The Surprising Buy Case for HSBC Holdings plc

Royston Wild looks at a little-known share price catalyst for HSBC Holdings plc (LON: HSBA).

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Today I am looking at an eye-opening reason why HSBC Holdings (LSE: HSBA) (NYSE: HBC.US) is a shrewd pick for investors looking for a blue-chip bargain with both excellent earnings growth and dividend prospects.

Recent weakness provides fresh buying opportunity

Shares in HSBC have fallen sharply since the start of August, a situation not helped by a mid-month update which revealed revenue pressure, and the share price was recently dealing at an 11% discount to levels seen at the start of last month.

But in my opinion, the bank is a prime candidate for a significant upward re-rating, its huge exposure to lucrative developing markets and cross-division strength ready to unlock stunning earnings potential.

HSBC advised in last month’s update that revenues slipped 7% in the initial six months of 2013, to $34.4bn. The firm reported a 3% decline in loans and advances, while customer deposits slipped 2% during the period, heightening fears of waning power on High Streets across the world and consequently a plunge in future earnings.

Still, the update underlined the massive strides the firm is making in key geographies, most notably those in Asia.

While pre-tax profit across the group rose 10% in January-June, mainly owing to fewer regulatory fines and lower bad loan provisions, activity in emerging markets continues to gallop higher.

In Hong Kong and the Rest of Asia, profits rose 12% and 16% respectively. The effect of disposals in Asia has failed to whack earnings as demand for the bank’s retail and investment banking products continues to head higher.

Indeed, broker Investec expects earnings per share to shoot 36% higher this year to 62p, before advancing an additional 7% in 2014 to 67p.

These projections leave the bank trading on a P/E rating just above my bargain watermark of 10 for both 2013 and 2014, at 10.9 and 10.1. Indeed, HSBC’s stunning growth estimates for the current year result in a price to earnings to growth (PEG) rating of 0.3, well within value territory below 1.

And this strong earnings growth is expected to keep annual dividend growth stamping higher over the medium term. A current dividend estimate of 33.2p per share for 2013 produces a yield of 4.9%, and this is expected to leap to 36.9p per share in 2014 and a corresponding yield of 4.9%. This compares extremely favourably with an average forward yield of 3.8% for the complete banking sector and 3.2% for the FTSE 100.

> Royston does not own shares in HSBC Holdings.

More on Investing Articles

British pound data
Investing Articles

Starting with nothing? Here’s why now is the perfect time to start building a passive income

Many are worried that 2026 might be a bad time to start investing in stocks and shares. Our Foolish author…

Read more »

ISA coins
Investing Articles

Decided not to bother with a Stocks and Shares ISA? You might be missing these 3 things!

With a fresh annual allowance for contributing to a Stocks and Shares ISA upon us, what might people who don't…

Read more »

GSK scientist holding lab syringe
Investing Articles

Why is everyone buying GSK shares?

GSK shares have been outperforming the FTSE 100 in 2026. Paul Summers takes a closer look and asks whether this…

Read more »

Middle-aged white man pulling an aggrieved face while looking at a screen
Investing Articles

£10,000 invested in easyJet shares at the start of 2026 is now worth…

Anyone buying easyJet shares will have endured a rough ride since January. Paul Summers wonders whether things could get even…

Read more »

Close-up of a woman holding modern polymer ten, twenty and fifty pound notes.
Investing Articles

5 years ago, £5,000 bought 2,645 Barclays shares. But how many would it buy now?

Despite delivering an impressive return since April 2021, Barclays' shares have lagged the FTSE 100's other banks. James Beard considers…

Read more »

Side of boat fuelled by gas to liquids, advertising Shell GTL Fuel
Investing Articles

5 years ago, £5,000 bought 354 Shell shares. But how many would it buy now?

When it comes to Shell’s numbers, most of them are impressive. And it’s no different when looking at the recent…

Read more »

A rear view of a female in a bright yellow coat walking along the historic street known as The Shambles in York, UK which is a popular tourist destination in this Yorkshire city.
Investing Articles

I asked ChatGPT if I should buy Aviva, Diageo or BAE Systems stock and it said…

Aviva, Diageo and BAE Systems shares are popular FTSE 100 picks. But which of the three does ChatGPT like the…

Read more »

Tesla car at super charger station
Investing Articles

SpaceX’s IPO threatens to leave the Tesla share price on the forecourt

As Elon Musk starts fuelling the engines for a SpaceX IPO, could the Tesla share price get left in the…

Read more »