The Risks Of Investing In Royal Dutch Shell Plc

Royston Wild outlines the perils of stashing your cash in Royal Dutch Shell plc (LON: RDSB).

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Today I am highlighting what you need to know before investing in Royal Dutch Shell (LSE: RDSB) (NYSE: RDS-B.US).

Aggressive project sales crimp growth picture

Shell delighted investors in recent days by announcing yet another colossal discovery in the black gold-rich Norphlet formation in the Gulf of Mexico, an area in which the firm has already made three significant finds. The latest exploration well, labelled Rydberg, is estimated to house resources of 100 million barrels of oil equivalent.

Shell has established itself as a major operator in the area, and this latest news will go some way to vindicating its strategy of focusing on Shellenhanced capital efficiency, including more selectivity on project choices and $15 billion of divestments in 2014-15″. Still, the scale of the oil giant’s streamlining scheme covering both upstream and downstream operations has forced many to question the impact on earnings potential in coming years.

The likelihood of a depressed oil price during the next few years, caused by waves of new supply outpacing demand growth, looks set to lessen the impact of reduced volumes on the top line. But as the world economy gains traction in coming years, a backdrop of rising oil consumption could very well expose Shell’s divestment scheme as being over-aggressive and significantly dampen the firm’s revenues profile.

With oil exploration and production also proving a hit-and-miss business more often than not, Shell’s slimmer portfolio of assets could leave the company horribly exposed should potential payloads and project timings disappoint.

Legal battle ready to roll

Like its industry rival BP, Shell also faces the prospect of being dragged through the courts — and having to incur huge legal penalties — as a result of a major oil catastrophe.

Some 11,000 villagers from the Nigerian village of Bodo are taking action against the business after thefts from the Bomu-Bonny pipeline caused two large oil spills in 2008. Shell had initially offered to compensate claimants to the tune of £30m back in 2011, an offer which it repeated after an initial hearing at the UK High Court in June.

The plaintiffs had been seeking closer to £300m due to the environmental impact of the spills as well as financial implications for local businesses, and again rejected the offer out of hand. Although the court ruled last month that Shell cannot be held accountable under Nigerian law for the damage caused by the thefts, the oil giant may be forced to pay compensation for failing to implement reasonable measures to prevent such criminal activity.

The case is due to be heard in May next year, and Shell could face stiff financial penalties whether settled in or out of court.

Royston Wild has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the shares mentioned.

More on Investing Articles

Young mixed-race couple sat on the beach looking out over the sea
Investing Articles

Here’s how a £20k ISA could generate a £1,000 weekly second income

Drip-feeding money into a Stocks and Shares ISA can put you on track to a four-figure second income. Royston Wild…

Read more »

A senior Hispanic couple kayaking
Investing Articles

Here’s how you could create a large ISA passive income and retire early

Fancy retiring years before the State Pension age? Who doesn't? Royston Wild explains how to target passive income in a…

Read more »

A handsome mature bald bearded black man in a sunglasses and a fashionable blue or teal costume with a tie is standing in front of a wall made of striped wooden timbers and fastening a suit button
Investing Articles

Trading at 3.5x net income, I think Jet2 could lead the next stock market recovery

The stock market recovery is on... well, not so much in the UK. Dr James Fox explains why Jet2 could…

Read more »

Aviva logo on glass meeting room door
Investing Articles

£5,000 invested in Aviva shares 6 years ago is now worth…

The last six years have been interesting for Aviva shares, to say the least. How would a few thousands pounds…

Read more »

Businessman hand stacking up arrow on wooden block cubes
Growth Shares

Why I think the HSBC share price could hit 2,000p by December

Jon Smith explains why the HSBC share price could be primed to rally for the rest of the year, despite…

Read more »

Elevated view over city of London skyline
Investing Articles

£15,000 invested in UK shares a decade ago is now worth…

How have UK shares performed in recent years? That depends which ones you have in mind, as our writer explains.…

Read more »

Businessman hand stacking money coins with virtual percentage icons
Investing Articles

3 FTSE shares with many years of consecutive dividend growth

Paul Summers picks out a selection of FTSE shares that have offered passive income seekers consistency for quite a long…

Read more »

piggy bank, searching with binoculars
Investing Articles

Prediction: Diageo shares could soar in the next 5 years if this happens…

Diageo shares have been in the doldrums for some years now. What on earth could waken this FTSE 100 dud…

Read more »