According to the dividend forecast, £5k in this income stock could eventually make £1k a year

Jon Smith explains the numbers behind a high-yield stock and flags up why the dividend forecast could point to further income potential.

| More on:

Image source: Getty Images

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Dividend forecasts are really useful pieces of information that I don’t think are appreciated enough. Of course, no one can perfectly predict what future income a company will pay out.

But based on opinions from analysts and brokers, the projected figures can be a good indicator whether a stock should be worthy of consideration. Here’s one investors might find interesting.

Solar flair

Foresight Solar Fund‘s (LSE:FSFL) a UK-based renewable energy investment that primarily targets solar assets (as the name suggests). The share price is down 16% over the past year, which is one factor that’s pushed up the dividend yield to 10.81%.

The FTSE 250 stock makes money by generating revenue from the portfolio of large solar farms. These assets generate electricity, which is then sold to the grid or through Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) with businesses. When buying new assets, the fund focuses on operational solar farms with a proven track record. This is a good thing, as it reduces the development risk associated with new or unproven sites.

Given the relatively stable nature of the cash flow from the contracts, it’s logical that dividend investors would find this stock appealing. Over the past few years, the business has been paying out quarterly dividends. These have been rising, with the latest dividend declared earlier this month of 2p, matching the past three quarters.

Forward-looking

Analysts expect the next dividend (declared in June) to rise to 2.1p per share. In June 2026, the expectation is for a further increase to 2.19p per share. So in theory, the 2026/2027 total dividend payable could be 8.76p (2.19p x 4). If I use the current share price of 75p, this would equate to a dividend yield of 11.68%.

If an investor puts £5k in Foresight stock today, this could mean that in the period in question (2026/2027), the dividends could equate to £584. But this doesn’t include the dividends that would be paid before then. If I were to assume that the dividend yield would average around 11% from now for the next five years and that an investor took the income and bought more of the stock, the passive income payments would compound even faster.

A £5k investment now with a yield of 11% would mean that in year six, an investor could receive just over £1k from dividends.

Keeping our feet grounded

Forecasting income in years to come isn’t an exact science. There are risks involved. For example, the share price could fall further, meaning that an investor would have a loss on the initial capital. This could happen if electricity prices fall. A significant portion of the firm’s revenue depends on electricity prices, which can fluctuate due to market conditions.

Even with the risks, I think it’s a high-yield opportunity that investors should consider to complement an existing income portfolio.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Jon Smith has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Foresight Solar Fund. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Dividend Shares

Smart young brown businesswoman working from home on a laptop
Investing Articles

£10,000 to invest? Here’s how an investor could aim to turn that into a £2,000 second income

There aren’t many shares with 20% dividend yields. But as Stephen Wright notes, this isn’t the only way to earn…

Read more »

Investing Articles

A 6.2% yield but down 10%! Is it time for me to buy this FTSE broadcaster on the dip?

This FTSE media firm is down significantly from its 12-month July high, but this might mean there's a bargain-buying opportunity…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Up 33% in a month! Is this soaring ex-penny stock a hidden gem on the UK stock market?

With a £450m market-cap and £1 share price, Care REIT's no longer a stock market baby. Is this upcoming UK…

Read more »

Bearded man writing on notepad in front of computer
Investing Articles

Here’s why I won’t touch these FTSE 100 dividend stocks with a bargepole

One sector, two dividend stocks, and two stories of potential share price recovery. Here's why I'm going to avoid the…

Read more »

Person holding magnifying glass over important document, reading the small print
Investing Articles

At a 52-week low, this under-the-radar UK dividend stock is 1 to consider buying

With a dividend yield close to 6% and a price target over 100% above the current level, James Halstead is…

Read more »

Passive income text with pin graph chart on business table
Investing Articles

A 9.2% yield but down 9% despite a strong 2024, is it time for me to buy more of this passive income superstar?

This top-tier financial stock has an extremely high yield that can generate life-changing passive income over time from a much…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Legal & General has supercharged second income potential with a forecast yield of 9%!

Harvey Jones says investors looking for a second income can get a sky-high yield today from FTSE 100 insurer Legal…

Read more »

Young Black man sat in front of laptop while wearing headphones
Investing Articles

Hunting for passive income? Here’s a top FTSE 100 dividend growth share to consider!

Buying low-yielding shares like this FTSE dividend growth hero can be a great way to make a long-term passive income.

Read more »