The Risks Of Investing In Vodafone Group Plc

Royston Wild outlines the perils of stashing your cash in Vodafone Group plc (LON: VOD).

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Today I am highlighting what you need to know before investing in Vodafone (LSE: VOD) (NASDAQ: VOD.US).

European travails roll on

The effect of continued sales weakness in the continent continues to pummel Vodafone’s bottom line. The telecoms giant saw group service revenues slump 4.3% in the 12 months concluding March 2014, to £39.5bn, as turnover on the continent nosedived an eye-watering 9.1%. Europe is responsible for more than two-thirds of total revenues, and although the firm is boosting its exposure to emerging geographies to offset problems here, enduring weakness in Europe clearly remains a huge concern.

Indeed, the prospect of worsening continental problems is expected to result in a colossal 61% earnings decline for the current year, worsening from the 16% drop posted in 2014. With competition increasing on the continent, and wider macro pressure on consumers’ wallets enduring, Vodafone could struggle to gain sufficient traction to turn around its ailing fortunes.

Regulatory reforms loom large

On top of this, Vodafone is also fighting a battle against proposed European Union legislative changes that threaten to put a further boot vodinto its earnings profile.

This month, new laws came into effect that capped what network providers can charge for customers making calls, sending text messages and surfing the internet when travelling in Europe. And EU legislators voted last month to put all roaming charges to the sword, although these plans still need to be signed off by the bloc’s governments.

A fragile dividend selection

On top of its murky near-term earnings outlook, Vodafone’s dividend prospects for this year and next can also be described as extremely fragile at best. Indeed, City expectations for growth to tank in 2015, to 6.8p per share, means that a predicted dividend of 11.4p are not even covered by earnings. And the situation is not much better the year after — a payout of 11.8p per share far outstrips a slight earnings recovery to 7.2p.

These projections create massive yields of 5.8% and 6% for 2014 and 2015 respectively. But in my opinion a backdrop of consistent earnings pressure, not to mention the effect of its vast Project Spring investment programme and rolling acquisitions drive on cash reserves, could put dividend growth under the cosh.

> Royston does not own shares in Vodafone.

More on Investing Articles

Middle-aged white man wearing glasses, staring into space over the top of his laptop in a coffee shop
Investing Articles

A new risk has emerged for Rolls-Royce and it could send the share price back to 1,010p

All of a sudden, the Rolls-Royce share price is falling. Edward Sheldon believes that it could go lower before it…

Read more »

Night Takeoff Of The American Space Shuttle
Investing Articles

Here’s how Britons can invest in SpaceX on the FTSE 100

Mark Hartley takes a look at the various options available to UK investors keen on SpaceX exposure, and details one…

Read more »

Investing Articles

The BT share price is on fire in 2026. Is there still time to buy?

The BT share price has had a cracking couple of years, as the company heads towards escalating free cash flow…

Read more »

Illustration of flames over a black background
Investing Articles

These 2 Stocks and Shares ISA buys are on fire in 2026

The new Stocks and Shares ISA season is seeing a few interesting changes to the companies making up investors' latest…

Read more »

Two white male workmen working on site at an oil rig
Dividend Shares

More oil wobbles as the BP share price dives 7% in a day!

The BP share price has been wildly volatile in 2026, bouncing around with each new move in the US-Iran war.…

Read more »

British bank notes and coins
Investing Articles

Meet the 9.6%-yielding income share that could keep growing its payout!

This income share yields close to 10% -- and has grown its dividend per share year after year for well…

Read more »

Fireworks display in the shape of willow at Newcastle, Co. Down , Northern Ireland at Halloween.
Investing Articles

When will Barclays shares hit £10?

Barclays shares were close to £1 not so long ago, but could they do the unthinkable and make it to…

Read more »

Picture of an easyJet plane taking off.
Investing Articles

easyJet shares have bounced back before. On a P/E ratio of 6, could they do it again?

Our writer thinks easyJet shares could turn out to be a terrific bargain from a long-term perspective. So is he…

Read more »