1 Reason Why I Wouldn’t Buy Unilever plc Today

Royston Wild explains why Unilever plc (LON: ULVR)’s Foods division remains in peril.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Today I am looking at why a murky margarine market is crimping Unilever’s (LSE: ULVR) (NYSE: UL.US) sales outlook.

Margarine sales on the melt

Unilever is far and away the planet’s largest manufacturer of margarines, a position achieved through its suite of vegetable spreads including the likes of Flora and Bertolli. In recent times, however, this has proved to be a millstone around the company’s neck as the popularity of butter amongst shoppers has rocketed higher.

Indeed, the household goods leviathan commented in April’s interims that, during January-March,

despite the successful launches of great-tasting products like Rama with Butter in Germany, the decline of the margarine market remained a drag on our spreads growth.

Although the business noted that it had grabbed a larger market share in Europe and North America, the margarine space is providing a Unileversmaller and smaller pool of opportunity for the likes of Unilever in its critical Western markets.

In the United States alone, sales have been in a tailspin since the mid-1990s, and the US Department of Agriculture expects margarine sales to slump to their lowest since the Second World War in 2014. At the same time butter consumption per capita is expected to hit its highest level for more than 40 years.

Vegetable spreads have been pushed to the back of the fridge as customers have become increasingly concerned over the high levels of trans fat, not to mention the complexity of the manufacturing process. And egged on by the marketing campaigns of supermarkets, not to mention the new generation of television chefs, people are now flocking back to more natural and traditional foods such as butter.

Waning demand for its margarines contributed heavily to the poor performance of Unilever’s Foods arm, which saw like-for-like sales slump 1.7% during the first quarter and underlying volumes droop 2%. The business has been engaged in aggressive asset-shedding across the division in order to strip out a host of underperforming brands, from its Ragu and Bertolli pasta sauce labels in North America through to its Peperami meat snacks in Europe.

Given the state of the margarine market, many expect Unilever to follow these sales with the divestment of its spreads businesses in the near future. But until the company can rid itself of these underperforming assets, the company’s Food division is likely to continue to weigh on group earnings.

Royston Wild has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool owns shares of Unilever.

More on Investing Articles

Long-term vs short-term investing concept on a staircase
Investing Articles

Is now a good time to start investing in the wealth-building stock market?

The stock market is a battle-hardened builder of wealth long term. But with risks mounting, is now a good time…

Read more »

Investing Articles

£10,000 invested in red-hot Tesco shares just 1 week ago is now worth…

Harvey Jones is impressed by how well Tesco shares have defied recent stock market volatility. So can this FTSE 100…

Read more »

Road 2025 to 2032 new year direction concept
Investing Articles

See the income from investing a £20k ISA in this UK stock before it goes ex-dividend on 9 April

Harvey Jones says this UK stock offers one of the highest yields on the FTSE 100. Investors need to act…

Read more »

Middle-aged Caucasian woman deep in thought while looking out of the window
Investing Articles

What’s going on with the AstraZeneca share price now?

Dr James Fox explores the recent movements in the AstraZeneca share price and evaluates whether it's still a good long-term…

Read more »

Young female business analyst looking at a graph chart while working from home
Investing Articles

This S&P 500 stock is down 30% and the CEO just bought $10m worth of shares

Insiders only buy a stock for one reason – they expect its price to go up. So, this S&P 500…

Read more »

Black woman using smartphone at home, watching stock charts.
Investing Articles

£5,000 invested in BAE Systems shares a month ago is now worth…

BAE Systems shares have been among the FTSE 100's best performers in recent years. The question is, can the defence…

Read more »

A senior man and his wife holding hands walking up a hill on a footpath looking away from the camera at the view. The fishing village of Polperro is behind them.
Investing Articles

Here’s how a £20k ISA could generate £7,875 in monthly passive income

Have £20,000 ready to invest? Royston Wild explains how you could put this in a Stocks and Shares ISA to…

Read more »

Middle-aged white man wearing glasses, staring into space over the top of his laptop in a coffee shop
Investing Articles

By April 2027, £2,630 invested in Barclays shares could be worth…

Barclays shares have been flying. But what might happen to a chunk of money invested in the bank's stock over…

Read more »