Should You Buy Vedanta Resources plc, African Potash Ltd & Cerillion PLC Today?

Royston Wild considers the investment case for Vedanta Resources plc (LON: VED), African Potash Ltd (LON: AFPO) and Cerillion PLC (LON: CER).

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Today I am looking at three headline makers in Friday business.

Fertiliser supplier fades

Potassium digger African Potash (LSE: AFPO) collapsed 43% in Friday business, after furnishing the market with disappointing operational news.

African Potash advised that the severe drought hitting southern Africa has prompted a deal to supply 20,000 metric tonnes of urea to a COMESA customer to fall through. The client in question is still awaiting confirmation of order from its own customers, African Potash advised.

On top of this, particularly dry conditions in Zimbabwe has seen an agreement inked back in December with Windmill fall through, African Potash said.

In brighter news, African Potash also announced it had signed a participation agreement with Safyr Commodities — which itself has inked conditional sales agreements with leading Zambian fertiliser distributor Nyiombo Investments — for the supply of 50,000 tonnes of urea and NPK.

But investors have naturally given this news short shrift. African Potash is already on shaky ground, the company having seen pre-tax losses swell to $716,000 in July-December, up from $660,000 a year earlier.

Given the scale of unfavourable climate conditions on its revenues outlook, I believe African Potash is a risk too far at the present time.

Software play strides

Cerillion (LSE: CER) has seen its share price jump almost 8% today, after it advised the market that results for the first half of the year “are anticipated to be in line with management expectations.” The software play anticipates reporting that revenues and EBITDA will have advanced 11% (to c.£6.9m) and 21% (to £c.1.1m), respectively, between October and March, when it announces its interim results for the half year in late May.

Cerillion — which provides software for billing, charging and customer relationship management (or CRM) — announced in recent weeks the signing of a $2.4m contract with an existing customer which Cerillion describes as “a multi-service communications provider in the Americas.”

The company provides services for a broad range of customers in established and emerging economies alike, and sales continue to pick up speed. Cerillion currently boasts 75 major clients across 40 countries, and I expect cutting edge products like its Cerillion Skyline package to keep sales spiralling higher.

On the precipice?

I am not so optimistic over the growth outlook of Vedanta Resources (LSE: VED), however. Sure, the share price may have added an extra 33% during the past month as commodity  prices have rallied. But as I have previously cautioned, the fundamental picture for the resources markets remains less than encouraging.

Vedanta Resources continues to hike production across its main markets to offset the impact of lower resources values. Indeed, the business churned out record amounts of copper cathodes, aluminium, electricity and silver during January-March, mirroring similar measures by many of the world’s major commodity producers.

But a drastic slowdown in Chinese economic growth raises serious questions over where exactly all of this excess material will end up.

Given this backdrop, I believe recently-revived commodity prices are in danger of experiencing a severe reversal, putting the share values of chargers like Vedanta Resources in equal peril.

Royston Wild has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

A young Asian woman holding up her index finger
Investing Articles

Don’t miss this once-in-a-decade opportunity to profit from the stock market’s AI hype

Our writer considers a rare value opportunity that could emerge if AI hype leads to a siginficant stock market correction.…

Read more »

A senior man using hiking poles, on a hike on a coastal path along the coastline of Cornwall.
Investing Articles

£10,000 invested in easyJet shares on 1 April is now worth…

It's been a strange month for easyJet shares. But what exactly would have happened to a sum invested in the…

Read more »

Portrait of elderly man wearing white denim shirt and glasses looking up with hand on chin. Thoughtful senior entrepreneur, studio shot against grey background.
Investing Articles

Down 29%, should I buy Palantir for my Stocks and Shares ISA?

Palantir Technologies has lost over a quarter of its value in the past few months. Does this make it a…

Read more »

Man putting his card into an ATM machine while his son sits in a stroller beside him.
Investing Articles

Selling for £1, are Lloyds shares still a bargain?

Lloyds shares sold for pennies for many years -- but now cost a pound. Our writer sees some strengths in…

Read more »

Close-up image depicting a woman in her 70s taking British bank notes from her colourful leather wallet.
Investing Articles

How much could spending just £5 a day on UK shares earn in passive income?

Sticking to UK shares in well-known companies, our writer shows how £5 a day could be used to target over…

Read more »

Dominos delivery man on skateboard holding pizza boxes
Investing Articles

Think you’re too young for a SIPP? Think again!

Is a SIPP something best left to later in working life? Not at all, according to this writer -- and…

Read more »

Close-up of a woman holding modern polymer ten, twenty and fifty pound notes.
Investing Articles

These 5 FTSE 100 shares all offer dividend yields well above average!

Christopher Ruane gives the lowdown on a handful of FTSE 100 shares, all yielding considerably higher than the index, that…

Read more »

Investing Articles

How to turn a Stocks and Shares ISA into £10k of annual passive income

Mark Hartley outlines a simple method of achieving a stable passive income stream from a Stocks and Shares ISA without…

Read more »