Down 40% but with a juicy dividend forecast, this income stock is tempting

Jon Smith wonders whether it’s worth the risk to buy a stock with an attractive dividend forecast despite the recent share price fall.

| More on:
Thoughtful man using his phone while riding on a train and looking through the window

Image source: Getty Images

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

The current average dividend yield of the FTSE 250 is 3.37%. Within the index, some members have a higher yield. By taking into account the divided forecast for the coming years, an investor can try to find some good income stocks. However, any yield inflated by a falling share price needs to be treated with caution.

The key points

I’ve come across Workspace Group (LSE:WKP), a FTSE 250 stock. The real estate investment trust (REIT) is focused on commercial property for small and medium-sized enterprises, mainly in Greater London.

The stock is down 40% over the past year with a dividend yield of 7.31%. Part of the reason for the share price fall comes from a decline in occupancy. Back in June, it reported that occupancy slid from 88% to 83% year on year. Many tenants are downsizing or uncertain, often driven by hybrid working models.

Further, with interest rates remaining higher than expected, it has put pressure on property valuations. The higher cost of borrowing makes it harder for potential buyers to support the market, acting to reduce the value of the properties in the portfolio of Workspace.

Please note that tax treatment depends on the individual circumstances of each client and may be subject to change in future. The content in this article is provided for information purposes only. It is not intended to be, neither does it constitute, any form of tax advice.

Income potential is still strong

The REIT typically pays two dividends a year. Over the past year, this has been 9.40p and 19p, totalling 28.4p. When using the current share price of 388p, we derive the yield of 7.31%.

It’s important to note that despite the business struggles, the dividend cover is 1.2. This means the current earnings per share fully cover the dividend payments, with an excess when the number is above one. Therefore, I don’t see any immediate pressure of it being cut.

Looking forward, analysts expect the dividend to rise for a total in 2026 of 29.15p, with 29.60p in 2027. In theory, if the share price remained the same, this could translate to a yield of 7.62%. This would be over double the current index yield for the FTSE 250.

Of course, these expectations are subjective. A lot can change in the coming couple of years that could either decrease or increase the dividend per share.

Cautiously optimistic

If the dividend is stable, the main risk going forward is a further share price fall. This could wipe out the benfits of the income, and could be seen if commercial property continues in its rut. However, I have a slightly contrarian view that more companies will be pushing for people to come back to an office, even smaller businesses. If the UK continues to have unemployment rising, those who have a job will be keener to show their face and prove their worth.

As a result, I think the company could have weathered the worst of the storm here. Don’t get me wrong, this is a high-risk stock for consideration. It’s not suitable for everyone. But I’m seriosuly thinking about allocating a small amount of money to the stock for the income benefits.


Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Jon Smith has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Dividend Shares

Middle-aged Caucasian woman deep in thought while looking out of the window
Investing Articles

I asked ChatGPT to build a 7%-yielding passive income ISA from FTSE 100 dividend shares and it said…

Harvey Jones gave artificial intelligence a shot at building a passive income portfolio for his retirement and soon discovered the…

Read more »

A close up side view of a father and his young daughter who is a wheelchair user having a cute affectionate moment with each other whilst on a family day out in a beautiful public park in Newcastle upon Tyne in the North East of England.
Investing Articles

£20,000 of Taylor Wimpey shares can net investors a £1,850 passive income

Harvey Jones says Taylor Wimpey shares have struggled for years but investors have enjoyed a bumper dividend income as compensation.

Read more »

Close-up image depicting a woman in her 70s taking British bank notes from her colourful leather wallet.
Investing Articles

Which are the 5 most popular UK dividend shares for passive income today?

Here's how UK shares could be the best to choose from to generate income in retirement, as dividend yields continue…

Read more »

House models and one with REIT - standing for real estate investment trust - written on it.
Dividend Shares

ChatGPT told me to stay away from this FTSE 250 stock but I disagree

Jon Smith points out a REIT from the FTSE 250 that's paying out generous income and explains why human research…

Read more »

Two business people sitting at cafe working on new project using laptop. Young businesswoman taking notes and businessman working on laptop computer.
Investing Articles

Legal & General shares yield an eye-popping 8.7% – now check out its 1-year growth forecast!

Harvey Jones says Legal & General shares come with a brilliant dividend, but growth is in short supply. He thinks…

Read more »

Low angle close up color image depicting a man holding a shopping basked filled with essential fresh groceries like bread and milk in the supermarket.
Investing Articles

With a 7.6% yield, could this REIT be a passive income gem in 2026?

Mark Hartley takes a closer look at the recovering UK property market and how it could make 2026 a great…

Read more »

ISA coins
Investing Articles

How much do you need in a Stocks and Shares ISA to aim for at least £1,500 a month of passive income?

James Beard explains how it might be possible to use an ISA and a few dividend shares to generate a…

Read more »

Black father holding daughter in a field of cows
Investing Articles

Up 120% this year! How is this dividend share still undervalued?

Most stocks fit into one of three categories: growth, income or value. It isn’t often an investor gets all three.…

Read more »