One Reason I Wouldn’t Buy Lloyds Banking Group PLC Today

Royston Wild explains why Lloyds Banking Group PLC (LON: LLOY) lags the competition in the dividend stakes.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Today I am looking at why income investors can find more lucrative picks than Lloyds Banking Group (LSE: LLOY) (NYSE: LYG.US).

A likely laggard in the dividend stakes

Make no mistake: Lloyds’ transformation since the global recession has been nothing short of remarkable. The business has undertaken extensive cost-cutting and asset sales to bolster the balance sheet and improve earnings efficiency, while improving economic conditions in the UK and an improved focus on the High Street are helping to attract customers through the door.

As a result, the business is expected to return to the black for the first time this year since the 2008/2009 banking crisis hollowed out earnings. And although this turnaround is expected to revive its dividend policy sooner rather than later, I reckon that better income picks can be found elsewhere.

Analysts at Investec expects the bank’s application to the Prudential Regulatory Authority (PRA) to begin shelling out dividends again in the coming months to be successful, and have chalked in a token 1p per share payment for 2014. And with shareholders set to enjoy a full year of dividends from next year, the number crunchers anticipate a 3p total payout in 2015.

At current share prices these projections push the yield from 1.3% for 2014 to 3.9% in 2015. Still, with everything being relative Lloyds is still likely to lag the competition from next year.

Indeed, broker consensus suggests that fellow British banking giants Barclays and Standard Chartered both carry a yield of 4.4% for next year, while HSBC Holdings boasts a bumper readout of 5.2%. And Banco Santander takes them all to the cleaners with a yield of 6.9%.

Of course, Lloyds’ expected return to the dividend is great news for investors, and a steady rise in the firm’s capital buffer could support expectations of stratospheric payout growth in coming years. Investec expects the company’s core tier 1 capital ratio to rise from 10% last year to 11.6% in 2014, before marching to 12.9% and 13.8% in 2015 and 2016 correspondingly.

But if you don’t fancy waiting around until then, I believe that better banking sector stocks can be found for those seeking bumper investment income.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Royston Wild has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK owns shares in Standard Chartered. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Grey cat peeking out from inside a cardboard box in a house
Investing Articles

Just released: April’s latest small-cap stock recommendation [PREMIUM PICKS]

We believe the UK small-cap market offers a myriad of opportunities across a wide range of different businesses and industries.

Read more »

Fireworks display in the shape of willow at Newcastle, Co. Down , Northern Ireland at Halloween.
Investing Articles

The Anglo American share price soars to £25, but I’m not selling!

On Thursday, the Anglo American share price soared after mega-miner BHP Group made an unsolicited bid for it. But I…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Now 70p, is £1 the next stop for the Vodafone share price?

The Vodafone share price is back to 70p, but it's a long way short of the 97p it hit in…

Read more »

Concept of two young professional men looking at a screen in a technological data centre
Investing Articles

If I’d put £5,000 in Nvidia stock at the start of 2024, here’s what I’d have now

Nvidia stock was a massive winner in 2023 as the AI chipmaker’s profits surged across the year. How has it…

Read more »

Light bulb with growing tree.
Investing Articles

3 top investment trusts that ‘green’ up my Stocks and Shares ISA

I’ll be buying more of these investment trusts for my Stocks and Shares ISA given the sustainable and stable returns…

Read more »

Investing Articles

8.6% or 7.2%? Does the Legal & General or Aviva dividend look better?

The Aviva dividend tempts our writer. But so does the payout from Legal & General. Here he explains why he'd…

Read more »

a couple embrace in front of their new home
Investing Articles

Are Persimmon shares a bargain hiding in plain sight?

Persimmon shares have struggled in 2024, so far. But today's trading update suggests sentiment in the housing market's already improving.

Read more »

Market Movers

Here’s why the Unilever share price is soaring after Q1 earnings

Stephen Wright isn’t surprised to see the Unilever share price rising as the company’s Q1 results show it’s executing on…

Read more »