My Aviva shares leapt 17%. Should I sell or buy more?

Aviva shares have soared by a sixth since I bought them in late July. Should I sell after this sudden leap, or hang on for even bigger future profits?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

Playful senior couple in aprons dancing and smiling while preparing healthy dinner at home

Image source: Getty Images

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

For most of the first six months of 2022, my wife and I largely refrained from buying new shares. Instead, we built up our ‘dry powder’, building a cash pile from share sales and regular cash dividends. However, as H1/2022 came to a close, we sprang into action. Taking advantage of the usual summer lull in global share prices, we bought 10 new stocks. And one investment for our new portfolio was in Aviva (LSE: AV) shares.

Why we bought Aviva

For the record, my wife bought Aviva shares for our family portfolio at an all-in price of 397p each on 26 July. This price includes the 0.5% stamp duty on purchases, plus share-dealing commission. But what made us decide to buy this stock?

Having worked in the insurance/investment industry for 15 years, I’m very familiar with Aviva, its business model and its products. The group is one of the UK’s leading providers of life and general insurance. It has around 18m customers across the UK, Ireland and Canada, and employs roughly 22,000 people. And with a market value of £13bn, it’s a FTSE 100 middleweight.

So that’s the business. But what about its shares? What drew me to the stock is that its dividend yield was close to 7% a year at that time. To me, this seemed like a generous reward for the risk of holding these shares over the long term. And although this cash payout wasn’t covered by the insurer’s trailing earnings, I expected them to rebound in 2022-23.

Stock soars on good news

At its 52-week high on 29 March, Aviva stock hit 606.58p. It then crashed spectacularly, falling to a 52-week low of 382.3p on 5 July. How I’d have loved to buy into this Footsie firm at this price. Nevertheless, we managed to climb aboard the bandwagon at around 17p above this 2022 low.

As I write, the share price stands at 463.3p, over 66p (+16.7%) above our buying price. What caused this sudden spike in the price? In its first-half results for 2022, the insurer reported increased product sales, higher operating profit (up 14%), and a strengthened balance sheet. CEO Amanda Blanc summed up these results, saying: “This has been an excellent six months for Aviva.”

What’s more, the group announced a new share buyback, plus it increased its interim dividend to 10.3p a share, a huge uplift of 40%. The full-year dividend is expected to be 31p per share, producing a current dividend yield of 6.7% a year. That’s around 1.7 times the FTSE 100’s cash yield.

I’d keep buying

One old expression goes: “One swallow does not a summer make.” Likewise, I’d say that one good set of results — by itself — is no reason to buy into a company. Then again, after a tough 2020-21, I think things may finally be looking up for the firm. Higher interest rates helped to generate £798m of operating cash flow in H1/2022. In a further boost for shareholders, the 2023 dividend has been set at 32.5p a share.

In summary, despite worries about red-hot inflation, soaring energy bills, rising interest rates, war in Ukraine, and slowing economic growth, Aviva shares still look cheap to me. I won’t sell and we might even buy more!

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Cliffdarcy has an economic interest in Aviva shares. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investor looking at stock graph on a tablet with their finger hovering over the Buy button
Investing Articles

This new boost in assets might just get the abrdn share price moving again

The abrdn share price has lost half its value in the past five years. But with investor confidence returning, are…

Read more »

Young Black man sat in front of laptop while wearing headphones
Investing Articles

As revenues rise 8%, is the Croda International share price set to bounce back?

The latest update from Croda International indicates that sales are starting to recover from the end of 2023, so is…

Read more »

Happy young female stock-picker in a cafe
Investing Articles

Q1 results boost the Bunzl share price: investors should consider the stock for stability

As the Bunzl share price edges higher, our writer considers whether this so-called boring FTSE 100 stock looks like a…

Read more »

Bus waiting in front of the London Stock Exchange on a sunny day.
Investing Articles

The top 5 investment trusts to buy in a resurgent UK stock market?

These were the five most popular investment trusts at Hargreaves Lansdown in April. And they're not the ones I'd have…

Read more »

woman sitting in wheelchair at the table and looking at computer monitor while talking on mobile phone and drinking coffee at home
Investing Articles

The smartest dividend stocks to consider buying with £500 right now

In the past few years, the UK stock market’s been a great place to find dividend stocks paying top yields.…

Read more »

2024 year number handwritten on a sandy beach at sunrise
Investing Articles

Why this FTSE 100 company is the first I’m buying for my 24/25 Stocks and Shares ISA

As a new Stocks and Shares ISA year gets underway, it’s time to start searching for my next additions. Barclays…

Read more »

Investing Articles

How much passive income would I make from 945 National Grid shares?

National Grid shares pay a healthy dividend that, over time, can produce a sizeable passive income if the dividends are…

Read more »

British flag, Big Ben, Houses of Parliament and British flag composition
Investing Articles

These 7 UK shares turned £50k into £550k

Investing in individual UK shares can be a very lucrative strategy. Over the last two decades, these seven stocks have…

Read more »