Vodafone Group plc vs TalkTalk Telecom Group plc: which is the superior stock after Q3 results?

Royston Wild compares the investment potential of telecoms titans Vodafone Group plc (LON: VOD) and TalkTalk Telecom Group plc (LON: TALK).

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Telecoms giant Vodafone Group’s (LSE: VOD) quarterly results failed to impress on Thursday morning, and the stock was recently dealing 1% lower from last night’s close.

The company said organic service revenues rose 1.7% between October and December, to €12.3bn, numbers that indicate a recent slowdown in customer demand. By comparison, organic service revenues advanced 2.3% during the prior six months.

But it cheerily noted that strong performances in Germany, Spain and Italy helped organic service revenues in the region rise 0.7%, up from 0.6% during April-September.

And it also continued to enjoy decent sales growth in the Africa, Middle East and Asia Pacific (or AMAP) territory, with organic service sales here expanding 3.9% in Q3.

Having said that, AMAP growth in the period slowed somewhat from the 7.4% rise of the previous six months of the fiscal year.

Vodafone saw organic service revenues in the red-hot Indian market falling 4% due to increased competition. And in the UK, it dipped 3.2% as pressure from rivals at its Enterprise business division increased.

As a result it now expects organic earnings before interest, taxation, depreciation and amortisation (EBIDTA) growth for the full year to come at the lower end of expectations, at 3%-6%.

Pricey but pukka

Some would argue Vodafone remains a tad too expensive given signs of sales stress more recently.

Impressive earning advances of 14% and 21% in the periods to Match 2017 and 2018 may be pencilled-in by City analysts. But subsequent P/E ratios of 33.4 times and 27.6 times fly above the FTSE 100 forward average of 15 times.

However, I believe Vodafone has what it takes to overcome the recent challenges created by its rivals and keep growth running at an electric rate, making it worthy of such heady valuations.

In particular, I believe the company’s massive financial clout is giving it significant firepower to build its global footprint and improve infrastructure, and thus deliver stunning sales growth well into the future.

Indeed, the business said it plans to expand its 4G services across India to head off rising competition there. And it’s also in discussions to merge its operations in the country with those of Idea Cellular to create a regional powerhouse.

Not-so-happy talk

I’m not so optimistic over the fortunes of TalkTalk (LSE: TALK), however. It advised in its own quarterly update this week that group revenues had slipped 5% between October and December, to £435m, reflecting the introduction of low price plans during the autumn as well as the impact of re-contracting. However, the multi-services provider expects this to be a short-term issue as its bid to double-down on the ‘value’ end of the market pays off.

Investors will be hoping the appointment of Sir Charles Dunstone as executive chairman from May, marking the end of chief executive Dido Harding’s tenure, will be a new beginning and put to bed recent revenues struggles as well as the fallout from the 2015 hacking scandal.

However, with big players like BT and Sky continuing their assault on the low-price end of the market, hopes of a significant turnaround in TalkTalk’s top line are in danger of falling flat. And the company’s growing focus on the value segment may also struggle to generate strong earnings growth in future years.

I reckon the firm remains an unattractive long-term growth selection, even though predicted bottom-line rises of 55% and 10% result in conventionally-low P/E ratios of 11.5 times and 10.2 times.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Royston Wild has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Hand of person putting wood cube block with word VALUE on wooden table
Investing Articles

28% revenue growth per year and down over 20% in price! Should I invest in this niche FTSE 250 company?

Oliver says this FTSE 250 company has done an excellent job bringing auctioning into the modern world. Will he invest…

Read more »

Investing Articles

After gaining over 200% in 12 months, what’s next for Nvidia stock?

Oliver thinks Nvidia stock could be as enduring an investment as Amazon. Even given the valuation risks, he says he…

Read more »

Passive income text with pin graph chart on business table
Investing Articles

With a 6.7% yield, I consider Verizon exceptional for passive income

Oliver Rodzianko says Verizon offers one of the best passive income opportunities on the market. He just needs to remember…

Read more »

A front-view shot of a multi-ethnic family with two children walking down a city street on a cold December night.
Investing Articles

Want to make your grandchildren rich? Consider buying these UK stocks

Four Fool UK writers share the stocks that they believe have a lot of runway to grow over the long…

Read more »

Investing Articles

1 penny stock with the potential to change the way the world works forever!

Sumayya Mansoor breaks down this potentially exciting penny stock and explains how it could impact food consumption.

Read more »

Investing Articles

2 FTSE 250 stocks to consider buying for powerful passive income

Our writer explains why investors should be looking at these two FTSE 250 picks for juicy dividends and growth.

Read more »

Investor looking at stock graph on a tablet with their finger hovering over the Buy button
Growth Shares

This forgotten FTSE 100 stock is up 25% in a year

Jon Smith outlines one FTSE 100 stock that doubled in value back in 2020 but that has since fallen out…

Read more »

Middle-aged white man pulling an aggrieved face while looking at a screen
Investing Articles

2 dividend shares I wouldn’t touch with a bargepole in today’s stock market

The stock market is full of fantastic dividend shares that can deliver rising passive income over time. But I don't…

Read more »