race woman jumping for joy in a park with confetti falling around her
Investing Articles

Here’s what £15,000 invested in Taylor Wimpey shares on Thursday is worth today…

Investors holding Taylor Wimpey shares finally had something to celebrate on Friday as the beaten-down FTSE 250 housebuilder rallied. What…

Read more »

Three generation family are playing football together in a field. There are two boys, their father and their grandfather.
Investing Articles

How much would it take to turn an ISA into a £1,000-a-month passive income machine?

Focusing on dividend shares in well-known, big companies, what would it take for someone to target a four-figure monthly passive…

Read more »

Female Tesco employee holding produce crate
Investing Articles

2 reasons a stock market crash could be a good thing!

Our writer does not know when the next stock market crash might arrive. But he hopes that, whenever it does,…

Read more »

Close-up image depicting a woman in her 70s taking British bank notes from her colourful leather wallet.
Investing Articles

How much do I need in a Stocks and Shares ISA to target a £13,400 annual income?

£13,400 is the minimum required income for retirement. But how big does a Stocks and Shares ISA need to be…

Read more »

Woman riding her old fashioned bicycle along the Beach Esplanade at Aberdeen, Scotland.
Investing Articles

Want to aim for £31,353 more than the State Pension? A SIPP could be the answer

The State Pension offers a safety net, but here’s why you could consider a Self-Invested Personal Pension (SIPP) for a…

Read more »