The Risks Of Investing In Vodafone Group Plc

Royston Wild outlines the perils of stashing your cash in Vodafone Group plc (LON: VOD).

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Today I am highlighting what you need to know before investing in Vodafone (LSE: VOD) (NASDAQ: VOD.US).

European travails roll on

The effect of continued sales weakness in the continent continues to pummel Vodafone’s bottom line. The telecoms giant saw group service revenues slump 4.3% in the 12 months concluding March 2014, to £39.5bn, as turnover on the continent nosedived an eye-watering 9.1%. Europe is responsible for more than two-thirds of total revenues, and although the firm is boosting its exposure to emerging geographies to offset problems here, enduring weakness in Europe clearly remains a huge concern.

Indeed, the prospect of worsening continental problems is expected to result in a colossal 61% earnings decline for the current year, worsening from the 16% drop posted in 2014. With competition increasing on the continent, and wider macro pressure on consumers’ wallets enduring, Vodafone could struggle to gain sufficient traction to turn around its ailing fortunes.

Regulatory reforms loom large

On top of this, Vodafone is also fighting a battle against proposed European Union legislative changes that threaten to put a further boot vodinto its earnings profile.

This month, new laws came into effect that capped what network providers can charge for customers making calls, sending text messages and surfing the internet when travelling in Europe. And EU legislators voted last month to put all roaming charges to the sword, although these plans still need to be signed off by the bloc’s governments.

A fragile dividend selection

On top of its murky near-term earnings outlook, Vodafone’s dividend prospects for this year and next can also be described as extremely fragile at best. Indeed, City expectations for growth to tank in 2015, to 6.8p per share, means that a predicted dividend of 11.4p are not even covered by earnings. And the situation is not much better the year after — a payout of 11.8p per share far outstrips a slight earnings recovery to 7.2p.

These projections create massive yields of 5.8% and 6% for 2014 and 2015 respectively. But in my opinion a backdrop of consistent earnings pressure, not to mention the effect of its vast Project Spring investment programme and rolling acquisitions drive on cash reserves, could put dividend growth under the cosh.

> Royston does not own shares in Vodafone.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

Suddenly investors can’t get enough of GSK shares! What’s going on?

After years in the doldrums, GSK shares are suddenly the most bought stock on the entire FTSE 100. Harvey Jones…

Read more »

'2024' art concept overlaid on a stock screener
Investing Articles

£5,000 invested in Greggs shares in October 2024 is now worth…

Despite facing a multitude of challenges today, might Greggs' stock be worth a look after losing well over a third…

Read more »

Investor looking at stock graph on a tablet with their finger hovering over the Buy button
Investing Articles

Where will Rolls-Royce shares go next? Let’s ask the experts

Rolls-Royce shares have wobbled as aviation uncertainty grows. But can the City's glowing forecasts help get the price climbing again?

Read more »

Two female adult friends walking through the city streets at Christmas. They are talking and smiling as they do some Christmas shopping.
Investing Articles

No savings at 45? Here’s how investors could still build a £17,360 second income

It’s never too late to start investing, and with compounding working over time, Andrew Mackie shows how investors could still…

Read more »

House models and one with REIT - standing for real estate investment trust - written on it.
Investing Articles

How to invest £10,000 to aim for a £6,108 annual passive income

UK REITs have been getting a lot of attention. But our author thinks they're still the place to look for…

Read more »

Close-up of a woman holding modern polymer ten, twenty and fifty pound notes.
Investing Articles

What sort of passive income stream could you build for a fiver a day?

Think a few pounds a day might not go far? In fact, that could be the basis of some pleasing…

Read more »

British Isles on nautical map
Investing Articles

I sense a potential opportunity if the FTSE 100 loses this quality growth stock…

Rightmove falling out of the FTSE 100 might have been unthinkable a year ago. But that's the reality investors are…

Read more »

The flag of the United States of America flying in front of the Capitol building
Investing Articles

The largest S&P 500 holding in my ISA is…

Edward Sheldon's making a large bet on this S&P 500 stock. Because he sees the long-term risk/reward proposition very attractive.

Read more »